NFL Week 14 - The Chart

nep1293 · 12-03-08, 12:35 AM

Got back to .500 for the week with the 2 nights games but dropped under 60% for the season for the first time in a while, possibly all year, I'll have to check.

Miami/Buffalo is being played in Toronto, so that game is thrown out this week.

I'm pretty busy at work this time of year so I have a lot less time to spend on The Chart. I have a few other things I want to post and I'll get to that as soon as I can. Nothing will change this weeks picks, just a few observations, stats, trends that I think are cool.

Good Luck this week guys!

DaChosen1FoSho · 12-03-08, 04:00 PM

I agree with Giants, Chargers and Cowboys. I think I'll stay away from the rest.

nep1293 · 12-04-08, 11:14 AM

Here's a little season recap so far...

I went over all of the data for the year and here's what I got.

The Chart has been great when the road team is the pick. Road dogs have gone 30-13, Road faves have gone 15-8. Home teams have only been slightly better than .500. I thought that was very interesting. I'm going to do a little more archiving to see if the records held form in previous years.

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Here's a few team stats.

These teams are undefeated ATS when The Chart has picked them.

Falcons (6-0)
Giants (5-0)
Titans (4-0)
Ravens (3-0)

And when The Chart picks against these teams, they are also undefeated.
Lions (4-0)
Bengals (4-0)
Chiefs (3-0)
Patriots (2-0)
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The following are based on opening lines, pickems are thrown out.

-The Rams are the only team who has not been favored in a game all year
-The Raiders, Chiefs and Lions have all been favored once and lost all 3.

After this weeks games The Chargers would have been favored in 12 out of 13 games. The Eagles and Cowboys have only been underdogs once, but are dogs this week.

- The AFC West is a combined 4-16 ATS as a favorite
- The Dolphins are 0-5 as a favorite and 5-2 as a dog
- The Browns are 0-3 as a favorite and 7-2 as a dog

Best Dog records ATS, 3 game minimum
Broncos (4-1)
Browns (7-2)
Steelers (3-1)
Patriots (3-1)
Jets (3-1)
Dolphins (5-2)
Ravens (4-2)

I'll add a little more when I get some time but these are the stats that stood out the most

DaChosen1FoSho · 12-08-08, 03:55 PM

Im the curse, I sware. I'm sorry bro.