Nfl Value Bets

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  • THEGREAT30
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-04-08
    • 8970

    #1
    Nfl Value Bets
    FOOTBALL IS WITHOUT A DOUBT THE SHI!IEST SPORT TO CAP, but a good rule of thumb with the sport is to only bet on value.

    There are 3 value bets in tommorrows NFL landscape IMO.

    Arizona +140
    San Fransisco +355
    St. Louis +275

    My reads on these plays tells me that it is very likely that atleast one of these hits.

    $100 to win $140 W $240
    $100 to win $355 L $100
    $100 to win $275 L $100
    N $40

    If I hit any of these three plays I have a winning day.

    The object of value betting is to lose the juice and the timid nature that keeps you chasing money or treading water.

    -110 to win $100 W $210
    -105 to win $100 L -105
    -108 to win $100 L -108
    NET -3

    The above scenario shows the nature of why "The juice is just as bad for a bettor in the long run, as it is for the image of baseball".
  • whoatommy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-29-08
    • 863

    #2
    would be -$60 if only arizona hits
    Comment
    • THEGREAT30
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-04-08
      • 8970

      #3
      Originally posted by whoatommy
      would be -$60 if only arizona hits
      NO, IT WOULD BE +40 as stated

      you bet $100 on each game if Arizona hits youre account is credited the $100 you bet on Arizona + the $140 you won on Arizona. That's $240 in your account - $200 you potentially lose, 240-200= 40
      Comment
      • DaChosen1FoSho
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-01-08
        • 214

        #4
        Originally posted by THEGREAT30
        NO, IT WOULD BE +40 as stated

        you bet $100 on each game if Arizona hits youre account is credited the $100 you bet on Arizona + the $140 you won on Arizona. That's $240 in your account - $200 you potentially lose, 240-200= 40
        You just made the point for everyone.

        Your start the day with 300 and end with 240. Thats -60.
        Comment
        • yostertoaster
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-24-08
          • 116

          #5
          you would be -60...are you serious....do the math...its pretty much 1st grade math here....


          you are wagering 300.......you win 140 and get 100 back.....so you basically have +140....then you bet the other 2 games at 100 each...lost both you are -60..... 200-140=60 not very difficult....
          Comment
          • patsfan2727
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-28-07
            • 579

            #6
            dude, you start with 300, you end with 240. that is NOT a winning day. Here, I will do the math for you. If you bet on 3 games with one unit each, for you to come out EVEN or AHEAD you have to win one bet which pays +200 or more. 1 unit x 2 = 2 units + 1 unit not lost = 3 u

            just take San Fran and Arizona, so if zona hits you will be up 40 $, like you thought you would be after betting 3
            Comment
            • whoatommy
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-29-08
              • 863

              #7
              just don't take the Niners, and probably dump the rams too...

              niners travel to dallas and play the 10am game...will be a blowout
              Comment
              • scotty0129
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-23-08
                • 103

                #8
                Originally posted by THEGREAT30
                FOOTBALL IS WITHOUT A DOUBT THE SHI!IEST SPORT TO CAP, but a good rule of thumb with the sport is to only bet on value.

                There are 3 value bets in tommorrows NFL landscape IMO.

                Arizona +140
                San Fransisco +355
                St. Louis +275

                My reads on these plays tells me that it is very likely that atleast one of these hits.

                $100 to win $140 W $240
                $100 to win $355 L $100
                $100 to win $275 L $100
                N $40

                If I hit any of these three plays I have a winning day.

                The object of value betting is to lose the juice and the timid nature that keeps you chasing money or treading water.

                -110 to win $100 W $210
                -105 to win $100 L -105
                -108 to win $100 L -108
                NET -3

                The above scenario shows the nature of why "The juice is just as bad for a bettor in the long run, as it is for the image of baseball".

                Are you insane? You come in here giving advice to others and yet you cannot even add and subtract. It should look like this.

                $100 to win $140 W $140
                $100 to win $355 L $100
                $100 to win $275 L $100
                N $-60 Total Loss

                If you start with 3x$100 bills and end up with 2x$100 bills and 2x$20 bills, it is not a good day.
                Comment
                • laxdjock
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-15-07
                  • 4074

                  #9
                  Originally posted by scotty0129
                  Are you insane? You come in here giving advice to others and yet you cannot even add and subtract. It should look like this.

