Some extremely good shouts there Bank. Impressive stuff as usual and many thanks! Hoping the Pats +8 comes in now.
Bankers throwing darts at the NFL all season (again)...
Collapse
X
-
legend210SBR Rookie
- 10-13-13
- 43
#1366Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1367Where my 2 gay ass stalkers? Gotta lay in the weeds another week u little bitches...Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1368This fuckin gm should be 7-0 or 7-3.. How the fukk u cap 3 fumbles in 1st 7 damn minutes? Still think under good. Live bet pats+20.5.. Also playing pats-6 and under 24 2nd halfComment -
JayLASBR Hall of Famer
- 09-11-12
- 7806
#1369Originally posted by 2daBankWhere my 2 gay ass stalkers? Gotta lay in the weeds another week u little bitches...
Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1370cash pats ml, the teaser, +20.5 live, -6 2nd half,, under would have hit w/o the 3 bs fluke fumbles to start the gm.. pats d did the job..Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#1371cashing straight to the bank, nice job kidOriginally posted by 2daBankcash pats ml, the teaser, +20.5 live, -6 2nd half,, under would have hit w/o the 3 bs fluke fumbles to start the gm.. pats d did the job..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1372Originally posted by 2daBank
Originally Posted by 2daBank
chargers+4 (1.5x)... yeah sd has lost 3 in a row but not like kc been playing great ball failing to cover 3 of last 4 and being out gained in 4 of their last 5...kc off their 1st loss and the rematch for the division on deck next week, not a spot i see them playing their best. i know sd is trash, hell ive said all yr how much i dislike this team but they make for a good team to back with points here...this matchup sets up as low and ugly where i think points will be at a premium, both teams limit the other teams possessions with methodical offenses, neither team is very good at defending the run, all adds up to the clock moving and a close score.... this is the chargers season while kc's fate is tied to next weeks gm, give me the points and the desperate team in a gm where both teams are built to keep it close...
zona-2.5 (2x).. you can have the qb, ill take the team that is better in just about every other facet of the gm, at home, only needing a fg victory to cover.. indy been playing some piss poor fb the last 3 weeks and it not gonna get better soon as they not coming in here and rushing the ball on one of the best run defenses in the league..fun fact of the week-- cardinals blitz more than any team in the league-- luck was completing 65% of his passes against the blitz before wayne went down, 36% since! indy is not as good as their record despite some of the quality teams they beat earlier on, they would be on a 3 game skid coming in if it wasnt for the ineptitude of the rest of their div... cards are rock solid, arians knows this indy team well, they will not allow colts to come in playing like crap and snake out a victory late like they have been doing.. 27-20 cardinals..
most likely still have a few more but wanted to get sd before it dropped any more and didnt wanna come back and see cards-3...
Originally Posted by 2daBank
2 team 6 point teaser (2x)
steelers+7.5
pats+8
much like last week if i can tease pats to get more than a td i dont care who they playing ill do it.. far as steelers go this looks like a 1 possession gm either way to me..if you wanna be greedy there a lot of really good teaser options this week. enough so that ill prob play a few with more teams, all these look good teased to me, dal+8.5, det-2.5, sd+10..
Originally Posted by 2daBank
2 team ml parlay +121 (1x)
panthers ml
ravens ml
a lot of ppl i respect are jumping on fish with the points, a lot of ppl that acted like mia was a sinking ship last week have all a sudden changed their minds based off what? beating the chargers..there a reason i took mia last week and it had more to do with sd than them, this week panthers will whip this team in the trenches. i get everyone wanting to be sharp and fading the long win streak and the big monday night win but honestly i still think guys are selling this team short, like they just some clowns that are happy they have won a few. i dont buy it, there a reason ive liked this team all yr and it will show up big today as they dominate phins at both lines of scrimmage and get the win they need to keep pace with the saints... i could see them not covering but i just cant see them losing this gm..
