My thoughts on tonights game.

[Eric22174]

I just want to post something that i'm guessing most people are thinking about. If you look at the below stat line from the 1st meeting between these two clubs last year at St. Louis you will notice the subpar numbers by Bradford. Are we sure that Clemens can't put up those same numbers and still cover the spread tonight? Seems like most coaches and particularly the veteran coaches play to there players strengths. He won't be asked to go out and throw the ball on all downs. I think Jeff Fisher will ask Clemens to manage the football game and slow the pace of the game down. So my pick will be the under in a 27-13 game. If you look at the below chart you will notice that the line has gone down and up several times now. Yet at no time did the percent of money on Seattle really waver. Also, take a look at the numbers from last years game in reference to my first comment.

5DIMES LINE MOVEMENTS

		Money Line		Spread		Total		1st Half		2nd Half
Date	Time	Fav	Dog	Fav	Dog	Over	Under	Fav	Dog	Fav	Dog
10/20	7:54pm			SEA-11 -110	STL11 -110	42 -110	42 -110
10/20	8:06pm			SEA-10.5 -110	STL10.5 -110	42 -110	42 -110
10/21	11:39am			SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42 -110	42 -110
10/21	5:32pm	SEA-650	STL+475	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42 -110	42 -110
10/21	8:35pm	SEA-620	STL+460	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42 -110	42 -110
10/22	12:41pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42 -110	42 -110
10/22	8:07pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110
10/23	12:45pm	SEA-570	STL+435	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110
10/23	8:51pm	SEA-570	STL+435	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42 -110	42 -110
10/24	12:12am	SEA-570	STL+435	SEA-11.5 +105	STL11.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110
10/24	4:54am	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110
10/24	11:14am	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	43 -110	43 -110
10/24	12:07pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	43 -110	43 -110	SEA-7	STL+7
10/24	12:09pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	43 -110	43 -110	SEA-6.5	STL+6.5
10/24	12:10pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	43 -110	43 -110	SEA-6.5	STL+6.5
10/24	6:29pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12 +105	STL12 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-6.5	STL+6.5
10/24	8:19pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-6.5	STL+6.5
10/24	8:21pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/25	7:12pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +110	STL12.5 -130	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/26	3:53am	SEA-650	STL+475	SEA-12.5 +110	STL12.5 -130	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/26	12:01pm	SEA-650	STL+475	SEA-12.5 +110	STL12.5 -130	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/26	10:41pm	SEA-650	STL+475	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/26	10:42pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/27	3:02am	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	42.5 -110	42.5 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/27	2:45pm	SEA-600	STL+450	SEA-12.5 +105	STL12.5 -125	43 -110	43 -110	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/27	11:39pm	SEA-590	STL+495	SEA-11.5 -102	STL11.5 -108	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/27	11:41pm	SEA-590	STL+495	SEA-11.5 -103	STL11.5 -107	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/27	11:52pm	SEA-590	STL+495	SEA-11.5 -103	STL11.5 -107	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	3:30am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -103	STL11.5 -107	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	8:36am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -105	STL11.5 -105	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	9:10am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -105	43 -105	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	9:28am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	9:39am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	9:51am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-4.5	STL+4.5
10/28	10:09am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	10:10am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-11.5 -107	STL11.5 -103	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	11:02am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-12 -105	STL12 -105	43 -108	43 -102	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	11:14am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-12 -105	STL12 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	11:22am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-12 -105	STL12 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	11:28am	SEA-600	STL+500	SEA-12.5 -105	STL12.5 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	11:35am	SEA-660	STL+540	SEA-12.5 -105	STL12.5 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:03pm	SEA-630	STL+520	SEA-12.5 -105	STL12.5 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:04pm	SEA-635	STL+525	SEA-12.5 -105	STL12.5 -105	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:10pm	SEA-630	STL+520	SEA-13 -107	STL13 -103	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:12pm	SEA-630	STL+520	SEA-13.5 -103	STL13.5 -107	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:17pm	SEA-660	STL+540	SEA-13.5 -103	STL13.5 -107	43.5 -107	43.5 -103	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:24pm	SEA-665	STL+545	SEA-13.5 -103	STL13.5 -107	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:34pm	SEA-665	STL+545	SEA-13.5 -103	STL13.5 -107	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7	STL+7
10/28	12:41pm	SEA-665	STL+545	SEA-13.5 -103	STL13.5 -107	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	12:42pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -105	STL13.5 -105	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	1:05pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -105	STL13.5 -105	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	1:08pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -102	STL13.5 -108	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	1:50pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -102	STL13.5 -108	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	2:10pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -102	STL13.5 -108	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5
10/28	2:17pm	SEA-690	STL+560	SEA-13.5 -102	STL13.5 -108	43.5 -108	43.5 -102	SEA-7.5	STL+7.5

Wilson	17/25	160	6.4	0	3	2-20
Bradford	16/30	221	7.4	0	1	2-12
Hekker	1/1	2	2.0	1	0	0-0

Rushing Leaders

Lynch	20	118	5.9	1	18
Turbin	6	45	7.5	0	13
Jackson	18	55	3.1	0	23
Richardson	6	16	2.7	0	8

Receiving Leaders

Rice	4	41	10.3	0	17	7
Lynch	4	37	9.3	0	16	4
Amendola	6	55	9.2	1	15	10
Givens	1	52	52.0	0	52	3

[Eric22174]

As well as your giving me Seattle at -4.5 1st half for 5 days your line was posted like that..... that after being at -7 to start the week. Maybe i'm reading into it to much but this game has "trap" written all over it.

[Eric22174]

Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 10 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:

• The team like Seattle won the game 8 times (80.0%)
• The team like St. Louis won the game 2 times (20.0%)
• The team like St. Louis did better against the spread, going 8-2 (80.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.5 points

Combined result of -13.5 and 43.5,

0-13.5

41-45.5

119

46-70-3

39.7%

70-46-3

60.3%

59-58-2

50.4%

58-59-2

49.6%

[Eric22174]

Cashed 3 tickets last night. 1st half, under and Rams. Congrats to those who had the same. I'm leaning dolphins this thursday 27-24