Every year, I bet my entire bankroll on Super Bowl props. You bet the good stuff early, and the "No" stuff late with whatever you have left.
1 hour before game time, look for these props:
"Will XXX score a TD?" Take the no. You can price these individually, but the value is almost always on the no.
"Will the game go to overtime?" Take the no. Don't be afraid to lay -1400.
"Will the game be won by exactly 3 points?" Take the no. -700, no problem!
"Will xxxx happen?" Anything where you are laying -600 or more on the no probably has value. Price it yourself... But there will be so much value on big-juice items today, it's easy to safely spread your bank on it. If you're going to bet these bridge jumpers, MAKE SURE you spread them around. Don't bet more than 4% of your bank on any one play.
1 hour before game time, look for these props:
"Will XXX score a TD?" Take the no. You can price these individually, but the value is almost always on the no.
"Will the game go to overtime?" Take the no. Don't be afraid to lay -1400.
"Will the game be won by exactly 3 points?" Take the no. -700, no problem!
"Will xxxx happen?" Anything where you are laying -600 or more on the no probably has value. Price it yourself... But there will be so much value on big-juice items today, it's easy to safely spread your bank on it. If you're going to bet these bridge jumpers, MAKE SURE you spread them around. Don't bet more than 4% of your bank on any one play.