Been using this calculator for years and find it works well week 10 through end of year. This does should not be used as a simple predictive, solely for determining where value may lie. I start here and go through the normals such as injuries (I am not of the opinion they are completely accounted for in the line- how the fukk does an oddsmaker know who is going to be active on gamday and how functional if they are), scheduling (travel, how many road games in a row, sandwich games, venues) etc.
Good place to start.
Good place to start.
| Team | SS | OFF | DEF | SMART | DBPR | POWER | SP TM | QBR | OVERALL | MAR | ODDS | PER PT |
| Miami |
30 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 18 | 137 | |||
| Buffalo | 9 | 14 | 31 | 23 | 23 | 26 | 12 | 21 | 159 | -22 | -1 | 22.00 |
| Green Bay |
11 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 84 | 65 | -3.5 | -18.57 |
| Detroit | 25 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 15 | 29 | 10 | 149 | |||
| Cleveland |
21 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 8 | 27 | 158 | |||
| Dallas | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 107 | 51 | -8.5 | -6.00 |
| Jacksonville |
19 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 21 | 30 | 217 | |||
| Houston | 2 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 57 | 160 | -15.5 | -10.32 |
| Cincinnati |
18 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 21 | 142 | 19 | -3.5 | -5.43 |
| Kansas City | 24 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 161 | |||
| N.Y. Jets |
8 | 30 | 17 | 29 | 14 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 156 | |||
| St. Louis | 3 | 24 | 15 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 158 | -2 | -3 | 0.67 |
| Arizona |
14 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 140 | |||
| Atlanta | 22 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 97 | 43 | -9.5 | -4.53 |
| Tampa Bay |
28 | 12 | 30 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 157 | -10 | -1 | 10.00 |
| Carolina | 1 | 23 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 147 | |||
| Philadelphia |
13 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 32 | 5 | 134 | |||
| Washington | 10 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 144 | -10 | -3.5 | 2.86 |
| New Orleans |
6 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 16 | 27 | 14 | 21 | 137 | 49 | -4.5 | -10.89 |
| Oakland | 29 | 13 | 23 | 14 | 25 | 30 | 31 | 21 | 186 | |||
| San Diego |
27 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 130 | |||
| Denver | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 59 | 71 | -8.5 | -8.35 |
| Indianapolis |
32 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 30 | 12 | 24 | 15 | 158 | |||
| New England | 16 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 83 | 75 | -9.5 | -7.89 |
| Baltimore |
26 | 16 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 132 | |||
| Pittsburgh | 31 | 17 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 133 | -1 | -3.5 | 0.29 |
| Chicago |
5 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 73 | 22 | ||
| San Francisco | 20 | 11 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 95 | |||
| SS=SCHEDULE STRENGTH | ||||||||||||
| OFF=OFFENSE YARD PER GAME | ||||||||||||
| DEF=DEFENSE YARDS ALLOWED PER GAME | ||||||||||||
| SMART=PENALTY YARDAGE FOR AND AGAINST. TURNOVER MARGIN | ||||||||||||
| DBPR= DEFENSIVE BIG PLAYS, SACKS,INT,FUM RECOVERED | ||||||||||||
| POWER=OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE 3RD DOWN PERCENTAGE, OFF AND DEF YARDS PER RUSH, TIME OF POSSESSION. | ||||||||||||
| SP TEAM =PUNT AND KICKOFF AVG YARD FOR AND AGAINST, NET PUNT YARDS FOR AND AGAINST | ||||||||||||
| QBR=TEAM QB RATING BOTH OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE | ||||||||||||
| TOTAL AND MARGIN=A SUMMARY OF ABOVE DATA AND THE MARGIN BETWEEN TWO MATCHED UP TEAMS | ||||||||||||