                  $100 to win $140 W $140
                  $100 to win $355 L $100
                  $100 to win $275 L $100
                  N $-60 Total Loss

                  If you start with 3x$100 bills and end up with 2x$100 bills and 2x$20 bills, it is not a good day.
                  ...but but but, I came with THREE bills, and I'd leave with FOUR bills!!!

                  Comment
                  • Boner_18
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-08
                    • 8301

                    #10
                    lol
                    Comment
                    • THEGREAT30
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-04-08
                      • 8970

                      #11
                      Originally posted by scotty0129
                      Are you insane? You come in here giving advice to others and yet you cannot even add and subtract. It should look like this.

                      $100 to win $140 W $140
                      $100 to win $355 L $100
                      $100 to win $275 L $100
                      N $-60 Total Loss

                      If you start with 3x$100 bills and end up with 2x$100 bills and 2x$20 bills, it is not a good day.
                      You retard who are you? How many bets have you layed. How many bets have you given out, yes in that post I made a mistake, but watch my theory prove true. I will have a winning day today with those bets. Kiss my feet you rookie retard.
                      Comment
                      • THEGREAT30
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-04-08
                        • 8970

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DaChosen1FoSho
                        You just made the point for everyone.

                        Your start the day with 300 and end with 240. Thats -60.
                        Your correct, sleep deprivation, but that's most likely the most you will be correct on today.
                        Comment
                        • PingPong
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-10-08
                          • 988

                          #13
                          thats a shame
                          Comment
                          • THEGREAT30
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-04-08
                            • 8970

                            #14
                            Phuck football today was last post on this bs. Horrible day lost all the money I won on b-ball on this bs sport.
                            Comment
                            • bostonbasher
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-25-08
                              • 688

                              #15
                              your mom must be proud, not only dont you have a clue, going 0-3, not close in any one of your games, but you also cant add or subtract
                              Comment
                              • THEGREAT30
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-04-08
                                • 8970

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bostonbasher
                                your mom must be proud, not only dont you have a clue, going 0-3, not close in any one of your games, but you also cant add or subtract
                                Your mom must be proud to have a sissy cock-in-the-butt BottomBoy for a son, check my college basketball thread to see if I have a clue I still came out better than I started today. Go phuck your boyfriend and stay out of my threads.
                                Comment
                                • bostonbasher
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-25-08
                                  • 688

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by THEGREAT30
                                  FOOTBALL IS WITHOUT A DOUBT THE SHI!IEST SPORT TO CAP, but a good rule of thumb with the sport is to only bet on value.

                                  There are 3 value bets in tommorrows NFL landscape IMO.

                                  Arizona +140
                                  San Fransisco +355
                                  St. Louis +275

                                  My reads on these plays tells me that it is very likely that atleast one of these hits.

                                  $100 to win $140 W $240
                                  $100 to win $355 L $100
                                  $100 to win $275 L $100
                                  N $40

                                  If I hit any of these three plays I have a winning day.

                                  The object of value betting is to lose the juice and the timid nature that keeps you chasing money or treading water.

                                  -110 to win $100 W $210
                                  -105 to win $100 L -105
                                  -108 to win $100 L -108
                                  NET -3

                                  The above scenario shows the nature of why "The juice is just as bad for a bettor in the long run, as it is for the image of baseball".
                                  those 3 teams lost by a total of 49points combined, about a 16 points avg
                                  Comment
                                  • bostonbasher
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-25-08
                                    • 688

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by THEGREAT30
                                    Your mom must be proud to have a sissy cock-in-the-butt BottomBoy for a son, check my college basketball thread to see if I have a clue I still came out better than I started today. Go phuck your boyfriend and stay out of my threads.
                                    another keyboard warrior, let me guess your 5'5 265 lbs of mcdonalds/wendsy/BK fat and never played a sport in your life and still live w/ your mommy, Riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight
                                    Comment
                                    • THEGREAT30
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-04-08
                                      • 8970

                                      #19
                                      6ft, 225, played B-Ball, Football, and Baseball have the trophys to prove it. Stay out of my threads you punk. Go check my college b-ball thread and talk the same shi!
                                      Comment
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