Need hedge advice have Pats +3 in parlay

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  • pita3713h
    SBR Hustler
    • 06-23-10
    • 88

    #1
    Need hedge advice have Pats +3 in parlay
    Need some advice here, down 200 on week, and have this parlay going right now. I can get Falcons -3 at +100 but its moving, was +105 15 minutes ago. Should I try and hedge to cover what I am down + price of bet and let it ride, or should i lock in half profits.
    9/29/13 4:05pm $350.00 $2,974.42 Pending 5 Team Parlay
    Win 9/29/13 4:05pm NFL Football 216 Tennessee Titans -178* vs New York Jets
    Win 9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 217 Dallas Cowboys/San Diego Chargers Over 46 -120*
    Win 9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 219 Washington Redskins -185* vs Oakland Raiders
    Win 9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 222 Denver Broncos -475* vs Philadelphia Eagles
    Pending 9/29/13 8:30pm NFL Football 223 New England Patriots +3 -125* vs Atlanta Falcons
    Thanks in advance
  • DoYouNotGetIT
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-25-13
    • 529

    #2
    My advice always hedge. If you are happy to win a $1000 back then just bet $1400 on Atlanta -3 at -110. If you really want to win it don't hedge, but I always think that is a bad move. I never hedge all the way, because what was the point of betting the last game then, but I hedge enough that I will be happy either way. If you need the money hedge it to the 50/50 mark, but next time know that you are wasting money by betting on the late game because you are paying a vig.

    Forgot about your original $350 so it would be about 1400 at -3 -110 to win a $1000.
    Comment
    • pronk
      Restricted User
      • 11-22-08
      • 6887

      #3
      I would wait for live betting and hedge it when Atlanta falls behind.
      Comment
      • DoYouNotGetIT
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-25-13
        • 529

        #4
        Originally posted by pronk
        I would wait for live betting and hedge it when Atlanta falls behind.
        Then get screwed if Roddy White or Julio Jones scores on the first play of the game. Atlanta is either hot or cold they usually don't start off cold then get hot.

        Atlanta first quarters 7-0, 10-0 and 14-0.
        Comment
        • tien2262
          SBR Hustler
          • 10-15-12
          • 83

          #5
          Pronk. Smart man

          Good advise man
          Comment
          • SoCalFisher
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-22-09
            • 769

            #6
            Hedge calculator says $1662 @+100 to walk away with $1312 either way. I say hedge.
            Comment
            • DoYouNotGetIT
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-25-13
              • 529

              #7
              Originally posted by tien2262
              Pronk. Smart man

              Good advise man
              If this was another team I would say smart advise, but this is Atlanta a team that starts off hot most games. 7-0 10-0 and 14-0 in the three previous games they played.
              Comment
              • DoYouNotGetIT
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-25-13
                • 529

                #8
                So what did you decide to do?
                Comment
                • ballstar25
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 08-12-13
                  • 84

                  #9
                  dont hedge trust me
                  Comment
                  • goduke
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-10
                    • 11580

                    #10
                    do not hedge!
                    Comment
                    • DoYouNotGetIT
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-25-13
                      • 529

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ballstar25
                      dont hedge trust me
                      If I saw someone say don't hedge trust me that means I am definitely going to hedge. WHAT A BAD SIGN!!!
                      Comment
                      • slacker00
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-06-05
                        • 12262

                        #12
                        Hedging is weak sauce. Place the bet, ride it out. Don't pay juice both ways because of fear.
                        Comment
                        • Pivotpoint
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-06
                          • 1762

                          #13
                          Originally posted by slacker00
                          Hedging is weak sauce. Place the bet, ride it out. Don't pay juice both ways because of fear.


                          Truth
                          Comment
                          • pita3713h
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 06-23-10
                            • 88

                            #14
                            Call me a puss but locked in at falcons -3 -105. Put 1700 on it so locked in either 1k or 1.2 in profit after erasing the 200 I was down. Paid a lot of big but still a win. Most profitable out come would be all wins by three. One bet push and parlay would pay 1518. Thanks for the advice
                            Comment
                            • pronk
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-22-08
                              • 6887

                              #15
                              Do it now
                              Comment
                              • pronk
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-22-08
                                • 6887

                                #16
                                Atlanta was +2
                                Comment
                                • pita3713h
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 06-23-10
                                  • 88

                                  #17
                                  Thanks pronk but I hedged before game time. got cold feet kicking myself a little but still a win
                                  Comment
                                  • epics
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-01-12
                                    • 155

                                    #18
                                    Either way nice win but good thing cuz ATL is going to cover the game.. I hope!
                                    Comment
                                    • ANGRYBLACK
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-16-10
                                      • 1148

                                      #19
                                      If every bet you ever made was hedged, you'd be rich. I had 6 parlays last leg Chiefs and hedged . I only hedge to get back my original stake, though. I made 800 instead of 1100. No biggie. If I didn't hedge, the Giants probably would've won. LOL!
                                      Comment
                                      • pita3713h
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 06-23-10
                                        • 88

                                        #20
                                        If I didn't hedge out all would be up 21 at half.
                                        Comment
                                        • pita3713h
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 06-23-10
                                          • 88

                                          #21
                                          Atlanta. Spelling
                                          Comment
                                          • slacker00
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-06-05
                                            • 12262

                                            #22
                                            Next time don't build parlays that might ever need to be hedged out. Basically, assume every parlay is going to win.
                                            Comment
                                            • Noleafclover
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-06-13
                                              • 1349

                                              #23
                                              Only reason to "hedge" is if information changes and you like the other side. Otherwise, don't put the last leg in the parlay.

                                              A hedge is just a new bet on the opposite side, unless you like it alone (i.e. change of information) don't put yourself in a position to have to hedge.
                                              Comment
                                              • pita3713h
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 06-23-10
                                                • 88

                                                #24
                                                anyone think UCLA is going to lose this game, should i put a little action on utah at half to hedge a little +240
                                                10/3/13 5:07pm $100.00 $667.28 Pending 5 Team Parlay
                                                Pending 10/3/13 8:25pm NFL Football 302 Cleveland Browns -3 -135* vs Buffalo Bills
                                                Win 10/3/13 7:30pm College Football 303 Texas -275* vs Iowa State
                                                Win 10/3/13 8:30pm College Football 305 Western Kentucky -300* vs UL Monroe
                                                Pending 10/3/13 10:00pm College Football 307 UCLA -230* vs Utah
                                                Win 10/3/13 5:05pm MLB Baseball 906 St. Louis Cardinals -145* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (A Burnett - R must Start A Wainwright - R must Start)
                                                Totals: $100.00 $667.28
                                                Comment
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