this balty team drives me nuts, if anyone is gonna screw this up it be them. jets got that whole every other week thing going but imo that has a lot more to do with circumstance than anything else, and the circumstance today is there no way they gonna beat the ravens just pounding the ball, that means geno is gonna have to beat them. ill take my chances with the defending champs to stay alive in the playoff race vs a guy playing qb who be better served working at Mcdonalds..
lambs/cubs ov 44 -120 (1.5x).. debated on this total all week, thought at 45.5 it was probably too close to play, with the drop feel like it now worth it as i put this in the 47-50 range but recognize there a little downside.. i think 44 is low enough to handle the downside..fully expect rams run gm to be very effective against bears beat up front 7, rams defense is certainly playing much more like they should have all year but i dont think they match up real well with bears wrs plus chi has enough balance with forte to make them pay if they hell bent on getting after the passer. both special teams capable of scoring or flipping field position to where we not dealing with a lot of long fields. think we see a few mistakes by both qbs that could lead to points and make this easier, i expect it to be a competitive gm as the line suggest.. 24-23 somebody..throw in the pats bets as well.. usually dont do this cause im not about pimping myself or my plays but im wondering how much money nittybitch and phillygetsfukkedbybadboys lost fading me today.. they so smart tho that i guess they only faded the 3 bad weeks i had..Originally posted by 2daBank
car/mia 1st half under 20.5 (1x)
Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#13732marro im square city..like panthers i dont wanna lay the number as all im sure of is sf not losing this gm. gonna wait it out, if i can buy them down to 3 on the cheap then that the route i will take. if line goes back up i will prob end up teasing them with dal on turkey day..prefer getting -3 around -125ish but we will see how the line goes..Comment -
Speedy88SBR Posting Legend
- 03-19-11
- 11717
#1374Agreed. Square city for me most likely tomorrow. Probably will try to find a ML in NBA or College Bball to pair with Niners ML. If I don't find anything, then I'll probably just eat the juice and buy down to 3.Originally posted by 2daBank2marro im square city..like panthers i dont wanna lay the number as all im sure of is sf not losing this gm. gonna wait it out, if i can buy them down to 3 on the cheap then that the route i will take. if line goes back up i will prob end up teasing them with dal on turkey day..prefer getting -3 around -125ish but we will see how the line goes..Comment -
Flagrant1SBR Hustler
- 02-22-13
- 90
#1375Very nice work Banker. You almost hit your 6 team teaser too if it wasn't for the Lions choking it away. Great job my man.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1376YEa damn. Lions.. Tampa gave them so many chances w the missed fgs and shit.. That a 6 teamer for yea.. LolOriginally posted by Flagrant1Very nice work Banker. You almost hit your 6 team teaser too if it wasn't for the Lions choking it away. Great job my man.Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#1377take x different events, each HIGHLY LIKELY to occur...Originally posted by 2daBankYEa damn. Lions.. Tampa gave them so many chances w the missed fgs and shit.. That a 6 teamer for yea.. Lol
one of them NOT occurring is also HIGHLY LIKELY (and increasingly so as x increases)
cuz the small probabilities of failure "add up" (literally...with independent events like this...the probability of one of the compound events failing is the simple sum of all the individual failure-probabilities)...
"the probability of something unlikely happening goes up as the number of events goes up"...
this is why it's so common to have huge parlays of all heavy-faves "just miss by one"...and we always hear how it's the "last one" that ruined it...well, if it happened earlier than the last they'd have stopped watching and there'd be no dramatic story to report...
