Week 15 looks pretty easy

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Week 15 looks pretty easy
    Thursday night:

    Eagles +4.5 - Philadelphia is finally playing some good football. I think the Bengals are cooked now after letting the Dallas game get away. Take the points here but the Eagles should be in position to win this one.


    Sunday:

    Rams -3 +105 - They aren't pretty but St. Louis is a sneaky 6-6-1 and still alive in the playoff hunt. Minnesota got a good win at home over the Bears but at the end of the day the Vikings aren't that good of a team and their one-dimensional offense makes them a tough team to back on the road here.

    Texans -9.5 +105 - I like backing Houston in this spot off the blowout loss. Indy has had some magic but I'm still not buying them as a legit contender. Texans defense has looked shaky lately but I think they bounce back this week.

    Jaguars +7 and ML +270 - Miami is almost always a great fade when laying this many points at home. The Dolphins are coming off a tough game across the country against the 49ers and now have to play the shitty in-state rival Jags. Jacksonville has shown signs of improvement late in the season and I'm willing to back them in this spot as a crappy team that will play for some late-season pride.

    Bills +5.5 and ML +205 - This line is a bit inflated after the Seahawks dismantling of the Cards. This line should be Seahawks -3/-3.5 at most. Buffalo should be right there in this game and I think we're getting great value with 5.5 points here.

    Cowboys +1 +100 - This line doesn't really make much sense. Two 7-6 teams and Pittsburgh is a small fave on the road? No way I can make this a big play as I expect a hard-fought, close game. I think you have to back the home team in this one if you're getting points however.

    49ers/Patriots Under 46 - I liked the Under on this after the Monday Night Football game but when I went to take it today I saw that the total has dropped 3 points. New England will have trouble moving the ball like they did the other night because of San Francisco's pressure and physicality. The Niners can get to Brady and disrupt the receivers and that's what it takes to beat the Pats. Not sure how I feel about the spread yet but I think the Under is the play. Does this total continue to drop?
  • Catchn_Picks
    SBR MVP
    • 09-02-11
    • 2984

    #2
    They always look easy on Wed, Twizzle...however on Sunday night...

    Tons of ballsy calls this week (I guess that is what NFL betting is all about). Haven't seen many people backing Philly. Lots of cappers fading Philly. But they won last week...young QB gaining confidence v. a demoralized team going on the road giving up lots of points...good call...think I will tail with the line jumping all day.

    Not many backing the Jags too. GL
    Comment
    • face
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-31-11
      • 14740

      #3
      i'm taking jaguars, rams, and broncos. i usually lose though
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
        They always look easy on Wed, Twizzle...however on Sunday night...

        Tons of ballsy calls this week (I guess that is what NFL betting is all about). Haven't seen many people backing Philly. Lots of cappers fading Philly. But they won last week...young QB gaining confidence v. a demoralized team going on the road giving up lots of points...good call...think I will tail with the line jumping all day.

        Not many backing the Jags too. GL
        Jags is an ugly pick but I think they win that game.
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          I also think I'd take Ravens getting no love from Vegas at +3 at home.
          Comment
          • NavsPicks
            SBR MVP
            • 10-16-12
            • 3344

            #6
            I disagree with all your picks.. And I lose a lot so you're golden :P making a huge play on minny
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Eagles +4.5 -106 (4x)

              First official play.
              Comment
              • MOONCRICKET
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-23-07
                • 239

                #8
                Originally posted by face
                i'm taking jaguars, rams, and broncos. i usually lose though
                gotta love the honesty - good luck anyway
                Comment
                • mandude
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-16-09
                  • 1474

                  #9
                  I think you'll show a profit with that card.Solid card. Love the Eagles tonight. Definitely think a small play on the ml has good value as well.
                  Comment
                  • JayLA
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-12
                    • 7806

                    #10
                    I'm already on three of those games and from what i've seen, you're a good capper on here so that's great.

