I would like to know if there is a website that tracks NFL futures odds to win the 2014 Super Bowl from the middle of February of 2013 to the current date. I am particularly interested on the effect of free agency of the past 2 weeks and the change in odds for each team. I would like to track these changes through the draft next month up to the start of the regular season.
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How's this?
NFL Super Bowl XLVIII
Event Date: Feb. 2, 2014 / Last updated March 14, 2013Team Open Current Green Bay 10/1 12/1 Denver 8/1 10/1 New England 6/1 6/1 San Francisco 8/1 13/2 New Orleans 16/1 18/1 Baltimore 14/1 22/1 Houston 10/1 20/1 Philadelphia 40/1 50/1 N.Y. Giants 20/1 25/1 Pittsburgh 14/1 20/1 Detroit 40/1 60/1 Atlanta 16/1 18/1 N.Y. Jets 50/1 50/1 Chicago 30/1 40/1 San Diego 40/1 60/1 Dallas 30/1 30/1 Cincinnati 30/1 40/1 Kansas City 50/1 70/1 Carolina 50/1 50/1 Tennessee 100/1 125/1 Seattle 12/1 9/1 Miami 50/1 50/1 Buffalo 100/1 125/1 Oakland 150/1 200/1 Washington 30/1 30/1 Arizona 100/1 125/1 St. Louis 50/1 75/1 Cleveland 50/1 75/1 Tampa Bay 50/1 75/1 Minnesota 40/1 50/1 Indianapolis 40/1 50/1 Jacksonville 100/1 200/1 Comment -
SF and SEA are the big free agency winners based on these numbers, NE holds steady, the rest lost ground.Comment -
How many bets are placed on the teams? Do favorites, NE, SF, Seattle, Baltimore get the most bets? Do less successful teams of 2012 like Jets, Arizona, and Browns get an equal number of bets? In my opinion if a team isn't attracting any bets all the sportsbook has to do is make the odds longer. This leads to my final conclusion: as for an individual game in the regular season ,the sportsbook likes to see equal bets on both sides of the betting line(favorite and underdog equal) so to in Futures Wages the Sports book likes to see all 32 teams with about equal numbers of bets on each team. Do you think this is correct?Comment -
Correct. If the sportsbook gets exactly 50-50 action on two teams, it can take the vig straight to the bank. That's the goal in theory, but in practice, there's lopsided action generating line movement. It's a delicate finesse to get balanced action and avoiding excessive risk.Comment -
Been keeping tabs. Odds courtesy of Bovada...
Feb. 5, 2013 (2 days fter SB)
San Francisco 49ers 7/1
Denver Broncos 7/1
New England Patriots 15/2
Green Bay Packers 10/1
Baltimore Ravens 12/1
Houston Texans 14/1
Seattle Seahawks 16/1
Atlanta Falcons 18/1
Chicago Bears 18/1
New Orleans Saints 18/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 18/1
New York Giants 20/1
Dallas Cowboys 25/1
Washington Redskins 30/1
Philadelphia Eagles 33/1
San Diego Chargers 33/1
Cincinnati Bengals 35/1
Detroit Lions 35/1
Minnesota Vikings 35/1
Indianapolis Colts 40/1
New York Jets 40/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
Miami Dolphins 50/1
St. Louis Rams 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1
Cleveland Browns 66/1
Tennessee Titans 66/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 150/1
Mar. 23, 2013 (2 weeks after free agency)
San Francisco 49ers 7/1
Denver Broncos 7/1
New England Patriots 15/2
Seattle Seahawks 10/1
Atlanta Falcons 12/1
Green Bay Packers 12/1
Houston Texans 16/1
New Orleans Saints 16/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1
New York Giants 20/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 20/1
Chicago Bears 25/1
Dallas Cowboys 25/1
Washington Redskins 25/1
Philadelphia Eagles 30/1
Cincinnati Bengals 35/1
Detroit Lions 35/1
Indianapolis Colts 35/1
Miami Dolphins 35/1
Minnesota Vikings 40/1
San Diego Chargers 40/1
Kansas City Chiefs 45/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1
New York Jets 60/1
St. Louis Rams 60/1
Cleveland Browns 75/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Tennessee Titans 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 150/1
May 24 (4.5 wks after draft)
San Francisco 49ers 6/1
Denver Broncos 13/2
New England Patriots 8/1
Seattle Seahawks 17/2
Green Bay Packers 12/1
Atlanta Falcons 14/1
Houston Texans 18/1
New Orleans Saints 18/1
Baltimore Ravens 22/1
New York Giants 22/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 25/1
Chicago Bears 33/1
Dallas Cowboys 33/1
Washington Redskins 33/1
Philadelphia Eagles 33/1
Cincinnati Bengals 33/1
Detroit Lions 40/1
Indianapolis Colts 40/1
Miami Dolphins 40/1
Minnesota Vikings 40/1
San Diego Chargers 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1
St. Louis Rams 60/1
Carolina Panthers 66/1
New York Jets 100/1
Cleveland Browns 100/1
Tennessee Titans 100/1
Arizona Cardinals 125/1
Buffalo Bills 125/1
Oakland Raiders 150/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 200/1Comment -
Whatever you do, do not take the ravens. They will not repeatComment -
Agreed. I think this will be a year where a top dog team wins it. Not a wildcard team, not a 10-6 team or a 5-6 seed. A 1 or 2 seed takes it.Comment -
Another thing about the Ravens is their division is very tough. I expect maybe 8-8 or 9-7 this year.Comment -
My main picks this year are Patriots, bengals, and falcons. I plan to throw some on the packers in about week 4 after their tough opening 3 games. I also got flyers on the Chiefs, Redskins, Colts, rams, vikings, cardinals, and panthers. Every play I have listed pays between 500 and 1000 bucks for pretty much chump changeComment -
I couldnt agree more. I got Pats vs bengals as the NFC championship. The seahawks will see a great number of injuries with all their injury prone signings and the 49ers without crabtree are not going to do it this season. Broncos are the one team I can see winning it all but I highly doubt they do. I think peytons neck might end his career earlier than we all forseeComment