they are fun to play tho'...and it's funnily accurate (mathematically) to EXPECT that "at least one of em" is gonna screw me'...and feel gratefully surprised when it doesn't happen and the multi-legger cashesComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1378oh yea,, ive spent years in my threads preaching 2 teams 6 points is how you take adv of teasers and make them a straight up weapon against the books, whenever you start adding you playing into their hands.. think ive posted 4 now and hit 2 so at 6 to 1 that pretty good, was a really good set of numbers to tease this week so thought it was worth a shot, never expect it to win. the way det lost for being the only loss was a little disheartening but that life in the big leagues.. like i said i was gonna do tho i did end up doing several 3 and 4 teamers off that list so worked out ok.. important thing is the 2 teamer cashed as it almost always does, well depending who ya ask as rumor is i lose money at teasersOriginally posted by fitguy67take x different events, each HIGHLY LIKELY to occur...
one of them NOT occurring is also HIGHLY LIKELY (and increasingly so as x increases)
cuz the small probabilities of failure "add up" (literally...with independent events like this...the probability of one of the compound events failing is the simple sum of all the individual failure-probabilities)...
"the probability of something unlikely happening goes up as the number of events goes up"...
this is why it's so common to have huge parlays of all heavy-faves "just miss by one"...and we always hear how it's the "last one" that ruined it...well, if it happened earlier than the last they'd have stopped watching and there'd be no dramatic story to report...
they are fun to play tho'...and it's funnily accurate (mathematically) to EXPECT that "at least one of em" is gonna screw me'...and feel gratefully surprised when it doesn't happen and the multi-legger cashes
Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1379im all jacked up after a good day with plays, got my wife's side turkey day obligations taken care of so now im home with my fam watching the games on turkey day.. gotta work tues and wed so im gonna go ahead and start jamming out next weeks card now and will start posting some early thoughts for discussion
Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1380week 13
still gonna get back to sf gm but i wanted this now as i dont think numbers be around long..
2 team 6 point teaser (3x)
cowgirls-2.5
panthers-1.5
raiders pissed away their playoff elimination gm at home against a avg at best titans team, in the process they allowed fitpatrick and his band of so so weapons to pass for 320 freaking yards, i suspect romo and crew put on a little turkey do show here, of coarse it is dal and they just won a gm and are now favs so i dont really trust them to cover a number, think im asking about all you can out of them to hopefully not fukk up and lose which i dont think they will...
panthers-1.5 at home to the bucs? dont give a fukk that bucs are playing better fb, kinda give a fukk they gave det sorry asses 20 chances to cover the tease but that wasnt their fault it lost, det just a bunch of clowns as always. panthers are not and they aint gonna lose this gm while saints up in sea playing a physical ass gm..
thought about putting steelers here just to make it a turkey day play and while i think pit/balty is def a 1 possession gm that would be a tease i only did for 1.5u while i feel doubly confident here so i can handle waiting the few days... steelers certain a solid tease option for thu night tho..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1381jets-2 (2.5x)...been waiting for jets to play phins for some weeks now and couldnt have asked for the last few weeks to go better, mia has gotten some respect back after everyone hated them after the incident and loss to bucs but now after beating sd and playing panthers tough they have built back some equity. on the other had as we figured balty put a end to that every other week shit and before than bills annihilated them with geno looking like the complete and utter dog crap he is, like i said perfect!Originally posted by 2daBankweek 13
still gonna get back to sf gm but i wanted this now as i dont think numbers be around long..
2 team 6 point teaser (3x)
cowgirls-2.5
panthers-1.5
raiders pissed away their playoff elimination gm at home against a avg at best titans team, in the process they allowed fitpatrick and his band of so so weapons to pass for 320 freaking yards, i suspect romo and crew put on a little turkey do show here, of coarse it is dal and they just won a gm and are now favs so i dont really trust them to cover a number, think im asking about all you can out of them to hopefully not fukk up and lose which i dont think they will...
panthers-1.5 at home to the bucs? dont give a fukk that bucs are playing better fb, kinda give a fukk they gave det sorry asses 20 chances to cover the tease but that wasnt their fault it lost, det just a bunch of clowns as always. panthers are not and they aint gonna lose this gm while saints up in sea playing a physical ass gm..
