These suckers are streaky. Started the season off 0 - 1, won 10 straight, lost 4 straight, and have now won 4 straight.
Brings us to 14 - 5 on the year, and we have two more (and an honorable mention) this Sunday.
Here goes;
Indianapolis (-4.5) @ Cleveland (+4.5)
One of two very scary philosophy picks for me Sunday, but the damn things are hitting over 70% this year, how can I turn my back on them?
Indianapolis is surging after a slow start en route to 4 straight wins, and now they face a Cleveland Browns team that has been a mess all year. They can't defend against the pass or get pressure on the QB, which makes them a horrible mismatch against Indianapolis.
Brady Quinn's season ending injury only adds insult to, well, injury.
All this adds up to about 90% of bettors being on Indianapolis here, and Indianapolis has also been thrown into just about every parlay and teaser and exotic bet out there this week.
Bookmakers haven't budged on the line, it should be Cleveland +6.0 by now, but it hasn't moved. They like something about this game. Maybe the team rallies to prove they aren't a one man team? Maybe its the fact that Indy's 4 wins have come by margins of 3, 4, 6, and 3? Whatever it is, I'll take the side I'm "not supposed" to take.
Cleveland +4.5 (and consider Cleveland ML as well)
Denver (+7.5) @ New York Jets (-7.5)
If you thought Cleveland was tough to swallow, how hard is it to pick Denver this week?
The Jets have won 5 straight, including 3 straight 30+ point efforts and wins on the road against New England and previously-undefeated Tennessee. Their 2nd ranked offense (PPG) goes against the Bronco's 28th ranked defense. The Bronco's 27th ranked rushing defense and 25th ranked passing defense will be ill-equiped to stop the Jets juggernaut offense.
The Broncos have lost 4 of their last 6, including last week a home blowout loss to the Raiders.
Isn't this a classic case of one team riding too high and the other team riding too low? Looks that way to me.
And if you don't want to blindly follow my philosophy pick and want a concrete reason to like Denver, maybe the fact that they have the league's 3rd best passing attack and are going against the Jets' 26th ranked passing defense might make you see a shootout as a realistic possibility?
Jets will likely win here, but I say they have their hands full this week.
Denver +7.5
Lastly, not an official philosophy pick as it didn't completely meet my criteria (but I still like it overall anyway), PITTSBURGH is the pick in the Pit @ NE game. New England is coming off of 3 straight division rivalry games and is now favored this week. Teams rarely have a best-effort in them after 3 straight divisional games, and i don't think a B-effort will be enough against this stingy Pittsburgh team.
PHILOSOPHY PICKS:
Cleveland +4.5
Denver +7.5
WORTH TAKING A LOOK AT:
Pittsburgh +1.0
Good luck!
Brings us to 14 - 5 on the year, and we have two more (and an honorable mention) this Sunday.
Here goes;
Indianapolis (-4.5) @ Cleveland (+4.5)
One of two very scary philosophy picks for me Sunday, but the damn things are hitting over 70% this year, how can I turn my back on them?
Indianapolis is surging after a slow start en route to 4 straight wins, and now they face a Cleveland Browns team that has been a mess all year. They can't defend against the pass or get pressure on the QB, which makes them a horrible mismatch against Indianapolis.
Brady Quinn's season ending injury only adds insult to, well, injury.
All this adds up to about 90% of bettors being on Indianapolis here, and Indianapolis has also been thrown into just about every parlay and teaser and exotic bet out there this week.
Bookmakers haven't budged on the line, it should be Cleveland +6.0 by now, but it hasn't moved. They like something about this game. Maybe the team rallies to prove they aren't a one man team? Maybe its the fact that Indy's 4 wins have come by margins of 3, 4, 6, and 3? Whatever it is, I'll take the side I'm "not supposed" to take.
Cleveland +4.5 (and consider Cleveland ML as well)
Denver (+7.5) @ New York Jets (-7.5)
If you thought Cleveland was tough to swallow, how hard is it to pick Denver this week?
The Jets have won 5 straight, including 3 straight 30+ point efforts and wins on the road against New England and previously-undefeated Tennessee. Their 2nd ranked offense (PPG) goes against the Bronco's 28th ranked defense. The Bronco's 27th ranked rushing defense and 25th ranked passing defense will be ill-equiped to stop the Jets juggernaut offense.
The Broncos have lost 4 of their last 6, including last week a home blowout loss to the Raiders.
Isn't this a classic case of one team riding too high and the other team riding too low? Looks that way to me.
And if you don't want to blindly follow my philosophy pick and want a concrete reason to like Denver, maybe the fact that they have the league's 3rd best passing attack and are going against the Jets' 26th ranked passing defense might make you see a shootout as a realistic possibility?
Jets will likely win here, but I say they have their hands full this week.
Denver +7.5
Lastly, not an official philosophy pick as it didn't completely meet my criteria (but I still like it overall anyway), PITTSBURGH is the pick in the Pit @ NE game. New England is coming off of 3 straight division rivalry games and is now favored this week. Teams rarely have a best-effort in them after 3 straight divisional games, and i don't think a B-effort will be enough against this stingy Pittsburgh team.
PHILOSOPHY PICKS:
Cleveland +4.5
Denver +7.5
WORTH TAKING A LOOK AT:
Pittsburgh +1.0
Good luck!
