NFL Best Bets - Week 17 (Sunday Dec 28th, '08)

[Robust]

Share your best bets for Week 17: Sunday.

All sides and totals will be graded using -110 unless otherwise indicated. Max play is 10 units.

Parlays and teasers will not be reflected in the results.

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!

Week 16 results to come. Christmas got in the way.

Robust

[roasthawg]

Car/NO under 53
Chi/Hou under 46.5
Cle/Pit over 33.5
Phi pk and over 42.5
GB -10
Jax +12.5 and over 37
KC +2.5
Mia/NYJ over 42.5
NE/Buff over 40
NYG +7
Oak +13
Sea +6.5
St Louis +14
Ind +3 and over 38.5
Wash/SF over 37.5

[Robust]

Results for Week 16:

roasthawg 17-3 12.45 85%
jotoha 5-4 7.55 56%
LT Profits 6-1 4.55 86%
yisman 5-4 2.88 56%
meatman73 1-0 .91 100%
slacker00 2-2 -.09 50%
pinnacle212 1-1 -.09 50% - teaser tossed
Robust 1-1 -.09 50%
guru-t 2-3 -1.18 40%
NYER5680 2-6 -4.06 25%
wittaker958 3-4 -4.91 43%

ANDYW15 Bought points - no line - disqualified.
Bostonbruins - Teasers not allowed - Nice win BTW.

roasthawg does it AGAIN! Congratulations!!
newcommer jotoha comes in second! great work!

also great work LT and yisman! way to turn it around!!

Robust

[Robust]

Car/NO under 53
Chi/Hou under 46.5
Cle/Pit over 33.5
Phi pk and over 42.5
GB -10
Jax +12.5 and over 37
KC +2.5
Mia/NYJ over 42.5
NE/Buff over 40
NYG +7
Oak +13
Sea +6.5
St Louis +14
Ind +3 and over 38.5
Wash/SF over 37.5

I think i am gonna blindly tail ya bro!! outstanding work 2 weeks running!

Robust

[roasthawg]

I think i am gonna blindly tail ya bro!! outstanding work 2 weeks running!

Robust

I'm do for a bad week now man! Lol, you should tail me in CFB...I'm bound to win a few games there after being terrible the second half of the season!

[Robust]

My best plays this week. I feel really good about these. Depending on the units bet, that's how i rank them.

12/28/08 Patriots (NewEngland) -6 -115 10u
12/28/08 Saints (NewOrleans) +120 8u
12/28/08 Chiefs (KansasCity) +120 6u
12/28/08 Cowboys (Dallas) +1 -110 6u
12/28/08 Steelers (Pittsburgh) -11 -110 3u
12/28/08 Rams (StLouis) +14 -110 3u


will post some more later.

good luck to all!

Robust

[Robust]

My best plays this week. I feel really good about these. Depending on the units bet, that's how i rank them.

12/28/08 Patriots (NewEngland) -6 -115 10u
12/28/08 Saints (NewOrleans) +120 8u
12/28/08 Chiefs (KansasCity) +120 6u
12/28/08 Cowboys (Dallas) +1 -110 6u
12/28/08 Steelers (Pittsburgh) -11 -110 3u
12/28/08 Rams (StLouis) +14 -110 3u


will post some more later.

good luck to all!

Robust

Adding:

12/28/08 Vikings (Minnesota) -6.5 -110 5u

Robust

[t-bone]

Philly/Dallas Over 42.5
Saints ML +115
Rams +14.5
Chiefs/Bengals Over 38.5
Jags +11
Pats/Bills Over 40.5


Good luck

[roasthawg]

Adding:
Buff +6
NO +2.5

[MeatMan73]

Give me.............Buffalo +pts

[yisman]

thanks for grading it, Robust. By the way, how do you grade 7 units on -340? Is it to win 7 units, or 7 units wagered and you win the change?

Give me.............Buffalo +pts

I guess this should be graded as Buffalo +5.5 for one unit.

[Robust]

7*(100/340)=2.0588 or 2.06

is how I do it. Did I mess it up?

Robust

[Robust]

oh wait.. i see whatcha mean.. 7+2.06=9.06..

