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  • mp5070
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-13-08
    • 5446

    #1
    Service Picks
    Kelso's
    2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB

    Sunday, February 01, 2009
    100 Units
    Cardinals (+6½) over Steelers
    6:25 PM -- Super Bowl XLIII - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa,
    Arizona by 3-4



    10 Units
    Steelers/Cardinals OVER 46½ Points
    6:25 PM -- Super Bowl XLIII - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa,
    49 or more points
    Proposition Bet #1: Will game go to overtime? Yes +700
    Proposition Bet #2: Will Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona) score at least one touchdown? Yes -105
    Proposition Bet #3: Player to score first touchdown of game: Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona) 6-1



    • All times Eastern
    • Home team in CAPS

  • mp5070
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-13-08
    • 5446

    #2
    Bob Balfe

    NFL Football
    Arizona/Pittsburgh Under 46.5
    Both teams are really going to struggle running the football in this game. Pittsburgh has a great defense, but Arizona also has a defense who can stop the run and their secondary has players who are big and can cover well. If both teams do not have balance I do not see this being a high scoring game. This is not a football game, this is a bigtime event which means teams take a while to settle in. Pittsburgh does not have the offensive firepower to score a ton of points. Arizona does have the ability to score quick, but they pride themselves on long drives which is great for an under play. I could not pick a side in this game. On paper I do like the Cardinals. They have a better offense then the Steelers, but they are not going to move the ball at will against this defense. I would not be shocked to see Pittsburgh cover in the same way as they did against the Ravens two weeks ago. The key to this game is Steelers Defensive Coordinator Dick Lebow who is as good as anyone ever to walk this earth in stopping the oppositions offense. Another key is Arizona Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt who was the Steelers Offensive Coordinator in Super Bowl XL. Whisenhunt knows the Steelers offense well and can give his defense valuable information on how to defend them. Also, I do not see Arizona connecting on a lot of trick plays in this game, the Steelers defense is just too good and will be ready for it. This reminds me a lot of the Bucs/Raiders Super Bowl a few years ago except both staffs really know each other well. This might be the first Super Bowl in a while that is actually won on coaching and not talent. Look for a hard hitting game with it staying under the total.

    I wish you all the best of luck and thank you for being on board this year! I look forward to working with you again in many seasons to come!

    Super Bowl Prop Bets

    Length of Jennifers National Anthem Moneyline
    Under 2min 3sec -115

    The Result of the Coin Toss Will Be Moneyline
    Tails -105

    MVP of Game
    Field (Any Other Player) +800

    Willie Parker Total Rushing Yards Moneyline
    Under 84½ Rushing Yards -115

    Will Edgerrin James score a Touchdown Moneyline
    No -400

    Will Willie Parker score a Touchdown Moneyline
    Yes -125

    Neil Rackers Total Points Moneyline
    Over 7 Points -115

    Ben Roethlisberger Total Pass Attempts Moneyline
    Under 31½ Pass Attempts -115

    Ben Roethlisberger 1st Rushing Attempt Moneyline
    Over 1½ Yards -130

    Will Both Teams Make a 33 or Longer Field Goals Moneyline
    Yes +145

    Total net yards in the game Moneyline
    Under 670½ Yards -120
    Comment
    • mp5070
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-13-08
      • 5446

      #3
      DOC

      4 Unit Play. #101 Take Pittsburgh over Arizona (Sunday 6:20 pm NBC) Pitt 27, Arizona 13.
      Comment
      • mp5070
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-13-08
        • 5446

        #4
        BEN BURNS

        I'm playing on Pittsburgh and Arizona to finish UNDER the total.
        *Playoff TOY
        Comment
        • mp5070
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-13-08
          • 5446

