Bal @ dal prop bet....
At Bookmaker you can choose the first score of the game. The odds are as follows: TD -135, FG or SAFETY +105. I think there may be some really good value in the FG or SAFETY at +105 considering how good these defenses are. It will take a kick-off return or some really huge play (which I don't envision happening) for this not to be a decent bet. Any opinions or thoughts would be greatly appreciated!
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I'd go w/ the FG or Safety. I agree, the defenses are key.Comment -
Both these teams have offenses that seem to score a lot of TDs relative to FGs / other though. I'm taking TD first -150, for a small play. If I could get -135 I'd jump on it.
You can get the FG/Safety for +120 at LasPalmas if that's what you are interested in.Comment -
did some further analysis on this and I think I made a -ev bet.. fair value is probably -130/+130ish.Comment -
Thanks for the input guys. I only have one online account and that is with Bookmaker. I make all of my line plays with a local and use Bookmaker for props and half bets. I took first score to be a FG or safety for a small play at +105 and another prop of no team to score 3 consecutive times for another small play at +145. It makes it more interesting to watch the game on top of the fact that I am a huge Dallas fan and it will be the LAST game at Texas Stadium.Comment -
I like the FG/Safety over the TD. Let's see how it goes.Comment -
Oh well guys I didn't predict the Cowboys getting the bal on the Baltimore 6 with 1st and goal. I am glad it was a small bet. I still have Dallas -5 (1 unit) for the game, Dallas -3 (1 unit) 1st half, and no three unanswered scores for either team for a small play.
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