RLM Alert! Bills just became the play!

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  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    RLM Alert! Bills just became the play!
    With 31696 Bets (bettracker), NE just went to -5.5.. and they have 82% of the bets.. someone just unloaded on the bills..

    anyone know why?

    NE was my favorite pick this week.. now the bills are the play..

    Robust
  • ohdear
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-01-08
    • 138

    #2
    I didn't know about the RLM but I just noticed that line SHOOT down and I had no idea why...This is scary stuff right here....
    Comment
    • ZBOIZ
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-22-08
      • 21464

      #3
      The Over could also be the play
      Comment
      • Robust
        SBR MVP
        • 09-13-08
        • 3254

        #4
        Originally posted by ZBOIZ
        The Over could also be the play
        i agree.. for buffalo to compete, means they will both score.. ALOT!

        Robust
        Comment
        • ohdear
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-01-08
          • 138

          #5
          Was able to grab the Bills at +6 -110.

          Considering the over as well..thanks guys!!
          Comment
          • TheAnswer03
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-16-08
            • 191

            #6
            I don't see how this isn't a Patriots rout.
            Comment
            • ohdear
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-01-08
              • 138

              #7
              Originally posted by TheAnswer03
              I don't see how this isn't a Patriots rout.
              ..and thats why youre a square.

              im kidding..but in all seriousness, it's hard to argue against betting on RLM. it makes sense logically and there are staggering numbers that back it up
              Comment
              • TheAnswer03
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-16-08
                • 191

                #8
                I know but Buffalo is just awful. Plus the Pats are still playing for the playoffs.
                Comment
                • yisman
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-01-08
                  • 75682

                  #9
                  ^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

                  See last week, for example.

                  Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

                  Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

                  etc.
                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                  [/quote]

                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                  Comment
                  • nick2060
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-28-08
                    • 1051

                    #10
                    Marshawn Lynch could potentially have a big game i suppose, Pats D isnt that solid. I think for the bills to win though it'd have to be more low scoring, how do you think the bills will win a shootout against moss welker faulk and those guys, when they got lee evans and marshawn lynch. Just seems if they win itll be 17-14 or somethin around those lines. Maybe a special teams return for a touchdown thrown in there for good measure
                    Comment
                    • madworld
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-08-08
                      • 251

                      #11
                      Originally posted by yisman
                      ^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

                      See last week, for example.

                      Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

                      Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

                      etc.
                      Yea, but Bill Billichek doesn't coach either of those teams. I'm not saying that I am playing the Patriots. I just can't bet against them in this situation. I am starting to like the over espically since the weather is going to be semi-decent for this time of year in Buffalo (Not that it matters for the Patriots). I wouldn't doubt a field goal to win the game though.
                      Comment
                      • roasthawg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-09-07
                        • 2990

                        #12
                        Already on Buffalo!!!!!!!! I actually thought about waiting in the hopes that the line would move the other way and I could but a half a point cheaper and get them at +7 but I ended up taking them +6. Glad I did now although I don't really feel any more confident with the rlm...I've had plenty of similar plays that have lost.
                        Comment
                        • unit1884
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-11-08
                          • 938

                          #13
                          Pats have been destroying teams lately, they are rolling, I would not bet against a confident team like the Pats right now...
                          Comment
                          • unit1884
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-11-08
                            • 938

                            #14
                            Originally posted by yisman
                            ^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

                            See last week, for example.

                            Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

                            Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

                            etc.
                            Hey yisman, you moron:

                            1) Denver is a horrible team, they cannot beat anyone
                            2) The Jets are not as bad as the Broncos, but the Seahawks are tough as hell @ home, even my Pats struggled with them.

                            Pats -5.5 to the bank people, this will be like last week, spread decided after the 1st qtr.
                            Comment
                            • cheesehead004
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 715

                              #15
                              I always laugh at people who are so greatly influenced by the line movements. The Patriots are the LOGICAL and EASY pick here. On fire, playing for their playoff lives, playing a mediocre team, only need to win by one TD. BUT HEY LETS BET ON A HORRIBLE TEAM TO BEAT THE PATRIOTS BECAUSE THE LINES MOVED GUYS!!1!

                              Now the Bills could certainly win with the points or even straight up. But it certainly wont be because of the line movements or the RLM.

                              I always say people are crazy to ever bet against NE or to count them out, but going against them because of the line movements is laughable.

                              New England will win EASILY.
                              Comment
                              • TheAnswer03
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-16-08
                                • 191

                                #16
                                ^ Agreed.
                                Comment
                                • BigMoney
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-15-07
                                  • 149

                                  #17
                                  Best Bets

                                  I Like Packers-10

                                  Giants +7


                                  Pats -5.5
                                  Comment
                                  • porkchop817
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-29-08
                                    • 531

                                    #18
                                    i'm still confident with my pats -5.5 play
                                    Comment
                                    • SexyMit
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-06
                                      • 6139

                                      #19
                                      Richard Seymour is not playing for the Pats
                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                      Comment
                                      • VegasDave
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-03-07
                                        • 8056

                                        #20
                                        I've liked the Bills all along. Good luck to those of you brave enough to play them.
                                        Comment
                                        • africanroller
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-30-08
                                          • 936

                                          #21
                                          Somebody better look at whos playing instead of worrying about RLM. Marshawn most likely wont play this week.

                                          This will be a Pats beatdown.
                                          Comment
                                          • smitch124
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-19-08
                                            • 12566

                                            #22
                                            I think its typical for the line to tighten up a bit when the total drops 7 points...
                                            Comment
                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-07-08
                                              • 18815

                                              #23
                                              the over just dropped to 36 im thinkin bout getting it again. pats play good in bad weather
                                              Comment
                                              • Skanless1
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-15-08
                                                • 706

                                                #24
                                                at the risk of sounding stupid, what does RLM stand for?
                                                Comment
                                                • blg123
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-18-08
                                                  • 182

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Skanless1
                                                  at the risk of sounding stupid, what does RLM stand for?
                                                  Reverse Line Movement
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Skanless1
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-15-08
                                                    • 706

                                                    #26
                                                    thanks blg... i'm still getting used to all the lingo around here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • zackattack
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                      • 218

                                                      #27
                                                      very windy in buffalo.........thats why line moved.......no way pats don't win this game easy. forget the rlm in this game it has to do with the weather not the money
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nick2060
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-28-08
                                                        • 1051

                                                        #28
                                                        So just imagine how much better the bills chances become if nobody can throw the ball
                                                        Comment
                                                        • losturmarbles
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-01-08
                                                          • 4604

                                                          #29
                                                          line moved because the spread number is tied to the total
                                                          and the total fell 6 points from last night
                                                          Comment
                                                          • unit1884
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-11-08
                                                            • 938

                                                            #30
                                                            Since when is a 3 yard dump to welker "passing the ball"
                                                            Comment
                                                            • africanroller
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-30-08
                                                              • 936

                                                              #31
                                                              The Pats will throw the ball which the Bills cannot do in Florida with 80 degrees and sunshine.


                                                              Without Marshawn this team is completely hopeless.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Husker36
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-02-08
                                                                • 3846

                                                                #32
                                                                The weather is sooooo bad there! Might end up 3-0!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • africanroller
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 936

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Pats will get a td
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Husker36
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-02-08
                                                                    • 3846

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I have the under big....... can I cash my ticket in early?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cheesehead004
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 715

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Next time, why dont you actually try to analyze the game, and cap the game itself, not the movement of the lines, k?

                                                                      Way to make a stupid bet when the Pats were a lock here and the only reason it wasnt 42-0 was cause of the weather.
                                                                      Comment
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