GB is tonight's play. Unless the refs f*** us again!

[riggs]

Percentage of money on Green Bay is now at: 80% (105,000 bets), cant say that I like this but.......

Some things to consider for tonights game: Saints are 14-27 ATS as a home favorite since 2001 and they're 21-37 ATS at home. Opening Line was -3, it's now -1. The Saints Are Banged Up - OUT: RB Aaron Stecker, TE Jeremy Shockey, DE Charles Grant, DT DeMario Pressley, ILB Mark Simoneau, CB Mike McKenzie, CB Tracy Porter, K Martin Gramatica. Green Bay destroyed Chicago 37-3, GB is finally healthy (with the exception of ILB Nick Barnett), Rodgers is throwing darts down the field, and Grant is running all over teams. GB also has an advantage with their secondary, they have better linebackers & D-Ends too. The Packers have one weakness, their run defense up the middle, but the Saints don't have a rushing attack. Deuce McAllister and Pierre Thomas are worthless. Reggie Bush is coming off an injury and sucks running the ball anyway! Defense is key in this game and the Saints dont have one. The Packers are one of the best teams in the NFL against the pass, with three players leading the NFL in interceptions this year. The Saints will rely heavily on the arm of Drew Brees, which means we might see some forced throws tonight. Neither of these teams have any trouble putting points on the board, we all know this, but believe it or not the Pack score 27.4 compared to the Saints 26.6 ppg.

GB Packers (ML) is the play!

[guru-t]

This game is screaming for a riggjob with the side.I really do see a shootout here.I'm going with the over,although usually reluctant to take these high overs.I should roll with you riggs seeing how you're on fire at the moment,but the extreme of the unbalanced betting scares the shit outta me.GL!

[riggs]

Another interesting comparison: Look at GB's last two Losses vs. NO's last two Losses

1 Sep 08 MIN 19 @ GB 24
2 Sep 14 GB 48 @ DET 25
3 Sep 21 DAL 27 @ GB 16
4 Sep 28 GB 21 @ TB 30
5 Oct 05 ATL 27 @ GB 24
6 Oct 12 GB 27 @ SEA 17
7 Oct 19 IND 14 @ GB 34
8 Bye
9 Nov 02 GB 16 @ TEN 19 -3
10 Nov 09 GB 27 @ MIN 28 -1
11 Nov 16 CHI 3 @ GB 37

1 Sep 07 TB 20 @ NO 24
2 Sep 14 NO 24 @ WAS 29
3 Sep 21 NO 32 @ DEN 34
4 Sep 28 SF 17 @ NO 31
5 Oct 06 MIN 30 @ NO 27
6 Oct 12 OAK 3 @ NO 34
7 Oct 19 NO 7 @ CAR 30 -23
8 Oct 26 SD 32 @ NO 37
9 Bye
10 Nov 09 NO 20 @ ATL 34 -14
11 Nov 16 NO 30 @ KC 20

[GatorFan]

I don't mess with the Saints at their home field. I go with the over 51

[Seattle Slew]

I've been on the Packers five straight games, all winners, and I like them again tonight. They are a much better team than New Orleans, and the line movement shows they are getting pounded.

I really believe the Packers are the 2nd best team in the NFC despite their record. They dominated the Titans in that OT loss and should have beaten the Vikings despite playing like crap.

[laxdjock]

I don't mess with the Saints at their home field. I go with the over 51

That's my lean too. I think things will be rocking tonight!

[htfdc102]

I don't mess with the Saints at their home field. I go with the over 51

But they did get beat at home on a Monday night this year by Minnesota.

[etothep]

But they did get beat at home on a Monday night this year by Minnesota.

Where the over hit

[Seattle Slew]

Went to well once too often on the Pack. Terrible effort on defense. First drive of the third quarter was the ball game.

I've been on the Packers five straight games, all winners, and I like them again tonight. They are a much better team than New Orleans, and the line movement shows they are getting pounded.

I really believe the Packers are the 2nd best team in the NFC despite their record. They dominated the Titans in that OT loss and should have beaten the Vikings despite playing like crap.

[riggs]

Went to well once too often on the Pack. Terrible effort on defense. First drive of the third quarter was the ball game.

We cant win them all! I appologize to anyone who took my advice on GB tonight (even though I said to bet it small - Here, as I did), but if I had to bet the game again I'd still take GB. I thought it was the right selection here.

Drew Brees is f****** amazing, he might be the best I've ever seen! The guy hits nobody's up and down the field all night long. Unbelievable, what a great QB!

We'll get it right next week! I'll have five top plays up rather soon, check back.

10-4 for the week, not so bad.