Hedge? Or let it ride?!?!

[ram1502]

I have the falcons +11.5 as the 4th leg of a 13pt teaser ($130-$100)

Im contemplating playin pats ML+130 for $100 and guaranteeing at worst a push...

i realize this would take away my +++EV play, but if the pats somehow beat the falcons by 12+, im still left standing here holding my d*ck and $130 poorer which is ~2.5 units to me (if that matters...?).

What do you guys suggest I do?
Feedback will be much appreciated! Thanks in advance!

[beringeyy]

Lean on Pats tonight, but 11.5 sounds a lot. It would be smarter to hedge, no question... but cmon... don't be a pusy... no risk, no fun. But... why don't you play NE -11 instead?

[ram1502]

Well it wouldnt be an issue but im up like 1/1.5 units on the weekend and i dont wanna give most of it back when i should be hedging with a huge window for the pats to win by 1-11. Granted its an underdog going into the ga dome and beating a dominant home team/qb on sunday night, but crazier things have happened today...(see: sea/hou game)...

[Pivotpoint]

You have dirty birds @ home + 11.5 and your nervous?

They do call this gambling.

You have no worries.

[bostonboss]

patriots 38 falcons 10

[IamAmonkey]

breathe thru your mangina and calm down.. let atl +11.5 ride

[ram1502]

I never said i was nervous...i obviously like the falcons here or i wouldnt have made the play. The question is what should i do? In general...independent of who/where/when? Or what would you guys do?

[Pivotpoint]

patriots 38 falcons 10

Is this simply wishful thinking from a homer, boston boss?

If not, stop drinking asap + put bong away.

[Pivotpoint]

breathe thru your mangina and calm down.. let atl +11.5 ride

[ram1502]

breathe thru your mangina and calm down.. let atl +11.5 ride

Posts like this are exactly why everybody is leaving this forum. Earth to you! You're not a GD comedian. I asked a question because i thought this was a sports betting forum where some colleagues might have some educated responses...not the apollo. Thanks for your constructive feedback tho, you fu*kin prick.

And yes its called gambling, but its still an educated, calculated risk, no? Im just wondering what everyone thought. Thats it

[ram1502]

Lean on Pats tonight, but 11.5 sounds a lot. It would be smarter to hedge, no question... but cmon... don't be a pusy... no risk, no fun. But... why don't you play NE -11 instead?

I dont have the NE-11 option with my local or i would def do that

[bostonboss]

Is this simply wishful thinking from a homer, boston boss?

If not, stop drinking asap + put bong away.

scoreboard

[IamAmonkey]

ok Ram its time to feel it
and deal it atl +11.5. just one more atl score(td that is) makes it good to go

[IamAmonkey]

by the way had atl-2 as last leg of a 4 teamer parlay.. backed it up with a teaser ne+9 o 44...

[beringeyy]

After I feel very comfortable with NE ML I am currently crossing my fingers for you to cover.

[beringeyy]

Ouch... the feeling is gone.

[beringeyy]

Booooom... bad thing for you... you will have to waste the biggest part of your profits for heart medication. Congrats. Or did u hedge anyway?

[IamAmonkey]

like I said just let it run...easy money