Sagarin Analysis of Bears/Saints

[St. Andrew]

I averaged the Sagarin rating of all the Bears' HOME opponents and also averaged the Bears' margin of victory in those games.

I did the same thing with the Saints, except I used their ROAD opponents.

Results:

Bears' home opponents avg Sagarin rating: 14
Bears home average margin of victory per game: +3

Saints' road opponents avg Sagarin rating: 15
Saints' road average margin of victory: -5

The Bears have a Sagarin rating of 12
The Saints have a Sagarin rating of 14

Summary

On average, the Saints lose by five points per game on the road against weaker competition than the Bears. On average, the Bears win by three points per game at home against competition exactly equal to the Saints.

Also, the Dunkel Index (DCI) predicts the Bears to win by 5 tonight.

[DaProfessor23]

i took the bears in this game at -3 , and i bought a half point just to make sure i get over that lump because i predict a 34-31 game bears winning

[St. Andrew]

Latest weather at game time:

24 degress (feels like 13 with wind chill). Wind 12 mph. Brees won't get the party dome tonight. No Mardi Gras beads and gumbo. He's getting an arctic blast in a hostile stadium and against a team that can catch the Vikings.

[Wilforth]

i took the bears in this game at -3 , and i bought a half point just to make sure i get over that lump because i predict a 34-31 game bears winning

If you expect such a high score, why not play the Over now at 46 than risking a side?

[irishdude]

if it goes over saints cover you cant bet the bears and the over