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  • pirate sports
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-07-07
    • 27

    #1
    detailed prediction
    Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills -5.0 42.0

    ( 3 - 6 - 0) ( 5 - 4 - 0)
    AFC-North AFC-East
    Away/ Overall Home/ Overall
    SCORING
    Scoring Eff. : 6.45/ 6.79(18[16]) 19.1 7.11/ 7.02(11[16]) 21.3
    Scoring Def. : 5.84/ 5.79( 5[16]) 21.6 6.89/ 6.79(15[16]) 21.0
    OFFENSE
    OL Eff. : 5.14/ 6.12(23) 6.72/ 6.14(22)
    Rush Eff. : 3.83/ 3.97(21[13]) 101.3 3.44/ 3.48(32[15]) 90.0
    Pass Eff. : 4.46/ 5.73(25[12]) 180.1 7.20/ 6.62(11[21]) 213.8
    Pass Comp. Eff.: 10.40/11.26( 9[12]) 10.94/10.69(17[19])
    Rush TDs/Fumb : 4/ 3 [ 0.4/ 0.3] 8/ 10 [ 0.9/ 1.1]
    Pass TDs/Ints : 11/ 7 [ 1.2/ 0.8] 9/ 8 [ 1.0/ 0.9]
    % RTDs/Fumb : 1.72(31)/ 1.29( 6) 3.52(12)/ 4.41(31)
    % PTDs/Ints : 3.96(15)/ 2.52(13) 3.37(23)/ 3.00(21)
    % Completed : 51.80 % 67.42 %
    DEFENSE
    Opp. OL Eff. : 6.73/ 7.67(23) 5.59/ 7.87(24)
    Opp. Rush Eff. : 4.21/ 4.86(25[14]) 145.2 3.56/ 3.81(12[15]) 103.9
    Opp. Pass Eff. : 5.35/ 7.26(28[16]) 226.9 5.74/ 6.27(18[17]) 205.3
    Opp. Comp. Eff.: 9.44/12.15(29[18]) 10.57/10.32(11[19])
    Rush TDs/Fumb : 10/ 4 [ 1.1/ 0.4] 11/ 8 [ 1.2/ 0.9]
    Pass TDs/Ints : 12/ 10 [ 1.3/ 1.1] 7/ 5 [ 0.8/ 0.6]
    % RTDs/Fumb : 3.56(18)/ 1.42(28) 4.35(28)/ 3.16( 9)
    % PTDs/Ints : 4.46(19)/ 3.72( 8) 2.46( 4)/ 1.76(27)
    % Opp. Compl. : 62.45 % 63.03 %
    Other Statistics
    Ave. att R/P : 25.8/32.2 [ 58.0] 25.2/32.4 [ 57.7]
    Opp. att R/P : 31.2/31.6 [ 62.8] 28.1/33.1 [ 61.2]
    PYds/Att Diff. : -0.97/-1.60 1.40/ 0.39
    Sacked/Sacks : 12/ 15 25/ 14
    P.Cmp/Sack(O/D): 12.0/ 11.2 7.2/ 12.8
    P.Att/Sack(O/D): 24.2/ 18.9 11.7/ 21.3
    Turnovers +/- : 4 [ 0.4] -5 [-0.6]
    Ave Margin W/L : 11.7/ 9.5 11.0/13.0
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Browns : Final ORush F/Td OPass P% Sk/ I/Td DRush F/Td DPass DP% Sk/ I/Td TO Logic
