This NFL Season Win Total looks good. Any thoughts

[imgv94]

CINCINATTI BENGALS UNDER 9 -150
and
CINCINATTI BENGALS UNDER 8.5 +110

When placing both bets it turns the odds into -118 I believe

REASONS WHY THIS BET WILL WIN:

The Bengals are a fluke, They were the beneficary
of 44 Turnovers last year.

I don't think
those turnovers were from playing a style of defense
considering they gave up over 22pts a game and
had a terrible defense.

27 against the pass
21 against the run

So I don't think it was their style of defense, they were
at the right place at the right time on loose balls and
Interceptions..

Look at their extremely rough schedule

Sep 10 @Kansas City 1:00pm Lost
Sep 17 Cleveland 1:00pm WIN
Sep 24 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm Lost
Oct 1 New England 4:15pm Lost
Week 5 BYE
Oct 15 @Tampa Bay 1:00pm Lost
Oct 22 Carolina 1:00pm Lost
Oct 29 Atlanta 1:00pm WIN
Nov 5 @Baltimore 1:00pm WIN
Nov 12 San Diego 1:00pm Lost
Nov 19 @New Orleans 1:00pm WIN
Nov 26 @Cleveland 1:00pm Lost
Nov 30 Baltimore 8:00pm WIN
Dec 10 Oakland 1:00pm WIN
Dec 18 @Indianapolis 8:30pm Lost
Dec 24 @Denver 4:15pm Lost
Dec 31 Pittsburgh 1:00pm WIN



I have them going 7-9 this season. Maybe even 6-10
I gave them both Baltimore games and the Last one
at Pittsburgh, Which I consider to be very generous

Carson Palmer


is questionable still, that knee injury was
serious stuff and him lasting a full season would be
quite an accomplishment

And his backup the wonderful Anthony Wright who has a
lifetime QB Rating of 66.6

If I had the $$ I would bet max on this
at every sportsbook that will take action.

[rolemand]

No you wouldn't. Especially not a bet that'll take four months complete. If they won say the 1st four games you'd drive yourself nuts.

[imgv94]

No you wouldn't. Especially not a bet that'll take four months complete. If they won say the 1st four games you'd drive yourself nuts.

If I could afford it and still have a decent bankroll
for the season I would. Man I miss the big bankroll
I had last year!!!

[Razz]

Yeah, I think you're being very generous giving them both wins over Baltimore. I consider the Ravens the favorite in that division.

[crackerjack]

They could easily defeat Cleveland on the road and SD at home and could reasonably upset either NE or Carolina at home as well. I really am suprised they even have a line on the Bengals considering it all hinges on Carson Palmer's recovery.

If you really have both lines at listed prices and you like the under 8.5, I'd take over 9 at +140 or +130 and under 8.5 at +110. If it does indeed go under you win a little cash; if it sticks at 9, well you would have lost your bet anyway; and if it hits 10 you win some cash. Of course, if you are as sold on the under as much as you say, this would be a dumb wager...

[Dark Horse]

Main reason I steer clear from futures:
- they tie up my money (which the books love).
- key injuries on teams and opposing teams will easily throw of the most educated guess.

So many things can go right or wrong for a team in the course of a season. For me the NFL is a week-to-week deal. I can get a good feel for that. As to how things will look at the end of the season, not a clue.

[maxpower]

unibet has cinci under 9 for 1,95
while pinnacle has the over for 2,43

if there is still interest in the play from any side

[jesterson]

Main reason I steer clear from futures:
- they tie up my money (which the books love).
- key injuries on teams and opposing teams will easily throw of the most educated guess.

So many things can go right or wrong for a team in the course of a season. For me the NFL is a week-to-week deal. I can get a good feel for that. As to how things will look at the end of the season, not a clue.

I agree, but it's fun to throw some change around at 30-1 Super Bowl odds!

[Illusion]

That Bengals defense will not perform like last year and you also have the health of Palmer. I love the under here.

[imgv94]

That Bengals defense will not perform like last year and you also have the health of Palmer. I love the under here.

Ill, are you ready???

[imgv94]

That Bengals defense will not perform like last year and you also have the health of Palmer. I love the under here.