thought about putting steelers here just to make it a turkey day play and while i think pit/balty is def a 1 possession gm that would be a tease i only did for 1.5u while i feel doubly confident here so i can handle waiting the few days... steelers certain a solid tease option for thu night tho..
now many it strange to hear but i dont care how bad geno has looked or how bad he really is but that is the case here.. jets will absolutly gash the phins soft ass run d, if or when geno makes a throw it will be set up so well off play action bootlegs that he will look fine doing it..fish give up 123 rypg but that has been even worse the last 3 weeks getting lit up to the tune of 143 at a 4.7 ypc clip, ivory and powell will dictate this gm..
offensively in a weird way i guess it somewhat of a adv for phins that they are so inept at running the ball that they dont even bother trying much vs stout run d's so maybe that negates nyj strong run defense. however once rex feels like he doesnt have to respect the run he will get after this patchwork oline and have his guys putting tannenhil on his ass repeatedly ..
bottom line mia is tailor made for the jets and i expect the guys in green to win this gm and somewhat handily, in the event it close hell we not even laying a fg (although i think that might change, it should anyway).. give me the good run gm vs the piss poor run d, at home, just needing to win and ill show you a bet i make every time... 24-14 jetsComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1382Originally posted by 2daBankweek 13
still gonna get back to sf gm but i wanted this now as i dont think numbers be around long..
2 team 6 point teaser (3x)
cowgirls-2.5
panthers-1.5
raiders pissed away their playoff elimination gm at home against a avg at best titans team, in the process they allowed fitpatrick and his band of so so weapons to pass for 320 freaking yards, i suspect romo and crew put on a little turkey do show here, of coarse it is dal and they just won a gm and are now favs so i dont really trust them to cover a number, think im asking about all you can out of them to hopefully not fukk up and lose which i dont think they will...
panthers-1.5 at home to the bucs? dont give a fukk that bucs are playing better fb, kinda give a fukk they gave det sorry asses 20 chances to cover the tease but that wasnt their fault it lost, det just a bunch of clowns as always. panthers are not and they aint gonna lose this gm while saints up in sea playing a physical ass gm..
thought about putting steelers here just to make it a turkey day play and while i think pit/balty is def a 1 possession gm that would be a tease i only did for 1.5u while i feel doubly confident here so i can handle waiting the few days... steelers certain a solid tease option for thu night tho..oak/dal ov 45.5 (1.5x).. mentioned what i think dal passing gm will do to the raiders, on the other side i think oak be game to score some points against a not particularly strong dal d.. think we talking dal in the 27-30 point range with oak getting us 20ish..Originally posted by 2daBank
jets-2 (2.5x)...been waiting for jets to play phins for some weeks now and couldnt have asked for the last few weeks to go better, mia has gotten some respect back after everyone hated them after the incident and loss to bucs but now after beating sd and playing panthers tough they have built back some equity. on the other had as we figured balty put a end to that every other week shit and before than bills annihilated them with geno looking like the complete and utter dog crap he is, like i said perfect!
now many it strange to hear but i dont care how bad geno has looked or how bad he really is but that is the case here.. jets will absolutly gash the phins soft ass run d, if or when geno makes a throw it will be set up so well off play action bootlegs that he will look fine doing it..fish give up 123 rypg but that has been even worse the last 3 weeks getting lit up to the tune of 143 at a 4.7 ypc clip, ivory and powell will dictate this gm..
offensively in a weird way i guess it somewhat of a adv for phins that they are so inept at running the ball that they dont even bother trying much vs stout run d's so maybe that negates nyj strong run defense. however once rex feels like he doesnt have to respect the run he will get after this patchwork oline and have his guys putting tannenhil on his ass repeatedly ..
