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  • PsychoQ
    SBR MVP
    • 12-13-08
    • 1130

    #1
    If you know your shit please read
    Hey again like I said earlier I am new to be sport betting world.. I don’t know much about it just enough to get by I’m looking for a mentor (I guess that’s what you could call it). I don’t trust the sites where you pay 30 dollars for 3 or 4 games because every time I have done those there were wrong. I want someone that could help me make good decisions and talk bets with me and maybe I could learn the math part that goes into the betting as well I would love to hear from some of you..
  • ZDAVIES8491
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-20-08
    • 316

    #2
    sup man, i charge a fee for my picks, but i have a 63% winning rate to date ( for last 2 years). Contact me anytime, the fee will depend on the amount you plan on risking. let me know bro, as I don't like to post my picks on this forum.
    Comment
    • JRS21386
      Restricted User
      • 04-13-08
      • 2213

      #3
      Originally posted by PsychoQ
      Hey again like I said earlier I am new to be sport betting world.. I don’t know much about it just enough to get by I’m looking for a mentor (I guess that’s what you could call it). I don’t trust the sites where you pay 30 dollars for 3 or 4 games because every time I have done those there were wrong. I want someone that could help me make good decisions and talk bets with me and maybe I could learn the math part that goes into the betting as well I would love to hear from some of you..
      Take the guy from the post above as an example... Don't EVER pay someone for your picks, there is enough good, free info right here on the board.
      Comment
      • ZDAVIES8491
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-20-08
        • 316

        #4
        that is true, after all, isn't it just a big crapshoot anyways...........???? LMFAO
        Comment
        • JRS21386
          Restricted User
          • 04-13-08
          • 2213

          #5
          If thats what you want to call it, I have never heard of someone consistantly betting over 60%.. If thats the case move to Vegas and make a nice living for yourself
          Comment
          • ZDAVIES8491
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-20-08
            • 316

            #6
            lol, i have only been betting for 2 years (if u read the post). I have won 64% of my plays. im just a kid, so take your smart ass to another post if you are a hater
            Comment
            • JRS21386
              Restricted User
              • 04-13-08
              • 2213

              #7
              2 years 64% is, like i said, unbelievable... I'm sure everyone on this forum would agree.. But if you do you should go to Vegas and make a nice living... simple as that.
              Comment
              • ZDAVIES8491
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-20-08
                • 316

                #8
                lol, im not a big dog like you bro, I keep my bets under $500 usually. so eat grass hater
                Comment
                • JRS21386
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-13-08
                  • 2213

                  #9
                  You don't even belong in this forum... First off it doesn't take a big dog to turn 10 bucks into thousands if you're betting 64%... Give me some more background on how many games you have actually bet to acheive a 64% accuracy? Second off, look up the definition of a hater.. I told you to go to Vegas and be somebody if you are really that good, i don't think thats a hater. Im happy for ya kid if you can do that then you know somethin we don't... So let us in on your betting philosophy... Professionals can't even average 64% and your a kid!
                  Comment
                  • ZDAVIES8491
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-20-08
                    • 316

                    #10
                    i guess i have had a good run, i never thought of it as more than that...i could tell u one time who i like this week in the NFL and lets see how I do. maybe u agree with them maybe you dont, but after all, its a guessing game hence "gambling" not "winning"
                    Comment
                    • laxdjock
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-15-07
                      • 4074

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PsychoQ
                      ....maybe I could learn the math part that goes into the betting as well I would love to hear from some of you..
                      "Sharp Sports Betting", by Stanford Wong. It is a good beginner book (thank you to whomever recommended it). It will give you the basics, and has some pretty good reference charts in the back. It is a bit simple for people who have sports bet for awhile, but the tables were worth the $14 I paid from amazon.

                      Just to reiterate....NEVER pay someone for picks. There is a great variance in short term betting, and even pro's won't hit 60% in the NFL over the long term. I hit high 50's in the last few years, and even hit in the low 60's until recently...and trust me, it doesn't last. I stick more with college, but I know there is plenty of good cappers here who offer their NFL game rational and picks for free.
                      Comment
                      • +Bones+
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-13-08
                        • 16

                        #12
                        who cares if he is 64%...thats not effecting my bets or yours, so stop cryin about it..its believable
                        Comment
                        • PsychoQ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-13-08
                          • 1130

                          #13
                          guys i just wanted help on betting not to fight about this guy lol let drop it..
                          Comment
                          • ZDAVIES8491
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-20-08
                            • 316

                            #14
                            thanks bones, like i said, i just go with my gut, and i have been on a good 2 year run. i wish everyone luck, but to say that I just make this up to seem like superhuman is ridiculous. I dont need to boost my ego like that. lets work together? who are u guys liking tomorrow? To ME, the NY Jets, Titans, and Miami look like solid plays, with my most confortable being the jets and tennessee...I would like to hear your imput
                            Comment
                            • Dark Horse
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-14-05
                              • 13764

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ZDAVIES8491
                              i guess i have had a good run, i never thought of it as more than that...i could tell u one time who i like this week in the NFL and lets see how I do. maybe u agree with them maybe you dont, but after all, its a guessing game hence "gambling" not "winning"
                              A guessing game... What, in your guestimation, would be the number of ATS sports bets you've placed in the past two years, while hitting 64%? 50, 100, 200, 500, 1000?
                              Comment
                              • JRS21386
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-13-08
                                • 2213

