Should I jump on the Pitt ML -220?

[DaChosen1FoSho]

My book has this, and I noticed it was way less then anybody else on the net.

I'm assuming its only going to go up.

Your thoughts?

[slacker00]

Jump on it.

[roadwarrior1]

yea..I am at -270.........take that.

[B1GER1C828]

no

[onlooker]

No. Take the Cardinals ML.

[pinnacle212]

i would wait until game time for all of these bets. The line started out at -6.5 and you do not know what will happen between here and next Sunday. -6.5 was put out because everyone would be on the Steelers if it was not. Think about -3 Steelers come on we would all be on it. There like Cowboys when it comes to fan support and betting.

[pimike]

With the Superbowl, just play the side you like the spread never comes into play.

[BamaBill67]

Just seems to me if you like Pitt -270, then you must be affraid of Pitt -7 (-105).........I am saying this bc I am thinking the exact same thing with Pitt, why wouldn't we take Ari +7 (-105).......This line is very much the way the line was when Philly played New England. Please give your thought on this, I want to win as bad as anyone here.

[Wheell]

With the Superbowl, just play the side you like the spread never comes into play.

My spreadsheet lists 7 Super Bowls with a spread of 7. The favorites are 6-1 SU in those games, and 2-4-1 against the spread. Bet whatever you like, but you should know the facts. The truth is the spread should come into play around 25% of the time with a 7 point favorite.

[pimike]

My spreadsheet lists 7 Super Bowls with a spread of 7. The favorites are 6-1 SU in those games, and 2-4-1 against the spread. Bet whatever you like, but you should know the facts. The truth is the spread should come into play around 25% of the time with a 7 point favorite.

You are going way back. Steelers Vs Cowboys was the last game where the points mattered. Steelers were 12 point dog, thye lossed but covered. Every game after that was a blow out by the Fav or the FAV lost out right.

Those are the facts, unless I'm missing something.

[TensaZangetsu]

go for it bro...
As for me I will try to wait a day before the game coz the line might change...
Goodluck...

[durito]

You are going way back. Steelers Vs Cowboys was the last game where the points mattered. Steelers were 12 point dog, thye lossed but covered. Every game after that was a blow out by the Fav or the FAV lost out right.

Those are the facts, unless I'm missing something.

Again:

2/6/05 New England (-7) 24, Philadelphia 21
2/1/04 New England (-7) 32, Carolina 29

[LT Profits]

OF COURSE jump on it! It doesn't even matter who you like in the game.

[LT Profits]

i would wait until game time for all of these bets. The line started out at -6.5 and you do not know what will happen between here and next Sunday. -6.5 was put out because everyone would be on the Steelers if it was not. Think about -3 Steelers come on we would all be on it. There like Cowboys when it comes to fan support and betting.

No, Pittsburgh backers should bet ASAP. This line will hit -7.5 eventually.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

OF COURSE jump on it! It doesn't even matter who you like in the game.

Sweet, gonna lock it in on tuesday. It hasn't changed in 3 days, I'm assuming it won't change by then.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

Pitt ML down to -200. Haven't made it down there yet. Grrr...maybe it will keep dropping.

[VBOMBER]

No, Pittsburgh backers should bet ASAP. This line will hit -7.5 eventually.

Why do you think this? Is all the money that has been coming in on AZ so far sharp money? What are the sportsinsights percentages if you don't mind sharing?

[pimike]

I do not see the line moving over 7 for this game. LT you of all people should know from past Suberbowl lines that are 7 do not go up. They may make Steelers -7-130 or so but the number stays at 7 or maybe lowered, but I bet most books will end with a 7 line with a different vig

[andywend]

The same peculiar action happens in almost every Super Bowl.

Regardless of how the spread moves, the money line on the favorite always comes DOWN as you get closer to kickoff.

For all those that want to bet Pittsburgh straight up, WAIT until right before kickoff to place your bet. For those who want to bet Arizona straight up, bet it ASAP.

Even if the spread goes to 7 1/2 the moneyline on the Steelers will still come down since most of the "square" money bets either the favorite laying the points or the underdog on the moneyline.

As far as I'm concerned, the WRONG team is favored in this game. Arizona should be the team favored by a touchdown.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

The same peculiar action happens in almost every Super Bowl.

Regardless of how the spread moves, the money line on the favorite always comes DOWN as you get closer to kickoff.

For all those that want to bet Pittsburgh straight up, WAIT until right before kickoff to place your bet. For those who want to bet Arizona straight up, bet it ASAP.

Even if the spread goes to 7 1/2 the moneyline on the Steelers will still come down since most of the "square" money bets either the favorite laying the points or the underdog on the moneyline.

As far as I'm concerned, the WRONG team is favored in this game. Arizona should be the team favored by a touchdown.

Good to know, I'll be waiting till as close to kickoff as possible then.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

Hit -180 before I went to work, but as I come home its back to -200.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

This is the link, incase anyone cares....

https://bet.caliente.com.mx/AF_evento.php?Sport=football&Event=TO%20WIN%20THE%20SUPER%20BOWL%20XLIII%202009&Cat=26&Subcat=1

[xxxvince]

pitt ml is smart play, just like over for this game

[xxxvince]

bet on pitt mL, and over for this game. if steelers win.. hooray.. if cardinals win.. i am sure it will be a high scoring game.. will be nice if hit both

[DaChosen1FoSho]

Dammit, its going back up. -210 now.

[Shortstop]

I jumped on the Steelers this morning when it hit -7 (+100) Pimike's info was right on. Either the Steelers will cover or the Cardinals will win. I just can't see the Cardinals winning on Sunday. Pittsburgh has the overwhelming crowd support plus the benefit of knowing what it's like to play in the Super Bowl. But more importantly, they are the better team.

[bypp]

Bodog has Pittsburgh -7 (+105)

[Shortstop]

Bodog has Pittsburgh -7 (+105)

I don't have a Bodog account.

[bypp]

I don't have a Bodog account.

Neither do I, my bets all go through a local book. However he bases all his bets directly off of Bodog, so I usually keep my eye on their lines.

[The General]

What are the chances that Arizona will win this last post season game as a dog SU? The task is very difficult. Can they do it one more time? Atlanta (W), Carolina (W), Philadelphia (W) and now Pitt (???).

Good luck Men

[Dark Horse]

The question is if you would still take the PIT ML if Arizona was ahead in the game. If so, get it live, at a much better price.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

And I wake up this morning and its back to -180. Haha, these guys are funny.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

And I wake up this morning and its back to -180. Haha, these guys are funny.

Locked in on -180. God I love living on the west coast and all the bandwagoner AZ fans.

[pimike]

I jumped on the Steelers this morning when it hit -7 (+100) Pimike's info was right on. Either the Steelers will cover or the Cardinals will win. I just can't see the Cardinals winning on Sunday. Pittsburgh has the overwhelming crowd support plus the benefit of knowing what it's like to play in the Super Bowl. But more importantly, they are the better team.

[G's pks]

Hope you followed your own advice and grabbed that ML!! I waited till 8 minutes before game it had bounced around from 235, 240, then I grabbed it at -232...