bottom line mia is tailor made for the jets and i expect the guys in green to win this gm and somewhat handily, in the event it close hell we not even laying a fg (although i think that might change, it should anyway).. give me the good run gm vs the piss poor run d, at home, just needing to win and ill show you a bet i make every time... 24-14 jetsComment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP- 10-19-10
- 1866
#1383bank you can't when things like that happen nothing you can do my brother you had the right side nice jobOriginally posted by 2daBankThis fuckin gm should be 7-0 or 7-3.. How the fukk u cap 3 fumbles in 1st 7 damn minutes? Still think under good. Live bet pats+20.5.. Also playing pats-6 and under 24 2nd halfComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1384nice that it still worked out well, it was funny cause when it was 24-0 i was telling everyone at dinner pats were gonna still win cause peyton cant do shit.. all that dumb shit really did besides freak me out was screw the under which would have been a really good parlay for me, my own fault tho as i coulda hedge out at halftime with a small middle window.. oh well cause those fumbles did cause me to bet pats again +20.5 live and -6 second half so it all worked out..Originally posted by dilaudid8bank you can't when things like that happen nothing you can do my brother you had the right side nice job
what you think about jets next week?Comment -
tatddySBR Posting Legend
- 03-02-10
- 10779
#1385Good job and continued good luck.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1386thanx brother..what you think the best way to attack your 9ers tonight? feel much the same about them as i did panthers yesterday, i have little doubt they win but think it certainly possible that if skins come to play it could be somewhat of a grinder and the spread a toss up.. not big fan of laying over 2 to 1 on a nfl gm, be nice if there was something to parlay with them like i did panthers yesterday..Originally posted by tatddyGood job and continued good luck.Comment -
tatddySBR Posting Legend
- 03-02-10
- 10779
#1387Here's the thing. I bet a bit differently here than usual because I'm a big SF fan. Don't want to emotionally get into a situation where my team is winning by 10 and I have to worry about some backdoor cover bs 70 yard TD to Hankerson. Best play here was to buy down to 3 or 2.5 when the line was at 4. At this point I don't know what to tell you. ML steamed back up and I don't blame you for not wanting to lay the juice. I guess you could parlay with Pacers ml but I'm not a big NBA guy. Live betting might be your best bet.Originally posted by 2daBankthanx brother..what you think the best way to attack your 9ers tonight? feel much the same about them as i did panthers yesterday, i have little doubt they win but think it certainly possible that if skins come to play it could be somewhat of a grinder and the spread a toss up.. not big fan of laying over 2 to 1 on a nfl gm, be nice if there was something to parlay with them like i did panthers yesterday..
Skins TT under if all else fails.Comment -
dilaudid8SBR MVP- 10-19-10
- 1866
#1388yeah 2 great teams NYJ vs MIAMI who do you take. we seen what that great QB for the NYJ can do nothing man is that guy bad real bad.MIAMI playing in the cold but then if take NYJ you get that great QB this is one game I think i'm not going to betOriginally posted by 2daBanknice that it still worked out well, it was funny cause when it was 24-0 i was telling everyone at dinner pats were gonna still win cause peyton cant do shit.. all that dumb shit really did besides freak me out was screw the under which would have been a really good parlay for me, my own fault tho as i coulda hedge out at halftime with a small middle window.. oh well cause those fumbles did cause me to bet pats again +20.5 live and -6 second half so it all worked out..
what you think about jets next week?Comment -
Speedy88SBR Posting Legend
- 03-19-11
- 11717
#1389I'm going through my NBA card right now to find a nice ML to pair with Niners ML. Personally, I wouldn't do Pacers ML. I think Minnesota can very much win that game. I think Blazers ML is fairly safe, which is what I'm most likely going to go with. Pays about -110Originally posted by tatddyHere's the thing. I bet a bit differently here than usual because I'm a big SF fan. Don't want to emotionally get into a situation where my team is winning by 10 and I have to worry about some backdoor cover bs 70 yard TD to Hankerson. Best play here was to buy down to 3 or 2.5 when the line was at 4. At this point I don't know what to tell you. ML steamed back up and I don't blame you for not wanting to lay the juice. I guess you could parlay with Pacers ml but I'm not a big NBA guy. Live betting might be your best bet.