                    Really like the JAX+7.. I'm the biggest Dolfan homer ever and they haven't covered 7 points since 1912
                    Comment
                    • OTL
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-08-10
                      • 2433

                      #11
                      I think you are only going to win 1 or 2 of these bets.
                      Comment
                      • RetardStrength
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-25-10
                        • 1478

                        #12
                        I'm sorry I can't follow with the Birds tonight, being I'm a fan, and live in Philly... I think they get rolled
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RetardStrength
                          I'm sorry I can't follow with the Birds tonight, being I'm a fan, and live in Philly... I think they get rolled

                          Not tonight man
                          Comment
                          • freakydave
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-23-11
                            • 1106

                            #14
                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                            Eagles +4.5 -106 (4x)

                            First official play.
                            Not tailing cause I bet it days ago but I'm on the ML too--Im glad to see you on it.The 1/2 point is a big number if philly loses
                            Comment
                            • bigsmitty
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-12-10
                              • 3026

                              #15
                              Thought I was the only nut on PHI...you must have some on the ml too then TWiz...
                              Comment
                              • t-wizzle
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-18-09
                                • 38099

                                #16
                                Over looks good tonight.
                                Comment
                                • bane
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-14-12
                                  • 630

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RetardStrength
                                  I'm sorry I can't follow with the Birds tonight, being I'm a fan, and live in Philly... I think they get rolled
                                  If they cover at home, it'll be the first time this season. 0-5-1ATS Interested to see if the offense (QB) lives up to hype.
                                  Comment
                                  • Speedy88
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-19-11
                                    • 11717

                                    #18
                                    I agree with all of your picks except for Cowboys. I'm just going to pass on that one. Rams is a no brainer for sure, they should roll over Minnesota.
                                    Comment
                                    • t-wizzle
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 38099

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Speedy88
                                      I agree with all of your picks except for Cowboys. I'm just going to pass on that one. Rams is a no brainer for sure, they should roll over Minnesota.
                                      Well we gotta be careful because St. Louis doesn't roll over many teams but I definitely think Rams are the right play there.

                                      Why not Dallas speedy?
                                      Comment
                                      • sportfan
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-22-09
                                        • 10111

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                        Over looks good tonight.
                                        whats the angle here ? can't remember the last time a thursday's game going over
                                        Comment
                                        • t-wizzle
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 38099

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by sportfan
                                          whats the angle here ? can't remember the last time a thursday's game going over
                                          Eagles defense played better last week and I think will continue to improve a bit but for the most part I think both these defenses suck.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Wow i am shocked this card looks easy to anyone...

                                            Toughest card i've seen all year
                                            Comment
                                            • Speedy88
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-19-11
                                              • 11717

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                              Well we gotta be careful because St. Louis doesn't roll over many teams but I definitely think Rams are the right play there.

                                              Why not Dallas speedy?
                                              Because this is the time of the season when Romo implodes. Big pressure game, late in the season, etc. And Big Ben usually finds ways to win these type of games. I also think Dallas defense is crap with all the injuries.

                                              Other than the line, why do you like Dallas?

                                              Good luck bro, Dallas definitely needs this more than Pit. If Dallas loses, they are done.
                                              Comment
                                              • t-wizzle
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-18-09
                                                • 38099

                                                #24
                                                Rams -2.5 -115 (4x)
                                                Comment
                                                • t-wizzle
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                  • 38099

                                                  #25
                                                  Jaguars +7.5 -105 (4x); ML +315 (1x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    Jags now a 7 unit play.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ColdBeerHere
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-25-11
                                                      • 3626

                                                      #27
                                                      2-7 ouch, lol

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tony Truong
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-23-12
                                                        • 760

                                                        #28
                                                        Only one game tonight you can take all of them back !



                                                        Easy money for tonight ! Think about it ! Lol ..Good luck !
                                                        Comment
                                                        • OTL
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-08-10
                                                          • 2433

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by OTL
                                                          I think you are only going to win 1 or 2 of these bets.
                                                          Comment
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