                                #16
                                I like the Pats -7
                                Comment
                                • MJFtheGenius
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-31-07
                                  • 7257

                                  #17
                                  I have a WP of 86% over the last 5 years

                                  I will only charge you $500 a pick

                                  pm me
                                  Comment
                                  • ZDAVIES8491
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-20-08
                                    • 316

                                    #18
                                    To answer your question dark horse, i would say I place on the NFL alone 4-5 solid bets each sunday. I also bet on college football, college basketball, the NBA, and even the occasional soccer game. whatever that averages out to, you can do the math
                                    Comment
                                    • JRS21386
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-13-08
                                      • 2213

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                      I have a WP of 86% over the last 5 years

                                      I will only charge you $500 a pick

                                      pm me
                                      Dude is that all? I'm sitting at 88% and i only charge $450 a pick...
                                      Comment
                                      • ZDAVIES8491
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-20-08
                                        • 316

                                        #20
                                        JRS, i hate laying a touchdown with a team on the road, eventhough the pats have the edge at every skill position, and for that matter, the coach
                                        Comment
                                        • JRS21386
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-13-08
                                          • 2213

                                          #21
                                          I agree, BUT this is the Raiders so i thought i would take my chances
                                          Comment
                                          • ZDAVIES8491
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-20-08
                                            • 316

                                            #22
                                            if i might suggest going with the jets. i strongly believe they are out to prove they are not pretenders
                                            Comment
                                            • PsychoQ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-13-08
                                              • 1130

                                              #23
                                              I agree the the jets a titans..
                                              Comment
                                              • ericmangin
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-06-08
                                                • 179

                                                #24
                                                Pittsburgh and The Buccaneers
                                                Comment
                                                • Dark Horse
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-14-05
                                                  • 13764

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ZDAVIES8491
                                                  To answer your question dark horse, i would say I place on the NFL alone 4-5 solid bets each sunday. I also bet on college football, college basketball, the NBA, and even the occasional soccer game. whatever that averages out to, you can do the math
                                                  Thanks.

                                                  So let's say about 10 bets minimum per week, spread out over 2 years. Let's average that out as 100 weeks, which brings the total to 1000 bets. So your record would be approximately 640-360 ATS.

                                                  Pretty good guessing.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ZDAVIES8491
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-20-08
                                                    • 316

                                                    #26
                                                    yes that sounds good to me dark horse, i wish i kept the exact record, but that will suffice. who do u like this week?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • spongerat
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-01-08
                                                      • 2023

                                                      #27
                                                      i have a win % of 91% so in your face everyone!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PsychoQ
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-13-08
                                                        • 1130

                                                        #28
                                                        My win % was 100 today i went 3-3 in college bball does that count
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JRS21386
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-13-08
                                                          • 2213

                                                          #29
                                                          thats 50% you ass
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lonesomehurt
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-23-08
                                                            • 13

                                                            #30
                                                            Google "Handicapping NFL" or "Handicapping 101" and learn about key numbers for football. 1,3,4,6,7,10,11,13,14,17 are very important numbers when dealing with football. Just for an example, this week, Carolina opens at -7 and moves to -9. Refer back to the numbers I listed and notice 8 and 9 are not listed. Do your internet search and this will make more sense as I do not want to have to teach while I am handicapping. Public money moves a line about a .5 point. You really have to pay attention to line movement among other factors. Do the internet search and be patient and test your theories. As someone else stated, 60% is really, really, really good. 52.4 % will break you even with 10% juice. Be prepared to lose and bet accordingly because that is the nature of the game while learning and then realize that losing is just a reality of gambling. Pay attention and you can win. Good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PsychoQ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-13-08
                                                              • 1130

                                                              #31
                                                              wow sorry 3-0
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JRS21386
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 04-13-08
                                                                • 2213

                                                                #32
                                                                im messin
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lonesomehurt
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 10-23-08
                                                                  • 13

                                                                  #33
                                                                  On first exam I like Indy -17. Detroit has already conceded that they are going to run the ball all day. (A Titans fan living in Indy). Peyton can score on 1 or 2 plays. 17 is no problem when the opponent has no passing game.
                                                                  The rest of my picks are: Wash -6.5
                                                                  TB +3
                                                                  Miami -6
                                                                  St Louis +3
                                                                  Pitt +3
                                                                  Carolina -9
                                                                  NE -6.5

                                                                  These picks are not locked as I like to see non-actives for the day and use only a local bookmaker because I do not have an account in Vegas. Good luck everyone and Good thangs.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MTek
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-18-08
                                                                    • 1381

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ZDAVIES8491
                                                                    lol, im not a big dog like you bro, I keep my bets under $500 usually. so eat grass hater
                                                                    and your peddling your picks for a fee?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • demize21
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-03-08
                                                                      • 3541

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ZDAVIES8491
                                                                      thanks bones, like i said, i just go with my gut, and i have been on a good 2 year run. i wish everyone luck, but to say that I just make this up to seem like superhuman is ridiculous. I dont need to boost my ego like that. lets work together? who are u guys liking tomorrow? To ME, the NY Jets, Titans, and Miami look like solid plays, with my most confortable being the jets and tennessee...I would like to hear your imput
                                                                      like the jets and titans play but i think the 48ers is the better play the game will be a close one buy the hook and take the 9er's
                                                                      Comment
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