          #5
          indiancowboy


          5 Unit Play. #102. Take Arizona Cardinals +7 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday @ 6:20pm). I will gladly take the team that defeated my Falcons at home. Bear in mind that these two teams actually met a few years in ago in Arizona and the Cardinals handled this team fine 21-14 on September 30th, 2007. Why do I mention that game? Well, Kurt Warner picked up apart this Steelers defense fairly well and note, he only ended up playing roughly half the game in that contest and completed14 of 21 attempts, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions. Well, now Kurt will get to play the entire game. Big Ben did throw for 2 touchdowns in that game but also threw 2 interceptions. Bear in mind that this Cardinals team deserves to be here for the simple fact they beat the Falcons, Eagles and the best team in the NFC Panthers on the road - and frankly, hammered them on the road. Although Boldin has been grumbling, I'm sure those issues have been ironed out for the Big Game and frankly, it ends up being a great deception as the Cards are well focused for this game. Look, the Cardinals are made of many, many ex-steeler coaches and contact. From the Cardinals head coach who knows Big Ben inside out to the assistant coach who knows their offensive line very well, the Cardinals will be more than prepared for this game. Nothing against Mike Tomlin, but Ken Whisenhunt is the better coach. The Cardinals have nothing to lose, they will come in this game ready to wheel and deal - remember Kurt has won his Super Bowl already - and Whisenhurt is awesome and getting his players up and ready for the big game. After all, look at the last 3 contests for Cardinals. They were all games in which these had to fight adversity, and either come back or take on the underdog role. In short, the Cardinals could very well win this game outright. At worst, I expect this team to lose by a field goal to 5 points today but bear in mind the Cardinals have the offense and defensive pressure schemes to get it done today. I'll say it again, this game will come down to coaching and Whisenhunt is by far the better coach and I think that will end up being the difference today. Yes, the Steelers have the better defense, but if there is anyone that can pick apart that defense, it is Kurt Warner. He did it two years ago when he didn't have all the weapons he has today, he did it at Carolina and let's not forget this Cardinals offensive line has played together all season long. That's right, they have started together the entire season and this defensive line of the Cardinals is stout as well. I will take Arizona once again to win outright or just fall short in a competitive game. The Arizona Cardinals have nothing to lose. Heck, they have nothing to lose and should not even be here in some respects. This team will have a no holds bar approach and there is only one kryptonite to the Pittsburgh Steelers defense - someone who is as seasoned as it comes - Kurt Warner gets it done.

          3 Unit Play. Take Over 46.5 between the Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals (Sunday @ 6:20pm). I can see the arguments for both sides as it relates to how the side will play out. But, as per the total in this game, there is every reason to think that this has a great shot at going over. After all, considering the fact that the Steelers will take a page from the Eagles 2nd half book against the Cardinals, considering the Cardinals and their potent offense of their own spreading the field with Fitzgerald and Boldin, the over being 7-1 ATS when the Steelers are favored and the over being 38-13 for the Cardinals in their last 51 games as Underdogs, I epxect this game to go over. After all, there is plenty of blood between the coaching staffs of these two teams as many of the Steelers ex-coaches are now the lead at Arizona which makes for a great story line here - more importantly, it makes for an over.

          1 Unit Prop Wager: Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 44.5 (-110): Can you imagine a drive stalling at the 30-35 yard line for either team? I sure can. I believe both these offenses will have success and consequently will drive the ball successfully down field. Of course, this does not mean they will get to the endzone each time as I believe the defenses will tighten up as the opposing offenses approach the endzone. I look for both teams to allow the other to get across midfield, but then tighten up and consequently results in several long field goal attempts. There is no reason why there should not be a successfull field goal made over 44.5 and who knows, maybe that field goal could very well be the game winner.

          1 Unit Prop Wager: Field Goals Made: Over 3.5 (-110). If you read the analysis is above, you will understand the take I have on this game. Once again, I believe both teams will have success moving the ball on the opposing team and who is to say that one team alone might not chuck up four field goals? Look for both offensive coordinators to have success but then drives to stall as they opposing team gets further down field. I expect around 5 field goals, so this is a take considering it is just at 3.5. Heck, the first half alone could yield 3 field goals and the second half will yield at least one in my opinion.

          1 Unit Prop Wager: Cardinals will Convert more than 4.5 - 3rd down Conversions (-110). The Arizona Cardinals would not have made it to the playoffs, would not have won their division, would not have beat the Falcons at home, would not have crushed the Panthers on the road and would not have beat the Eagles at home if they did not time and time again convert third downs. They are not going to Tampa like the Seattle Seahawks to get embarrassed by this team. The Cardinals will be fired up, ready to roll and there is no better kryptonite to the Steelers defense, than Kurt Warner. I look for the Cardinals to convert several third downs in one drive alone and to have a no holds bar approach and they could very well achieve this mark by mid 3rd quarter.
          Comment
          • SportNut
            SBR MVP
            • 05-16-07
            • 1984

            #6
            lt profits

            3* steelers
            Comment
            • chrisharvard01
              Restricted User
              • 10-24-08
              • 2943

              #7
              good read

              GL
              Comment
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