Crazy Prop Bet - How do I play this?

[TMoney33]

My local is offering me "No Fumbles Lost" at 7/1 for the SuperBowl. I know that this is around +160 at most books, so it's already got tons of EV. However, I was considering some sort of arbitrage play.

At DSI I see the odds for "Total Fumbles Lost" at:
1 -250
2 +190
3 +400
4 +700
5 or more +1300

I also see "Total Fumbles":
o1.5 +140
u1.5 -170

How would you guys play this? I can see good reason to just play it straight up, but right now I'm more worried about capital preservation than catching one good hit.

Thanks in advance!

[TMoney33]

Here's what I came up with:Using the o1.5 with 0 fumbles, and 1 fumble, I'm guaranteed to lose money if I did the math right.Also, betting each individual leg I would be guaranteed a loss.So, if my math is right there is no way to arb this. Can anyone else chime in to confirm or deny my conclusion?

[enflip27]

I think the safe bet is to go u1.5

[rm18]

1 fumble -250 is a horrible bet, take the +700 and the over 1.5 and hope it does not land on 1

[MP123]

That -250 messes everything up... The only way is take the +700 and o1.5 +140