i need the forums opinion on this

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  • Jotoole0821
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-23-13
    • 857

    #1
    i need the forums opinion on this
    Ive been having a tough time on this. I want to bet 400 on the pats monday night. Should i take the 2.5 -105 or their ml at +115? I don't care if you like Carolina i love Brady on MNF
  • Slimpickens
    SBR MVP
    • 10-28-12
    • 2030

    #2
    Take the ML. You will lose 400 even instead of 420 if you lay the -105.
    Comment
    • Jotoole0821
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-23-13
      • 857

      #3
      I know this line is going to go down too. The odds oflosing by two ot less doesn't add up.
      Comment
      • SteveRyan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-15-11
        • 1654

        #4
        Originally posted by Slimpickens
        Take the ML. You will lose 400 even instead of 420 if you lay the -105.
        Um...what?

        You're out $400 regardless of what happens.

        If you are sold on the Pats, you will want to take them with the points at -105. Carolina has a good shot at winning this game, but it could be close. Would suck to take the ML and lose $400 trying to chase an extra $80.

        If it was -1 I would take the ML but not at -2 or -3.
        Comment
        • Noleafclover
          SBR MVP
          • 06-06-13
          • 1349

          #5
          At +122 on 5d now, but still seems a little low compared to +2.5 -105, expect like +125. If it's between +2.5 -105 and +115 for you at your book, take the points I think. Could look at push charts to confirm...
          Comment
          • eagle8999
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-13-13
            • 156

            #6
            Wait until the props come out come gameday example i had tampa bay +7 and over 34.5. Don't know what the pats will be +5? And over 38? Just guessing of course if the pats lose it likely no more than 3pts my two cents
            Comment
            • eagle8999
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-13-13
              • 156

              #7
              The over and under with the tease spread combo can both hit lol it did in tampa fins game which i didn't even realize could happen
              Comment
              • Slimpickens
                SBR MVP
                • 10-28-12
                • 2030

                #8
                Originally posted by SteveRyan
                Um...what?

                You're out $400 regardless of what happens.

                If you are sold on the Pats, you will want to take them with the points at -105. Carolina has a good shot at winning this game, but it could be close. Would suck to take the ML and lose $400 trying to chase an extra $80.

                If it was -1 I would take the ML but not at -2 or -3.
                The Pats arent going to win and its not going to be close so if you take the meaningless 2.5 and lay 420 to win 400 you lose an extra 20. That is all I am saying. Guey could take his 400 and flush it down the toilet would be the same result.
                Comment
                • Trmeyer
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-03-11
                  • 1836

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Jotoole0821
                  Ive been having a tough time on this. I want to bet 400 on the pats monday night. Should i take the 2.5 -105 or their ml at +115? I don't care if you like Carolina i love Brady on MNF
                  Gotta take the free points.
                  Comment
                  • SteveRyan
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-15-11
                    • 1654

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Slimpickens
                    The Pats arent going to win and its not going to be close so if you take the meaningless 2.5 and lay 420 to win 400 you lose an extra 20. That is all I am saying. Guey could take his 400 and flush it down the toilet would be the same result.
                    Pffft....okay whatever.
                    Comment
                    • Jotoole0821
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-23-13
                      • 857

                      #11
                      i just love the patriots on monday night with brady and belichick. especially after a bye
                      Comment
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