Vegas Dave's Philosophy Pick 12/14 (17 - 6 YTD)

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  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #1
    Vegas Dave's Philosophy Pick 12/14 (17 - 6 YTD)
    Green Bay (-2.0) @ Jacksonville (+2.0)

    Fred Taylor out. Matt Jones out. Jerry Porter (even if he IS an underachiever this year) out.

    Jacksonville has lost 4 straight games by double digits. They've lost 6 of their last 7 games, with the only win coming over Detroit. They have had problems on and off the field all season long. Tons of key injuries on the lines and to some big name position players. They appear to have given up on the season.

    So how on earth are they only getting 2 points here?

    Yes, Green Bay has also fallen off in a major way, losing 5 of their last 6. But those 5 losses were @Tennessee, @Minnesota, @New Orleans, vs. Carolina, and vs. Houston; all good opponents, and only one of those losses was by more than 4 points.

    Even with all their struggles, Green Bay seems way too easy here, and 85% of bettors are betting Green Bay minus the points, and the heavy majority of ML bettors are on Green Bay too.

    I just NEED to go the other way.

    I like Jacksonville +2 and on the money line.

    If you didn't see it from the other day, I did a video on why I like philosophy picks: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ork-video.html

    Good luck this week!
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