SportsLockPicks NFL Regular Season Finale 12/28

[SportsLockPicks]

Week 17 Brings extra work, picking through the teams who need this, don't need that, may or may not make the playoffs...I never put stock into a team the "needs" a game, or "has to win this one"..but i do get in depth when a team will be resting starters or laying back looking forward to the playoffs...I've been rounding this weeks card out since Christmas Day, I'll be posting it soon...who's with me?

[GatorFan]

Sportslockpicks, show me what you got. I've already have Minesota -7 on my plate. I just fall in love with this one

[SportsLockPicks]

30* Buffalo/New England (OVER 40)



This play has been edited at 11:20 a.m. due to weather, the new play is

5* Buffalo/New England (OVER 35)

[SportsLockPicks]

Sportslockpicks, show me what you got. I've already have Minesota -7 on my plate. I just fall in love with this one

impossible game to cap...theres been no release on what injured/semi-injured giants are resting...this is a game i would definitely find interesting depending on what happens.

[SportsLockPicks]

20* Detroit Lions (+11.5)

*add small ML play if roll permits*

[SportsLockPicks]

5* New Orleans Saints (+120)

[SportsLockPicks]

10* Chicago/Houston (UNDER 47)

[SportsLockPicks]

65* just on the early games is a lot for me, but I didn't want to shave any off, i really like these games...i don't normally post them, but other leans include

Houston -3
Browns/Steelers (UNDER 34)


back in the morning for a nice 4:15 play

[sportsguy04]

30* Buffalo/New England (OVER 40)

Seems to easy, but I dont see how this game doesnt go over, the way NE offense has been rolling.

[bdat2d]

I'm down!

[cruzanbeast]

any thoughts on NE covering the 6

[mmike032]

30* Buffalo/New England (OVER 40)

winds gusting 40-60MPH at the stadium this morning, gonna make it tuff to air it out and the kicking game will be nonexistant

[Dfjay9]

winds gusting 40-60MPH at the stadium this morning, gonna make it tuff to air it out and the kicking game will be nonexistant

thats what people said last week in the blizzard

[Dfjay9]

WOW the O/U for the pats game shotdown to 36

[mmike032]

thats what people said last week in the blizzard

they can still throw the ball in the snow however if the wind is gusting from 40-60MPH dont you think that will affect the passing game
we shall see, personally I'm not playing the over or under but thats my opinion

[SportsLockPicks]

Knock The Patriots/Bill O/U To a 5* Play!!!! Didn't expect such high winds...still like it over 35 but not at 30*..i will be editing the original post which is something i only do in these situations...please do not go 30* on this game...5* or nothing, i almost don't even want to touch it now, but i still see some points scored.

[mmike032]

Knock The Patriots/Bill O/U To a 5* Play!!!! Didn't expect such high winds...still like it over 35 but not at 30*..i will be editing the original post which is something i only do in these situations...please do not go 30* on this game...5* or nothing, i almost don't even want to touch it now, but i still see some points scored.

I still think it will be a low scoring boring game. all they can do is run which means the D loads the box since theres no threat of the deep pass. I doubt they even try a FG depending on which way the wind is coming from.

[SportsLockPicks]

yes, but this also creates higher scoring situations...going for it on 4th and 3 inside the 30...both of these teams have a great short passing game and weaker secondary's...they will score, and the wind is iffy to last the whole game.

[SportsLockPicks]

again...this is the smallest str8 up play i make..i'm not even pushing anyone to make a play on it...

[SportsLockPicks]

Here are some week 17 ML's that I think are worth a shot at getting on.

Detroit +500
Jacksonville +475
Denver +285

[y2kls1a4]

WOW the O/U for the pats game shotdown to 36

Down to 34 now....

I put the 30* on over 37

[SportsLockPicks]

Down to 34 now....

I put the 30* on over 37

as did I, but don't sweat it...don't think about it that way...think about it as need only an extra late TD to get it...i think its still a good bet with the patriots passing attack...lets see how it plays out...

[SportsLockPicks]

15* Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) buy it to 3

This is to counter the New England play...play this on the ML is you want to as well..I see an outright win from the Chiefs here.

[SportsLockPicks]

to recap, the plays for 1:00 are

5* NE/Buff Over 34
20* Detroit +11
5* New Orleans +2
10* Chi/Hou UNDER 47
15* K.C. +3 -125

[y2kls1a4]

as did I, but don't sweat it...don't think about it that way...think about it as need only an extra late TD to get it...i think its still a good bet with the patriots passing attack...lets see how it plays out...

Hopefully it's like last week when the pats come out and pound td's in bad weather

[y2kls1a4]

Cashed in on pats/bills 2h under 14 for 30* to make up for it a little. That was a weird game

[SportsLockPicks]

what a comeback by brees and no

[SportsLockPicks]

10* Wash/SF UNDER 37
5* Jets -2
5* Philadelphia -1

[SportsLockPicks]

30* Denver +7.5

5* Denver (+280)

[Skanless1]

hey SLP, i respect your write-ups and analyses but, i just don't get it.. what in the world do you (and seeminly almost every other person i've seen) see in the Denv game? Seems like all arrows point to SD winning this game (revenge factor, at home, more momentum, slightly better on both sides).. please enlighten me before i throw my $$ away on SD because i'm extremely confused right now.

[Skanless1]

still waiting................................. ..................................zzzzzz zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

[cubboy]

skan thats because sd is or was the play this guy will bury you there is no way in hell denver should of been his pick let alone a 30* pick do not know what you were thinking slp the public was all over denver. you won 2 games today dont come on and post this stuff cause people are tailing you ...

[Skanless1]

yeah, that's some BS.. if THAT IS what this dude's doing (purposefully misleading people, this dude's the biggest p*ssy ever... i've heard that people on this forum do do that cr*p so makes me wonder.

[mmike032]

to this fellas defense, he's done alright this season in the NFL from what I have seen. just had a bad day I guess.

[Skanless1]

a bad day, i can definitely take (lord knows i've had my fair share of those lately)... purposefully deceiving people (as i've heard people on SBR do), is a b*tch move (not saying that's what this guy's doing, but you have to wonder....).