What's Your Safest NFL Play?

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  • Semper Fidelis
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-11
    • 1999

    #1
    What's Your Safest NFL Play?
    With so many decent teams needing to win to get into the playoffs, it seems like a few are almost certain winners. Thinking about going big on the ML for the Dolphins, Chargers, Saints, Pats, etc., as well as a combination in a few different parlays. Or perhaps a nice 7 pt teaser for a few of them. So many different possibilities. What are your thoughts and plays for the last week of the season?
  • mikeru3
    SBR Hustler
    • 12-21-13
    • 83

    #2
    Philly -6.5
    Comment
    • R.P. McMurphy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-15-12
      • 9654

      #3
      Guessing it's a homer pick by your avi but I would not lay that juice with the Phins gm could go either way! Even if you are just thinking of an Ml par Phins, Carolina, Cincy to name a few are not as safe as you may think! Pitt offers more value than Miami or even Philly with a similiar Ml price. Just my 2 cents. Only a few gms I would consider deadbolt locks bet your moms house with her in it on the card tomorrow for Ml. Saints, Seahags, Colts, Broncos, and Pats. But they all come with a hefty price tag! Bol
      Comment
      • Plaza23
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-29-13
        • 7392

        #4
        ML - Dolphins- reasoning is that Miami has everything to play for, they laid an egg last week, and the Jets are terrible road team
        ML - Steelers - Browns are just a really bad team. Steelers are still somewhat in playoff race.
        ML - Patriots - Brady's not losing at home in December

        Other than that, who knows. All the other games I can envision going either way in some circumstances. A ML on Seattle would be a great play but I dont see that anywhere. I was going to go big on the Eagles ML, but keep in mind that Dallas has scored 30+ points everygame at home. Eagles got embarrassed just two weeks ago on the road vs the Vikings. Thats a game I dont want to touch. Denver, Saints will win too. May not find MLs though. I play at Bovada and usually anything above a 10 point favorite they wont put out moneylines on.
        Comment
        • R.P. McMurphy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-15-12
          • 9654

          #5
          My argument on Phins may sound shaky but brutally honest. Neither Miami or Diego will get a whiff of that 6 seed the nfl wants no part of that. Spot belongs to either Pitt or Balty and the powers that be may just have a hand in it...hey it's business! I see Phins having trouble all day with Jets front 7 they will get after Tannehill and create havoc to avenge the embarrassing loss at home a few weeks back and possibly save Rex's job. Make no mistake about it IF Geno plays a clean gm not turning the ball ov 2/3 times and Jets control line of scrimmage they win and Rex will have them ready and pumped for this one.
          Comment
          • face
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-31-11
            • 14740

            #6
            safe parlay @-108
            seahawks -600
            broncos -515
            arsenal over 0.5 goals -550
            sara errani -600
            Comment
            • Indy5
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-16-13
              • 259

              #7
              I'd take Diego, Devil Dog!
              Comment
              • Plaza23
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-29-13
                • 7392

                #8
                Good call on the Dolphins. Tannehill appeared on the take today. Awful game for him. Really unexplainable how the Dolphins could put together 2 back-back awful football games to close the season when if they just win 1 they are in the playoffs. Sounds like a fix. Should have seen it.
                Comment
                • TeeRose
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-23-13
                  • 821

                  #9
                  Kc +9.5
                  Comment
                  • ItsNick3
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-25-13
                    • 18

                    #10
                    KC +9.5 without Jamaal Charles and Alex Smith?
                    Comment
                    • face
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-11
                      • 14740

                      #11
                      Originally posted by face
                      safe parlay @-108
                      seahawks -600
                      broncos -515
                      arsenal over 0.5 goals -550
                      sara errani -600

                      winner, but errani was a pain and very close
                      Comment
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