NFL Trends ATS and ML: Good Information to mull over

[AchillesTG]

I thought Vegas lines were unusually sharp this year, guess I was wrong.

Home Favorites (ATS) at 57% and Away Dogs at 42%.
Year in and Year Out, this number has been much closer to 50/50.

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss Tie)

Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	35-57-0	38.04%
Home Teams	57-35-0	61.96%
Favorites	64-28-0	69.57%
Dogs	28-64-0	30.43%
Away Favorites	20-13-0	60.61%
Away Dogs	15-44-0	25.42%
Home Favorites	44-15-0	74.58%
Home Dogs	13-20-0	39.39%

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	39-50-3	43.82%
Home Teams	50-39-3	56.18%
Favorites	47-42-3	52.81%
Dogs	42-47-3	47.19%
Away Favorites	15-18-0	45.45%
Away Dogs	24-32-3	42.86%
Home Favorites	32-24-3	57.14%
Home Dogs	18-15-0	54.55%

[arpeggiomeister]

Thanks for the info. Good stuff. We are midseason so you could see a correction. If that happens then you know to lean more on the dogs.

[AchillesTG]

Thanks for the info. Good stuff. We are midseason so you could see a correction. If that happens then you know to lean more on the dogs.

You are absolutely correct! The Books will not stand for throwing away an additional 6% to 7%. They will tighten the screws. By the end of the year it should be about 51%/49%.

[percystark]

home dogs and favs doing great!

[percystark]

Great info. like the way things are shaping up in week 7 for home teams again