Skins TT under if all else fails.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1390monday night..
sf-3 1st half (1x)..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1391Strange how those 2 sissy trolls ain't got shit to say this week.. Another winner = it a good thing neither 1 has any money to fade like they claim. Hopefully they committed mass suicide..Comment -
hugh4310SBR MVP
- 01-10-10
- 2302
#1392Great week Bank, way to shut the haters up!Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1393Originally posted by 2daBankweek 13
still gonna get back to sf gm but i wanted this now as i dont think numbers be around long..
2 team 6 point teaser (3x)
cowgirls-2.5
panthers-1.5
raiders pissed away their playoff elimination gm at home against a avg at best titans team, in the process they allowed fitpatrick and his band of so so weapons to pass for 320 freaking yards, i suspect romo and crew put on a little turkey do show here, of coarse it is dal and they just won a gm and are now favs so i dont really trust them to cover a number, think im asking about all you can out of them to hopefully not fukk up and lose which i dont think they will...
panthers-1.5 at home to the bucs? dont give a fukk that bucs are playing better fb, kinda give a fukk they gave det sorry asses 20 chances to cover the tease but that wasnt their fault it lost, det just a bunch of clowns as always. panthers are not and they aint gonna lose this gm while saints up in sea playing a physical ass gm..
thought about putting steelers here just to make it a turkey day play and while i think pit/balty is def a 1 possession gm that would be a tease i only did for 1.5u while i feel doubly confident here so i can handle waiting the few days... steelers certain a solid tease option for thu night tho..Originally posted by 2daBank
jets-2 (2.5x)...been waiting for jets to play phins for some weeks now and couldnt have asked for the last few weeks to go better, mia has gotten some respect back after everyone hated them after the incident and loss to bucs but now after beating sd and playing panthers tough they have built back some equity. on the other had as we figured balty put a end to that every other week shit and before than bills annihilated them with geno looking like the complete and utter dog crap he is, like i said perfect!
now many it strange to hear but i dont care how bad geno has looked or how bad he really is but that is the case here.. jets will absolutly gash the phins soft ass run d, if or when geno makes a throw it will be set up so well off play action bootlegs that he will look fine doing it..fish give up 123 rypg but that has been even worse the last 3 weeks getting lit up to the tune of 143 at a 4.7 ypc clip, ivory and powell will dictate this gm..
offensively in a weird way i guess it somewhat of a adv for phins that they are so inept at running the ball that they dont even bother trying much vs stout run d's so maybe that negates nyj strong run defense. however once rex feels like he doesnt have to respect the run he will get after this patchwork oline and have his guys putting tannenhil on his ass repeatedly ..
bottom line mia is tailor made for the jets and i expect the guys in green to win this gm and somewhat handily, in the event it close hell we not even laying a fg (although i think that might change, it should anyway).. give me the good run gm vs the piss poor run d, at home, just needing to win and ill show you a bet i make every time... 24-14 jetsgotta actually do some work 2marro, not sure bout wed but think im gonna be busy so just putting this to the front and opening up the card for discussion..few gms that the lines have me a littleOriginally posted by 2daBank
oak/dal ov 45.5 (1.5x).. mentioned what i think dal passing gm will do to the raiders, on the other side i think oak be game to score some points against a not particularly strong dal d.. think we talking dal in the 27-30 point range with oak getting us 20ish..
like they really wanna give me 3.5 with zona? no disrespect to philly but i rate cards much higher and would make them about -3.5 on a neutral, even if philly gets a full 3 for home field which is hard to imagine considering their record at home there still a lot of value with cards imo, but almost feel like im being baited so im hesitant. anyone know what cards numbers are like traveling east for the early gm?
cincy/sd another gm where im a little surprised by the line.. on the surface it looks like another gm where ill happily take whatever plus money i can get on the road team.. think cincy will have their way offensively and unlike chiefs who's pass rush has died bungals will be getting after rivers.. i think they a no brainer teased over a td but also interested in the ml...
