2 15 team parlays about to hit. Hedging question

[gasto]

I already too Patriots +6 in one with more more pick. The other one has 4 open spots. Should i pick ATL + or straight ML on the other parlay. This way if Patriots lose by more than i only have 3 more spots on the other. Or should i wait for in game and hope Patriots score first and then pick ATL.

198611863-1	9/28/13 2:56am	$10.00	$1,738.14	Open	15 Team Parlay
				Win	9/28/13 12:30pm College Football 112 Pittsburgh U -5½ -110* vs Virginia
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 134 TCU -17½ -110* vs SMU
				Win	9/28/13 7:30pm College Football 136 Missouri -21½ -110* vs Arkansas State
				Win	9/28/13 10:30pm College Football 150 Arizona State -190* vs USC
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 159 Miami Florida -900* vs South Florida
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 204 Cleveland Browns +4½ -129* vs Cincinnati Bengals
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 205 Indianapolis Colts -370* vs Jacksonville Jaguars
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 208 Houston Texans +4½ -190* vs Seattle Seahawks
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 211 Chicago Bears Over 22½ -110* vs Detroit Lions
	9/29/13 11:49am			Pending	9/29/13 4:05pm NFL Football 216 Tennessee Titans -175* vs New York Jets
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 222 Denver Broncos 1st Quarter -230* vs Philadelphia Eagles
198611089-1	9/28/13 2:34am	$10.00	$1,826.87	Open	15 Team Parlay
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 134 TCU -17½ -110* vs SMU
				Win	9/28/13 7:30pm College Football 136 Missouri -21½ -110* vs Arkansas State
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 142 Georgia -168* vs LSU
				Win	9/28/13 7:00pm College Football 144 Washington U -350* vs Arizona U
				Win	9/28/13 6:30pm College Football 146 Alabama -14 -110* vs Mississippi
				Win	9/28/13 10:30pm College Football 147 California +45½ -400* vs Oregon
				Win	9/28/13 7:00pm College Football 153 Texas A&M -570* vs Arkansas
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 155 Oklahoma -190* vs Notre Dame
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 162 Clemson -20½ -325* vs Wake Forest
				Win	9/28/13 10:00pm College Football 177 Stanford -350* vs Washington State
	9/29/13 7:04am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 205 Indianapolis Colts -400* vs Jacksonville Jaguars
	9/29/13 7:04am			Pending	9/29/13 4:05pm NFL Football 216 Tennessee Titans -185* vs New York Jets
	9/29/13 7:04am			Pending	9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 222 Denver Broncos -550* vs Philadelphia Eagles
	9/29/13 7:04am			Pending	9/29/13 8:30pm NFL Football 223 New England Patriots +6 -200* vs Atlanta Falcons

[Fancy Football]

jesus christ... nice job man

[Sarunas]

[gasto]

Glad i added over 39.5 to hedge my other parlay. Figured Pats would at least score 17 and if they did not cover then i would at least win the over 39.5. Updated parlays.

198611863-1	9/28/13 2:56am	$10.00	$2,223.73	Open	15 Team Parlay
				Win	9/28/13 12:30pm College Football 112 Pittsburgh U -5½ -110* vs Virginia
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 134 TCU -17½ -110* vs SMU
				Win	9/28/13 7:30pm College Football 136 Missouri -21½ -110* vs Arkansas State
				Win	9/28/13 10:30pm College Football 150 Arizona State -190* vs USC
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 159 Miami Florida -900* vs South Florida
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 204 Cleveland Browns +4½ -129* vs Cincinnati Bengals
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 205 Indianapolis Colts -370* vs Jacksonville Jaguars
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 208 Houston Texans +4½ -190* vs Seattle Seahawks
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 211 Chicago Bears Over 22½ -110* vs Detroit Lions
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 4:05pm NFL Football 216 Tennessee Titans -175* vs New York Jets
	9/29/13 11:49am			Win	9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 222 Denver Broncos 1st Quarter -230* vs Philadelphia Eagles
	9/29/13 7:48pm			Pending	9/29/13 8:30pm NFL Football 223 New England Patriots/Atlanta Falcons Over 39½ -360*
198611089-1	9/28/13 2:34am	$10.00	$1,826.87	Open	15 Team Parlay
				Win	9/28/13 12:00pm College Football 134 TCU -17½ -110* vs SMU
				Win	9/28/13 7:30pm College Football 136 Missouri -21½ -110* vs Arkansas State
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 142 Georgia -168* vs LSU
				Win	9/28/13 7:00pm College Football 144 Washington U -350* vs Arizona U
				Win	9/28/13 6:30pm College Football 146 Alabama -14 -110* vs Mississippi
				Win	9/28/13 10:30pm College Football 147 California +45½ -400* vs Oregon
				Win	9/28/13 7:00pm College Football 153 Texas A&M -570* vs Arkansas
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 155 Oklahoma -190* vs Notre Dame
				Win	9/28/13 3:30pm College Football 162 Clemson -20½ -325* vs Wake Forest
				Win	9/28/13 10:00pm College Football 177 Stanford -350* vs Washington State
	9/29/13 7:04am			Win	9/29/13 1:00pm NFL Football 205 Indianapolis Colts -400* vs Jacksonville Jaguars
	9/29/13 7:04am			Win	9/29/13 4:05pm NFL Football 216 Tennessee Titans -185* vs New York Jets
	9/29/13 7:04am			Win	9/29/13 4:25pm NFL Football 222 Denver Broncos -550* vs Philadelphia Eagles
	9/29/13 7:04am			Pending	9/29/13 8:30pm NFL Football 223 New England Patriots +6 -200* vs Atlanta Falcons

[mikew]

well done sir. GL

[beringeyy]

Impressive.

[King000]

Very Nice Sir. Very Nice!

[JM17]

damn son

[Riza]

NICE! now close these open parlays. dont ruin it by betting on monday night or thursday night football also. GL

[Undefined1]

Please post your parlays on a thread beforehand next time, thank you. Cheers.

[BigPage25]

Nicely done bro

[booksbroker]

Wow amazing!!!

[gasto]

Thanks guys. Feel like pulling the trigger on parlay with one open spot with Miami win. It pays +250, so I would win just over $6k. It sounds greedy. Will wait after work to decide. My strategy I am a huge believer in going against public feel. Or just short the favorites a bit, say pick them to win by less than a touchdown from listed spread.

For example, if a favorite wins by a lot in college in first half, even if its 40 points, they tend to lose the second half or at least not cover the second half spread. Also heavy public plays, I will try to add a touchdown to the losing team.

Lastly, dont accept the due theory. It does happen, but i mostly lose when i go with that. Look at Pitt vs Minnesota- Minnesota won with new QB. Had a hunch Pats would win, seeing how everyone believed they would lose. Philadelphia are a bad team, gets 14 points, makes bettors doubt the right play Denver. Also Jets just a bad team going to Tennesse, line was short so as to allow public to buy a few more points on Jets- bad decision. Hopefully this helps. I am still trying to figure it all, but I like this place to have a feel of where the public dollars are.

Bottom line these games are a business. So the outcomes are not that predictable.

[DoYouNotGetIT]

Will never get the point of including minus 600 or more in your parlays, because they add little value.