    #vs. Cowboys : 10 - 28 18- 91( 5.1) 0/ 0 24-114( 4.6/10.4) 45.8 1/ 0/ 1 31-167( 5.4) 0/ 3 32-320(10.0/13.3) 75.0 0/ 1/ 1 1 -14
    +vs. Steelers : 6 - 10 25- 53( 2.1) 0/ 0 32-155( 4.6/ 8.6) 56.2 2/ 2/ 0 31-117( 3.8) 0/ 0 19-164( 7.5/13.7) 63.2 3/ 0/ 1 -1 -15
    AT Ravens : 10 - 28 15- 73( 4.9) 0/ 0 37- 96( 2.3/ 6.9) 37.8 5/ 3/ 1 44-151( 3.4) 0/ 3 19-122( 6.1/ 9.4) 68.4 1/ 2/ 0 -2 -14
    +AT Bengals : 20 - 12 40-134( 3.4) 1/ 1 24-127( 5.1/ 8.5) 62.5 1/ 1/ 1 16- 69( 4.3) 2/ 0 35-142( 3.7/ 6.8) 60.0 3/ 3/ 1 1 10
    BYE
    +vs. Giants : 35 - 14 30-144( 4.8) 0/ 1 29-310(10.7/17.2) 62.1 0/ 0/ 2 25-181( 7.2) 0/ 1 28-192( 6.6/10.7) 64.3 1/ 3/ 1 4 7
    +AT Redskins : 11 - 14 28-102( 3.6) 0/ 0 37-134( 3.5/ 9.6) 37.8 1/ 0/ 1 36-193( 5.4) 1/ 1 23-158( 6.6/11.3) 60.9 1/ 0/ 1 5 -5
    *AT Jaguars : 23 - 17 24- 91( 3.8) 0/ 1 27-236( 8.4/16.9) 51.9 1/ 0/ 1 29-113( 3.9) 1/ 0 42-267( 5.9/10.7) 59.5 3/ 0/ 2 6 -8
    vs. Ravens : 27 - 37 23- 64( 2.8) 1/ 0 33-210( 6.2/12.4) 51.5 1/ 1/ 2 41-193( 4.7) 0/ 1 29-236( 7.6/13.9) 58.6 2/ 0/ 2 4 -18
    +vs. Broncos : 30 - 34 29-160( 5.5) 1/ 1 35-239( 6.8/10.4) 65.7 0/ 0/ 2 28-123( 4.4) 0/ 1 42-441(10.3/18.4) 57.1 1/ 1/ 3 4 -2
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    AVEs/TOTALS : 19 - 21 25-101( 3.9) 3/ 4 32-180( 5.6/11.3) 51.8 12/ 7/11 31-145( 4.7) 4/10 31-226( 7.2/12.2) 62.5 15/10/12 4 -5
    Home : 21 - 24 25-102( 4.1) 2/ 2 31-205( 6.5/11.8) 56.9 4/ 3/ 7 31-156( 5.0) 0/ 6 31-270( 8.6/14.2) 63.3 7/ 5/ 8 0
    Away : 16 - 17 26-100( 3.7) 1/ 2 33-148( 4.5/10.4) 45.6 8/ 4/ 4 31-131( 4.2) 4/ 4 31-172( 5.4/ 9.4) 61.3 8/ 5/ 4 4
    Wins/Ties : 26 - 14 31-123( 3.9) 1/ 3 26-224( 8.4/14.3) 58.8 2/ 1/ 4 23-121( 5.2) 3/ 1 35-200( 5.7/ 9.4) 61.0 7/ 6/ 4 7
    Losses : 15 - 25 23- 90( 3.9) 2/ 1 33-158( 4.8/ 9.8) 49.0 10/ 6/ 7 35-157( 4.5) 1/ 9 27-240( 8.8/13.9) 63.4 8/ 4/ 8 -3
    Last 4 GMS : 22 - 25 26-104( 4.0) 33-204( 6.2) 33-155( 4.6) 34-275( 8.1)

