The best value on the Super Bowl winner in WK12

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  • dnwjdl
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-26-11
    • 569

    #36
    Down to +857 before tonight's game.
    Comment
    • chosen4th
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-12
      • 1106

      #37
      Originally posted by dnwjdl
      Down to +857 before tonight's game.
      Bookmaker.eu has them at +935.. What generally happens to the odds after tonight if they win? Split in half?
      Comment
      • dnwjdl
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-26-11
        • 569

        #38
        Originally posted by chosen4th
        Bookmaker.eu has them at +935.. What generally happens to the odds after tonight if they win? Split in half?
        It would not split in half. There would still be 8 teams left in the playoffs, and I expect DEN, SEA, CAR, and NE to be favored over SF. So, I would expect it to be around +600 to +800.
        Comment
        • Deol
          SBR MVP
          • 09-01-11
          • 1340

          #39
          Only SEA and DEN will for sure be favored more than SF. NE probably will as well but CAR won't be.
          Comment
          • navyblue81
            SBR MVP
            • 11-29-13
            • 4142

            #40
            They've got the toughest road, though, of any team just to get to the Big game. Have to go to Green Bay, then Carolina (who they lost to at home) and then Seattle (who they got destroyed by on the road). I like Carolina's odds with that defense. They don't get the most media coverage and are therefore undervalued.
            Comment
            • dnwjdl
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-26-11
              • 569

              #41
              3 more to go!
              Comment
              • dnwjdl
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-26-11
                • 569

                #42
                Originally posted by navyblue81
                They've got the toughest road, though, of any team just to get to the Big game. Have to go to Green Bay, then Carolina (who they lost to at home) and then Seattle (who they got destroyed by on the road). I like Carolina's odds with that defense. They don't get the most media coverage and are therefore undervalued.
                CAR will lose to SF this weekend. I'm more worried about SEA, to be honest.
                Comment
                • dnwjdl
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-26-11
                  • 569

                  #43
                  +600 now.
                  Comment
                  • dnwjdl
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-26-11
                    • 569

                    #44
                    2 more to go!
                    Comment
                    • wildcorndog
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-30-10
                      • 1456

                      #45
                      I took patriots 10/1 back in September.


                      Only bet $50
                      Comment
                      • dnwjdl
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-26-11
                        • 569

                        #46
                        Originally posted by wildcorndog
                        I took patriots 10/1 back in September.


                        Only bet $50
                        That's a good number. It will be down to +500 or something next wk.
                        Comment
                        • dnwjdl
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-26-11
                          • 569

                          #47
                          Down to +403.
                          Comment
                          • dnwjdl
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-26-11
                            • 569

                            #48
                            Comment
                            • dnwjdl
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-26-11
                              • 569

                              #49
                              Originally posted by dnwjdl
                              I just bet $300 to win $4,677. GL, everyone!
                              Comment
                              • bez
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-09-12
                                • 45

                                #50
                                Good job here, liking the niners to win it all this year. Been cashing in on them in the playoffs.
                                Comment
                                • dnwjdl
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-26-11
                                  • 569

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by bez
                                  Good job here, liking the niners to win it all this year. Been cashing in on them in the playoffs.
                                  Thx, man! The toughest test will be against SEA next wk. They got blown out in SEA the last couple of times.
                                  Comment
                                  • italianbandit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-17-11
                                    • 2622

                                    #52
                                    Nice bet. It's going to be very tough for them to eek out a win in Washington, but the refs seem to be slightly favoring the Niners, that should help.
                                    Comment
                                    • italianbandit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-17-11
                                      • 2622

                                      #53
                                      Any thoughts of hedging now, you have some leverage...
                                      Comment
                                      • dnwjdl
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-26-11
                                        • 569

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by italianbandit
                                        Any thoughts of hedging now, you have some leverage...
                                        I bet on DEN +853 and SEA +1054 pre-season to win about $3,500 each. Last wk, I bet $600 on NE +710. So, basically, I'm guaranteed to win somewhere between $2,000 to $3200.

                                        If you have SF future only, I would suggest you to bet some money on SEA ML to guarantee some profit. I know that SF plays like shit in SEA, but somehow I feel like they will make to the super bowl again; just a gut feeling.
                                        Comment
                                        • Huego
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-23-11
                                          • 265

                                          #55
                                          Comment
                                          • slacker00
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-06-05
                                            • 12262

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by dnwjdl
                                            I bet on DEN +853 and SEA +1054 pre-season to win about $3,500 each. Last wk, I bet $600 on NE +710. So, basically, I'm guaranteed to win somewhere between $2,000 to $3200.

                                            If you have SF future only, I would suggest you to bet some money on SEA ML to guarantee some profit. I know that SF plays like shit in SEA, but somehow I feel like they will make to the super bowl again; just a gut feeling.
                                            I'd let it ride unless you'd normally be betting a standard play on SEA anyway, in that case, just ignore the future.
                                            Comment
                                            • dnwjdl
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-26-11
                                              • 569

                                              #57
                                              Down to +348!
                                              Comment
                                              • bringyourDgame
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-23-11
                                                • 386

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by dnwjdl
                                                I bet on DEN +853 and SEA +1054 pre-season to win about $3,500 each. Last wk, I bet $600 on NE +710. So, basically, I'm guaranteed to win somewhere between $2,000 to $3200.

                                                If you have SF future only, I would suggest you to bet some money on SEA ML to guarantee some profit. I know that SF plays like shit in SEA, but somehow I feel like they will make to the super bowl again; just a gut feeling.
                                                so you bet on 3 teams out of 4 that made the final 4. Smart putting money on the Pats. What more teams did you bet on to make it all the way?
                                                Comment
                                                • dnwjdl
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-26-11
                                                  • 569

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by bringyourDgame
                                                  so you bet on 3 teams out of 4 that made the final 4. Smart putting money on the Pats. What more teams did you bet on to make it all the way?
                                                  Whether you believe it or not, I made only 4 future bets. DEN and SEA before the season and SF and NE during the season. Got very lucky, I guess. SF and NE bets are the hedges against my initial bets.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dnwjdl
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-26-11
                                                    • 569

                                                    #60
                                                    I hedged my bets, but I still want SF to win it all. I like their chances. Let's get this sh*t!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dnwjdl
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-26-11
                                                      • 569

                                                      #61
                                                      I'm rooting for 49ers to win this game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dnwjdl
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-26-11
                                                        • 569

                                                        #62
                                                        Thanks for another great playoff run!
                                                        Comment
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