Colts - 7 1/2

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  • Pivotpoint
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-06
    • 1762

    #1
    Colts - 7 1/2
    Humor me.

    I know that this thread will get bumped to the top if I lose. Some might call it square. What ever.

    But, someone tell me, how the hell do you put hard earned dollars, on Jags and Gabbert?



    I'm aware of danger and lack of success with Colts as Road favs. Trends point Jax coming off BB double digit loses, but come-on now.


    Colts got physical with Niners and I was impressed with their play and that of Richardson.


    Jax is just a group of young players and journeymen. How many starters would start for the Colts ?


    Aware that Colts Run D a bit soft, But MJD nicked up. Can he or Jags really take advantage of Colts missing DE Ricky Jean-Francis and Safety Landry?


    I bet this right away at 7 1/2 . Surprised that line hasn't budged TD + hook.


    Looks like around 75% of the spread money on Colts. Number climbing, but my book is holding at 7 1/2?


    Hell, I had decent day. Going to put another unit on Mr Luck.


    This seals the deal. Good luck with this coach!


    Coach Gus Bradley said he wants Blaine Gabbert to take more chances and not be as conservative.

    Gabbert has a career 5.5 YPA and 53.4 completion rate on 726 attempts, meaning he's not completing many passes or not taking downfield shots when he is completing them. The offensive line is partly to blame, but Gabbert sees ghosts in the pocket and checks down regularly. Cecil Shorts' fantasy value takes a hit with Gabbert's reinsertion into the lineup. Gabbert averaged a pitiful 3.5 YPA in Week 1.



    I use to live in Vegas and I imagined this playing out.


    Bettor: Game 206 for a Nickel.


    Ticket Writer: Glances up in surprise, Sir you want The Jaguars for a Nickel +7 1/2 ?


    Bettor: Swallows hard and replies Yes.


    Ticket Writer: Holds back grin, good luck sir.


    SBR Forum member sitting in sports-book with 3 free Heinekens and two cocktails, looks up and says to his buddy. Now that penetrator is sharp, all the squares are on Colts.


    Colts it is - 7 1/2.

    I'm smiling because I know I'll get roasted if I lose. Posters will take great pleasure in bumping.

    I'll take my chances. Sometimes the money is just sitting there and you simply have to bend down and pick it up. gl with your pick
  • Jikos
    SBR MVP
    • 04-28-13
    • 1663

    #2
    I like this too
    Comment
    • k13
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-16-10
      • 18116

      #3
      Line should be -3.5 but yeah....
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        id worry a lot more about mjd against a soft run defense than i would gabbert garbage ass. plus colts newfound roughneck style isnt exactly conducive to blowouts if ya ask me, sf not withstanding.. i think jags will hang around with the run gm and colts will let them by being conservative..i like indy teased under a fg but i wouldnt lay over a td in this gm..not to worry tho, i promise i wont bump this if you win or lose..gl
        Comment
        • JM17
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-19-13
          • 836

          #5
          this forum always seems to make me second guess the obvious. stop over thinking it. Jags are terrible.
          Comment
          • slacker00
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-06-05
            • 12262

            #6
            A few things to consider... It's a road divisional game. It's basically a Jags SuperBowl at this point with nothing else to play for, Jags aiming at knocking off a division rival. Jags are getting a few guys back, notably Marcedes Lewis, a big offensive cog that should help a sputtering offense. The line opened at a sensible number, but it's been bet up so much it's Jags or no-play at the current line. The Colts getting overvalued after winning @SF. Look over the Colts history, they really shouldn't be laying 7 on the road to anyone, they probably win by 3 or 4 at the most.
            Comment
            • pattymayo
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-19-09
              • 10221

              #7
              Originally posted by slacker00
              A few things to consider... It's a road divisional game. It's basically a Jags SuperBowl at this point with nothing else to play for, Jags aiming at knocking off a division rival. Jags are getting a few guys back, notably Marcedes Lewis, a big offensive cog that should help a sputtering offense. The line opened at a sensible number, but it's been bet up so much it's Jags or no-play at the current line. The Colts getting overvalued after winning @SF. Look over the Colts history, they really shouldn't be laying 7 on the road to anyone, they probably win by 3 or 4 at the most.
              this

              classic in-between sandwich game for the Colts... huge win in SF last week, and a huge game next week at home against the Seahawks. Now they need to fly across the country and get pumped up for a shit road game against the worst team in the league? Can't see Luck & co getting too fired up here. I tihnk Jags keep it close, +8.5 for me
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                Originally posted by JM17
                this forum always seems to make me second guess the obvious. stop over thinking it. Jags are terrible.
                says the guy who told everyone lsu was gonna smash uga..you could use some thought in your life kid..
                Comment
                • Dyl
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 12-30-12
                  • 48

                  #9
                  Colts -6.5
                  Comment
                  • Pivotpoint
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-02-06
                    • 1762

                    #10
                    Read this over. Wow was I baked late last night when I typed this.

                    Baked, cronked or not. Sometimes it's as simple as simply bending down and picking that shitz up.

                    Question is : did squares win or did guys pretending to be sharp lose?

                    Couldn't find one with Benjamis, to lazy to make.

                    Jackson's will have to do, you'll get the idea.

                    <iframe width="640" height="480" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/4jZ1M-W43xc?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
                    Comment
                    • Pivotpoint
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-02-06
                      • 1762

                      #11
                      http://<iframe width="640" height="480" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/4jZ1M-W43xc?rel=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
                      Comment
                      • ThaTopMoron
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-30-10
                        • 27020

                        #12
                        Originally posted by k13
                        Line should be -3.5 but yeah....
                        Colts would be favored over the Niners home and away right now
                        Comment
                        • STAY STRONG
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 2498

                          #13
                          in it to win it
                          Comment
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