week 12 best bets

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  • firekillex
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-13
    • 6420

    #1
    week 12 best bets
    so its week 12 and im wondering what everybodys best bets are this weekend?

    I have
    Cowboys +2.5 ( might move it up to +3 )
    Panthers -4
    Ravens -3
    broncos -2.5
  • Noleafclover
    SBR MVP
    • 06-06-13
    • 1349

    #2
    May take NYG actually w Sean Lee out, he's the cornerstone of that D. And NYG/DAL stats are surprisingly similar in many categories.

    Want Den -2.5, but don't you think the refs try to make their mea culpas for last week at Denver's expense, like they did the week after the GB-SEA hail mary fiasco last year?

    Really love the over there, just waiting to see if it's going to come down even more. Both Denver and NE have been playing some better defenses lately, and thats stymied their scoring a little and given us a good opportunity with a lowish number here. Sunny (if cold) day in NE...

    Like carolina, just trying to convince myself they cover 4.5. Prolly take it if it comes back down to 4.

    Also teased NO -2.5 + SD +12 (6.5, -135 @ betonline). I know it's unconventional, but I just don't see KC blowing SD out. SD doesn't get blown out, KC doesn't blow teams out.

    Lean boys/giants > 44.5, bears/rams > 45.5, and 9ers/skins > 47 - although I think weather may screw that last one up, which is a damn shame cause fair weather I'd be in love with it.
    Comment
    • eagle8999
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-13-13
      • 156

      #3
      6Team parlay tease

      saints/falcons over 41
      Jets/ravens over 28
      Ravens +7.5
      Colts/cards over 33
      49ers +7
      49ers/skins over 35.5


      3Units for 5.3
      Comment
      • eagle8999
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-13-13
        • 156

        #4
        I would lay off Carolina until they have their overdue let down game
        Comment
        • 44 Mag
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-14-13
          • 34490

          #5
          Originally posted by eagle8999
          6Team parlay tease

          saints/falcons over 41
          Jets/ravens over 28
          Ravens +7.5
          Colts/cards over 33
          49ers +7
          49ers/skins over 35.5


          3Units for 5.3
          How many of these 6 teamers do you win, or anybody else for that matter...just curious ???
          Comment
          • eagle8999
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-13-13
            • 156

            #6
            I've turned 250 into 3k with teasers of course there is some luck involved but if you are careful with games you pick they work for me
            Comment
            • eagle8999
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-13-13
              • 156

              #7
              I missed an 11teamer by one last week browns only showed up for 1st qtr.
              Comment
              • eagle8999
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-13-13
                • 156

                #8
                7 Team teaser
                chargers/cheifs over 28
                Cheifs +8
                Browns/Steelers over 27.5
                Jets/ravens over 26.5
                Ravens +9
                Raiders/titans over 28
                Colts/cards over 31.5

                2.5 for 3.7 units
                Comment
                • Noleafclover
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-06-13
                  • 1349

                  #9
                  edit: nm, hadn't updated thread.
                  Comment
                  • firekillex
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-18-13
                    • 6420

                    #10
                    i see some great picks here. I did some research and decided to lay off the cowboys-giants game, looking at the broncos-pats over, has some real value there to. Might just take broncos -2.5 then over as well


                    and eagle by the way, respect on making 3k off 250, teasers are a great way to win in my experience to
                    Comment
                    • Noleafclover
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-06-13
                      • 1349

                      #11
                      There may be some correlation between a small away favorite and the over, if you wanted to parlay the 2. In either case, I'd wait to hear Welker and Thomas' status before taking the over. Though could live with welker and not thomas, and not sure about vice versa so the real question is if Welker's cleared. Line should jump within hours after he is though...

                      Honestly don't get the allure on teasing totals, games have a kind of character - either over or under, and its not worth laying 6.5 to 1 to move those lines 13 points. Someone made a pretty good case earlier statistically for PLEASING totals for this reason. Tonight's a good example.
                      Comment
                      • eagle8999
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-13-13
                        • 156

                        #12
                        Tough loss on first teaser hopefully the other pulls through
                        Comment
                        • Capper1124
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-23-13
                          • 1914

                          #13
                          Very nice. I like those plays. GL to you tomorrow
                          Comment
                          • firekillex
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-13
                            • 6420

                            #14
                            grabbed KC at -3 as well, cheers
                            GL to everybody tomorrow
                            Comment
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