I can do that or leave it like this as this shows winnings, not risk amounts.. or should i include both?

Robust

[Robust]

Adding:

12/28/08 Vikings (Minnesota) -6.5 -110 5u

Robust

buying off NE. RLM just hit and i don't wanna be on the wrong side.

12/28/08 Bills (Buffalo) +5.5 -105 10u

I lose the vig due to the 10u cap, but oh well..

Robust

[yisman]

oh wait.. i see whatcha mean.. 7+2.06=9.06..

I can do that or leave it like this as this shows winnings, not risk amounts.. or should i include both?

Robust

leave it like that. No point in showing risk amounts. Was just curious how it was being scored, because I've seen people score it as "to win 7 units" instead of "risking 7 units".

wow, you went from 10 units on one side to 10 the other way.

[yisman]

Buffalo Bills +6 3 units - Bodog

[innovator]

Robust no!! don't take the vikings man, giants will win.

[Robust]

Robust no!! don't take the vikings man, giants will win.

giants have nothing to play for.. they will rest starters.. Minn is at home and needs the win..

Robust

[rockhardfister]

Titans -3 - im thinking Vince Young gets a lot of work in this game against the Indy bench Warmers to give opponents something else to think about - Indy has no bye week so they will be resting more players earlier that the Titans

[cruzanbeast]

NE/Buffalo over 40...what do you guys think?

[roasthawg]

giants have nothing to play for.. they will rest starters.. Minn is at home and needs the win..

Robust

Coughlin's a cold hearted sob and the Giants are the more talented team...if you play Minn I'd advise playing the ml.

[pat venditto]

Raiders +13 1/2 -110

[LT Profits]

Eagles -1 -110 (WSEX)

[RageWizard]

OK my season bailout pick of the Year is:

DEN @ S.D OVR 50.5 for 10 big Units

There is no way these two crappy ass defenses will be able to stop the deliverance type fued going on between the two quarter backs. I really expect a final score of 38-25 or something like that.

N.E -6.5 3 Units

Buffalo will try, but the SS Cassle ship is sailing. Watch out if N.E gets in the playoffs, Go Miami.

NYG +7 3 Units

I think that the starters will play enough to actually win this game outright.

I actually have multiple parlay scenarios combining these three teams but they dont get scored so I won't list them.

PIT -10.5 5 Units
Cleveland will also try hard today, but they just don't have it and by the second quarter they will pack it in, I expect the steelers to roll as they always do against the clowns 38-3.

[jotoha]

Oak -13
Det -10.5
NO +2.5
STL +15.5
Tenn -2.5
Buf -5.5

[BrandonLaz]

Detroit +11
Philadelphia -1
NY Jets -3
New England -5.5
Arizona -6.5
Denver +8

[NYER5680]

All plays 1 unit

Redskins +3 -102
N.orleans +2 -103
N.Orleans Ml +118
Redskins ML +148
Buffalo +5.5 -106
Giants +7 -110
Dallas Ml +108
Denver +8 -104
Colts +3 -115
St louis +14 -101
Buffalo o35.5 -110

gl to everyone this week

[yisman]

Green Bay -11 2 units
Arizona -6.5 6 units
Pittsburgh/Cleveland UNDER 33.5 5 units
Denver/San Diego OVER 49 10 units

[yisman]

Denver Broncos +8 4 units

[jotoha]

Oak, Det, and Buf should all be +'s. I typed it in a rush.

4 O'Clock Plays

Phil pk (5 Dimes) 4u
Phil under 41 (SIA) 2u
NYJ -2 (5 Dimes) 2u

[yisman]

philly eagles -1 4 units

[jotoha]

Den/SD over 49 - 1 unit

[yisman]

Denver Broncos +8 4 units

add Denver Broncos +7.5 (-105) 3 units

Denver Broncos ML +270 2 units

[yisman]

add:

parlay Denver +7.5 (-105) and OVER 49 (-105) for a +281 payout. Put 3 units on that.

7 point teaser. tease Denver to +14.5 and the OVER to 42. -120 teaser. Put 10 units on that.

[yisman]

second half teaser: tease Denver to +10, tease OVER to 17.

7 points, -120

10 units