im in knock this card out mode so if you have any questions on any game fire away as it really helps my ADD ass focus..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1394really wish the buf/atl gm was actually being played in buf! stupid ass money grubbing nfl hard at work..i would love me some bills if they wernt playing in freaking toronto, not sure i can stomach laying 3.5 in what basically a neutral site and a fukkin dome, really not fair to bills they should have this dome team outside in the cold but their greedy ass owner doesnt care about winning he rather get another check, like these assholes dont make enough money!Comment -
tatddySBR Posting Legend
- 03-02-10
- 10779
#1395Grats mayneComment -
ercegSBR Rookie
- 11-13-13
- 21
#1396Great run bank!!! BOLComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1397thanx bro...nice call with the foreskins tt under also, you had this game nailed.. shocking to me that ppl actually bet skins, i mean im all for being against the masses and yea it makes me a little queasy taking a big time no brainer in prime time but sometimes it just is what it is. being contrarian aint worth a shit if you are unable to differentiate between the good and bad plays, there just was not a case to be made for skins or i would have made it, you cant bet teams with no angle besides "books never lose"..,Originally posted by tatddyGrats mayneComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1398Originally posted by 2daBankweek 13
still gonna get back to sf gm but i wanted this now as i dont think numbers be around long..
2 team 6 point teaser (3x)
cowgirls-2.5
panthers-1.5
raiders pissed away their playoff elimination gm at home against a avg at best titans team, in the process they allowed fitpatrick and his band of so so weapons to pass for 320 freaking yards, i suspect romo and crew put on a little turkey do show here, of coarse it is dal and they just won a gm and are now favs so i dont really trust them to cover a number, think im asking about all you can out of them to hopefully not fukk up and lose which i dont think they will...
panthers-1.5 at home to the bucs? dont give a fukk that bucs are playing better fb, kinda give a fukk they gave det sorry asses 20 chances to cover the tease but that wasnt their fault it lost, det just a bunch of clowns as always. panthers are not and they aint gonna lose this gm while saints up in sea playing a physical ass gm..
thought about putting steelers here just to make it a turkey day play and while i think pit/balty is def a 1 possession gm that would be a tease i only did for 1.5u while i feel doubly confident here so i can handle waiting the few days... steelers certain a solid tease option for thu night tho..Originally posted by 2daBank
jets-2 (2.5x)...been waiting for jets to play phins for some weeks now and couldnt have asked for the last few weeks to go better, mia has gotten some respect back after everyone hated them after the incident and loss to bucs but now after beating sd and playing panthers tough they have built back some equity. on the other had as we figured balty put a end to that every other week shit and before than bills annihilated them with geno looking like the complete and utter dog crap he is, like i said perfect!
now many it strange to hear but i dont care how bad geno has looked or how bad he really is but that is the case here.. jets will absolutly gash the phins soft ass run d, if or when geno makes a throw it will be set up so well off play action bootlegs that he will look fine doing it..fish give up 123 rypg but that has been even worse the last 3 weeks getting lit up to the tune of 143 at a 4.7 ypc clip, ivory and powell will dictate this gm..
offensively in a weird way i guess it somewhat of a adv for phins that they are so inept at running the ball that they dont even bother trying much vs stout run d's so maybe that negates nyj strong run defense. however once rex feels like he doesnt have to respect the run he will get after this patchwork oline and have his guys putting tannenhil on his ass repeatedly ..
