Sunday night football and the law of averages.

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • innovation
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-27-12
    • 6218

    #1
    Sunday night football and the law of averages.
    Figured I would ask the brains of the forum your opinion. I already wrote up why I like the Cowgirls tonight but nonetheless. It's being advertised that Romo is 1-5 in win or go home games. 16.666667%. Oddly enough espn is advertising the Cowboys are 2-10 since 2000 in week #17. Also 16.666667%. However nobody is mentioning that since 1961 when these two divisional team started playing each other twice a year (except 1 year) the redskins have only swept the boys 4 times. Good for 8.16326%. Seems to me the odds which locally dropped from -180 to -175 in favor of redskins sweeping. Is a little too good to be true. I have the Skins favored on paper by -4.5 to -6 depending how home field value is configured. I think the home team is being undersold because they really are not the favorite here.
  • PerfectGrape
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-20-11
    • 6761

    #2
    Your decimal places are off, but I know you mean 16%. Not sure how much stock you put from games in the 60s or 70s, I believe they are unrelated events to games in 2012 and should be ignored.
    Comment
    • innovation
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-27-12
      • 6218

      #3
      Lol ya my decimals are off. Can't put stock into past but definitely a ton of pressure riding on RG3 with the secondary woes his team has. If he wins I tip my hat to him and the effort his club has made as of late.
      Comment
      • RUGSCRUBBER
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-29-12
        • 24

        #4
        Dallas will win and I will go a step further. Dallas will win the Conference and play the Broncos or Patriots in the SuperBowl. And no I am not a Cowboys fan. I am a Dolphins fan and we stink.
        Comment
        • lovesbaseball1
          SBR Rookie
          • 12-07-10
          • 18

          #5
          well it looks like you really thought this one out, good job.
          Comment
          • innovation
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-27-12
            • 6218

            #6
            I am assuming Seattle will be licking there chops to play the boys inside and then on to Atlanta.
            Comment
            • NunyaBidness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-26-09
              • 9345

              #7
              Originally posted by innovation
              Figured I would ask the brains of the forum your opinion. I already wrote up why I like the Cowgirls tonight but nonetheless. It's being advertised that Romo is 1-5 in win or go home games. 16.666667%. Oddly enough espn is advertising the Cowboys are 2-10 since 2000 in week #17. Also 16.666667%. However nobody is mentioning that since 1961 when these two divisional team started playing each other twice a year (except 1 year) the redskins have only swept the boys 4 times. Good for 8.16326%. Seems to me the odds which locally dropped from -180 to -175 in favor of redskins sweeping. Is a little too good to be true. I have the Skins favored on paper by -4.5 to -6 depending how home field value is configured. I think the home team is being undersold because they really are not the favorite here.
              I love that you carried your figures out to six decimal places to make it look as if there is some sort of math going on here.
              Comment
              • innovation
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-27-12
                • 6218

                #8
                No I was going to round up but wasn't sure how anal I needed to be to post in here. I wasn't going post three six's either. Just wanted some feed back is all from the clever people. The only math going on is how many fingernails I will chew during the game.
                Comment
                • Kolotoure
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-28-12
                  • 28

                  #9
                  That is all small sample size nonsense and is essentially statistical noise
                  Comment
                  • indio
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-03-11
                    • 751

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RUGSCRUBBER
                    Dallas will win and I will go a step further. Dallas will win the Conference and play the Broncos or Patriots in the SuperBowl. And no I am not a Cowboys fan. I am a Dolphins fan and we stink.
                    Dallas has about the same chance of winning the NFC as you have of becoming a certified Mensa member.
                    Comment
                    • Butterface
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-05-12
                      • 378

                      #11
                      Yea Dallas has no shot...They are choke artists...Still confused as to why they're even considered "America's team" Hmm. Shouldn't America's team win a playoff game in 10+ years lol...
                      Comment
                      Search
                      Collapse
                      SBR Contests
                      Collapse
                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                      Collapse
                      Working...