I just started posting on this web site. The other web site I was posting thought I was promoting another place. I was not, but that is the way it go's.
I am 2-0 on this site in football and 4-0 there. I have always been good at bowl games and playoff games. I hope it continues through today.
I wanted to like Baltimore but can not. Last week they were on the good end of 5 turnovers. Three were in scoring position. They benefited from many penalities also. This is an almost certain receipt for victory. Yet they won by only 3 points!!!!!!! Do you think they will get 5+ turnovers today?! and all that penalty yardage! I don't think so. Not only that but key players are injuried and hurting. I think they will give it up in the second half. I have Pitt to win by 10-14 today. Baltimore deservers much credit for their run.
As for the Arizona -Phil game. It is hard to come off an upset win against the past super bowl champs. Phil is playing one of the hardest places for eastern teams to play. Arizona beat the spread by 4 td's. When a team beats the spread by that margin 65% of the time they continue that momentum into the next game. They were a 4 point dog with almost the same record at home as Philly. They went down to +3 1/2. That is unusual to see a team go from 3 to 4 then down again. My sources tell me that there is a lot of late " smart money " going on Arizona. Bookies do not like to change spreads from 3 to 4 then back to 3 1/2. Those are volnerable spread scores. When there is that kind of change it almost always means that they are being hit by the smart guys. This is a great spread for Ariz. The natural line should be-1 Arizona. I like both games today and hope I can go to 8-0 for the playoffs.
Cheers
I am 2-0 on this site in football and 4-0 there. I have always been good at bowl games and playoff games. I hope it continues through today.
I wanted to like Baltimore but can not. Last week they were on the good end of 5 turnovers. Three were in scoring position. They benefited from many penalities also. This is an almost certain receipt for victory. Yet they won by only 3 points!!!!!!! Do you think they will get 5+ turnovers today?! and all that penalty yardage! I don't think so. Not only that but key players are injuried and hurting. I think they will give it up in the second half. I have Pitt to win by 10-14 today. Baltimore deservers much credit for their run.
As for the Arizona -Phil game. It is hard to come off an upset win against the past super bowl champs. Phil is playing one of the hardest places for eastern teams to play. Arizona beat the spread by 4 td's. When a team beats the spread by that margin 65% of the time they continue that momentum into the next game. They were a 4 point dog with almost the same record at home as Philly. They went down to +3 1/2. That is unusual to see a team go from 3 to 4 then down again. My sources tell me that there is a lot of late " smart money " going on Arizona. Bookies do not like to change spreads from 3 to 4 then back to 3 1/2. Those are volnerable spread scores. When there is that kind of change it almost always means that they are being hit by the smart guys. This is a great spread for Ariz. The natural line should be-1 Arizona. I like both games today and hope I can go to 8-0 for the playoffs.
Cheers