    Prob.: Fumb= 33.3%/ 0.0% Int= 44.4%/ 22.2% TOs= 55.6%/ 44.4% RushTD= 44.4%/ 0.0% PassTD= 88.9%/ 33.3% [P( # > 0 ) / P( # > 1 )]
    Def.: Fumb= 33.3%/ 11.1% Int= 55.6%/ 33.3% TOs= 77.8%/ 33.3% RushTD= 66.7%/ 22.2% PassTD= 88.9%/ 33.3%

    Bills : Final ORush F/Td OPass P% Sk/ I/Td DRush F/Td DPass DP% Sk/ I/Td TO Logic
    #vs. Seahawks : 34 - 10 29-106( 3.7) 0/ 1 31-232( 7.2/11.6) 64.5 1/ 0/ 2 21- 85( 4.0) 1/ 0 41-167( 3.6/ 9.8) 41.5 5/ 1/ 1 2 10
    +AT Jaguars : 20 - 16 26- 75( 2.9) 1/ 1 25-210( 7.5/10.5) 80.0 3/ 0/ 1 27- 98( 3.6) 1/ 1 28-145( 4.8/ 8.5) 60.7 2/ 1/ 0 3 0
    #vs. Raiders : 24 - 23 30-116( 3.9) 2/ 2 39-262( 6.2/10.9) 61.5 3/ 1/ 1 30- 98( 3.3) 1/ 1 19-149( 7.5/16.6) 47.4 1/ 0/ 1 1 9
    *AT Rams : 31 - 14 31-111( 3.6) 0/ 1 25-166( 5.7/11.1) 60.0 4/ 1/ 1 29-167( 5.8) 1/ 2 33-213( 6.1/12.5) 51.5 2/ 1/ 0 2 -1
    +AT Cardinals : 17 - 41 17- 84( 4.9) 3/ 1 24-203( 7.0/11.3) 75.0 5/ 1/ 1 34-123( 3.6) 0/ 3 42-250( 6.0/ 7.6) 78.6 0/ 0/ 2 -2 -13
    BYE
    vs. Chargers : 23 - 14 32-109( 3.4) 0/ 1 30-261( 8.7/10.4) 83.3 0/ 0/ 1 17- 72( 4.2) 2/ 0 29-191( 6.2/ 8.7) 75.9 2/ 1/ 2 1 15
    +AT Dolphins : 16 - 25 27-119( 4.4) 3/ 1 35-220( 5.9/10.5) 60.0 2/ 1/ 0 27- 52( 1.9) 1/ 1 30-306( 9.9/13.9) 73.3 1/ 0/ 1 -2 3
    vs. Jets : 17 - 26 17- 30( 1.8) 1/ 0 35-262( 6.5/10.9) 68.6 5/ 2/ 1 25- 96( 3.8) 0/ 1 28-201( 7.2/10.6) 67.9 0/ 1/ 0 -4 -11
    #AT Patriots : 10 - 20 18- 60( 3.3) 0/ 0 23-108( 4.3/ 8.3) 56.5 2/ 2/ 1 43-144( 3.3) 1/ 2 34-226( 6.5/ 9.8) 67.6 1/ 0/ 0 -5 -18
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    AVEs/TOTALS : 21 - 21 25- 90( 3.6) 10/ 8 32-213( 6.6/10.7) 67.4 25/ 8/ 9 28-103( 3.7) 8/11 33-205( 6.2/10.3) 63.0 14/ 5/ 7 -5 -7
    Home : 24 - 18 27- 90( 3.3) 3/ 4 36-254( 7.1/10.9) 68.9 9/ 3/ 5 23- 87( 3.8) 4/ 2 31-177( 5.7/10.6) 57.3 8/ 3/ 4 1
    Away : 18 - 23 23- 89( 3.8) 7/ 4 29-181( 6.1/10.4) 65.9 16/ 5/ 4 32-116( 3.6) 4/ 9 34-228( 6.6/10.2) 67.1 6/ 2/ 3 -6
    Wins/Ties : 26 - 15 29-103( 3.5) 3/ 6 30-226( 7.5/10.9) 69.3 11/ 2/ 6 24-104( 4.2) 6/ 4 30-173( 5.8/10.5) 54.7 12/ 4/ 4 5
    Losses : 15 - 28 19- 73( 3.7) 7/ 2 29-198( 6.8/10.4) 65.0 14/ 6/ 3 32-103( 3.2) 2/ 7 33-245( 7.3/10.1) 72.4 2/ 1/ 3 -10
    Last 4 GMS : 16 - 21 23- 79( 3.4) 30-212( 6.9) 28- 91( 3.2) 30-231( 7.6)

    Prob.: Fumb= 55.6%/ 33.3% Int= 66.7%/ 22.2% TOs= 77.8%/ 55.6% RushTD= 77.8%/ 11.1% PassTD= 88.9%/ 11.1% [P( # > 0 ) / P( # > 1 )]
    Def.: Fumb= 77.8%/ 11.1% Int= 55.6%/ 0.0% TOs= 88.9%/ 44.4% RushTD= 77.8%/ 33.3% PassTD= 55.6%/ 22.2%

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Sch. Difficulty : 94.30/ 99.30 100.68/ 97.46
    Wgt Sch. Diff. : 104.23/100.19 94.60/ 93.60
    Power Rating : -0.66/ -1.43 1.55/ 0.25
    HF Adv. : -1.39 2.38
    Ave.Opp.PR : 0.58 -0.59
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    [Key Numbers: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, 17]
    Bills over Browns by 5.00 (ACTUAL)
    Bills over Browns by 4.43 (Computer w/ HFA) [Take]
    Bills over Browns by 3.26 (Comp.w/ HFA&Opp) [Take]
    Bills over Browns by 2.21 (Home/Away Power) [Take]

    Actual Over/Under : 42.00
    Ave. : 40.67 - 42.33
    Score Predictions
    Range : [21,19] - [21,21]
    Pred. : 20 - 23 [Total = 43]
    Bookie: 19 - 24
  • dr123
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-05-08
    • 624

    #2
    Simple it up pirate... who you got?
    Comment
    • pirate sports
      SBR Rookie
      • 10-07-07
      • 27

      #3
      cleveland and under
      Comment
      • demize21
        SBR MVP
        • 11-03-08
        • 3541

        #4
        Originally posted by pirate sports
        cleveland and under
        same here
        Comment
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