bottom line mia is tailor made for the jets and i expect the guys in green to win this gm and somewhat handily, in the event it close hell we not even laying a fg (although i think that might change, it should anyway).. give me the good run gm vs the piss poor run d, at home, just needing to win and ill show you a bet i make every time... 24-14 jetscincy ml +107 (1.5x)...i seriously dont understand this line, is it here cause sd beat kc? i mean we kinda knew there was a good shot that happened, it doesnt change my disdain for this team.. i cant even imagine chargers get a full 3 points for home field so they trying to tell me cincy isnt at least a fg fav on a neutral? chargers are dead last allowing 6.4 yards per play, dead last in opponents completion percentage allow passers to complete 67% of their throws for 11.6 per catch which is bottom 5 as well, qbs have a 102 rating against these guys which only jags are worse, there isnt a stat or eye test alive that tell you anything but chargers defense stinks and to make matters worse not only do teams move the ball on sd but they also punch in red zone trips at a 60% rate (70% the last 3 games) ...Originally posted by 2daBank
oak/dal ov 45.5 (1.5x).. mentioned what i think dal passing gm will do to the raiders, on the other side i think oak be game to score some points against a not particularly strong dal d.. think we talking dal in the 27-30 point range with oak getting us 20ish..
now the offense does a good job of masking some of these things as they are very good at holding on to the rock and limiting other teams possessions as rivers been performing at a high level and they stay dedicated to the run but they are going against a cincy d that is 2nd in the league in yards per play, top 10 in 3rd down defense, top 10 in red zone defense, and holds qbs to a 74 rating..much like when sd played mia when they get into 3rd downs rivers will be feeling the heat from the bungals front 7 who are good at generating pressure..
to me it all adds up to bungals having their way on offense which will force chargers to abandon their conservative ways that have served them well, just cause rivers carved up a kc d that hasnt been creating pressure the last month dont expect the same results here as this is the cincy d that has allowed one 300 yard passer in the last 2 years! bottom line is i have had cncy rated as the 2nd or 3rd best team in the afc all year and all the chargers are is just another of the middling teams fighting for a 6th seed that nobody in the aftc deserves... 27-20 bungals.Comment -
TexasJayhawkSBR High Roller
- 10-02-13
- 181
#1399Damn good analysis Bank. W/ you w/ the Bengals especially after a bye week.Originally posted by 2daBankcincy ml +107 (1.5x)...i seriously dont understand this line, is it here cause sd beat kc? i mean we kinda knew there was a good shot that happened, it doesnt change my disdain for this team.. i cant even imagine chargers get a full 3 points for home field so they trying to tell me cincy isnt at least a fg fav on a neutral? chargers are dead last allowing 6.4 yards per play, dead last in opponents completion percentage allow passers to complete 67% of their throws for 11.6 per catch which is bottom 5 as well, qbs have a 102 rating against these guys which only jags are worse, there isnt a stat or eye test alive that tell you anything but chargers defense stinks and to make matters worse not only do teams move the ball on sd but they also punch in red zone trips at a 60% rate (70% the last 3 games) ...
now the offense does a good job of masking some of these things as they are very good at holding on to the rock and limiting other teams possessions as rivers been performing at a high level and they stay dedicated to the run but they are going against a cincy d that is 2nd in the league in yards per play, top 10 in 3rd down defense, top 10 in red zone defense, and holds qbs to a 74 rating..much like when sd played mia when they get into 3rd downs rivers will be feeling the heat from the bungals front 7 who are good at generating pressure..
to me it all adds up to bungals having their way on offense which will force chargers to abandon their conservative ways that have served them well, just cause rivers carved up a kc d that hasnt been creating pressure the last month dont expect the same results here as this is the cincy d that has allowed one 300 yard passer in the last 2 years! bottom line is i have had cncy rated as the 2nd or 3rd best team in the afc all year and all the chargers are is just another of the middling teams fighting for a 6th seed that nobody in the aftc deserves... 27-20 bungals.
You think Oak capable of putting up more than 20 pts even against a WEAK Dallas defense?Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#1400i think i put oak right at 20.Originally posted by TexasJayhawkDamn good analysis Bank. W/ you w/ the Bengals especially after a bye week.
You think Oak capable of putting up more than 20 pts even against a WEAK Dallas defense?Comment
Search
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code
