Brown vs. Bills Under 41

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  • strictlywinners
    Restricted User
    • 07-17-07
    • 3377

    #1
    Brown vs. Bills Under 41
    Smart money is fading me, because I can't pick a winner to save my life right now. I will be taking the Under but the over is pretty much a lock.
  • ZBOIZ
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-22-08
    • 21464

    #2
    Originally posted by strictlywinners
    Smart money is fading me, because I can't pick a winner to save my life right now. I will be taking the Under but the over is pretty much a lock.
    Please take the over in this game!! Trust me!! Get your self back on the right track!!
    Comment
    • L2Gunz
      SBR MVP
      • 09-23-08
      • 2199

      #3
      ZBOIZ...just wondering..whats with the over that looks so good???even w/ snow expected...im leaning towards the browns +5....any thoughts???
      Comment
      • ZBOIZ
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-22-08
        • 21464

        #4
        Originally posted by L2Gunz
        ZBOIZ...just wondering..whats with the over that looks so good???even w/ snow expected...im leaning towards the browns +5....any thoughts???
        I'm actually still leaning the Over! These two teams still puts up points. I dont think the snow will stop them from scoring enough to hit the over.
        Comment
        • strictlywinners
          Restricted User
          • 07-17-07
          • 3377

          #5
          Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
          Comment
          • ZBOIZ
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-22-08
            • 21464

            #6
            Originally posted by strictlywinners
            Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
            I understand your pain! Just fight through it you will be fine
            Comment
            • Robust
              SBR MVP
              • 09-13-08
              • 3254

              #7
              Originally posted by strictlywinners
              Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
              my exact feeling for two weeks prior to this one.. but i made a change in the way i pick.. even though my spreadsheet had many winners, i was betting alot of the losers..

              i STILL bet my picks, but now i have further criteria to decide exactly what teams.. try the same bro.. see if it helps ya out..

              Robust
              Comment
              • ChuteBoxe
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-21-07
                • 6885

                #8
                Not that much snow tonight. An inch or two at best. The field will be fine, not like last year in Cleveland. It will be however, decently cold, with it being 30 degrees, and wind chills down to 23. There will be a moderate wind blowing NW at 11 MPH.
                Comment
                • apk2k6
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-09-08
                  • 494

                  #9
                  I need Bills to win and the total to be between 41 and 43 to win my work pool.....hopefully the o/u pushes
                  Comment
                  • guru-t
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-08
                    • 2199

                    #10
                    I'm taking the under as well.The wind and cold should affet the passing game not to mention FG kicking.a lot of running which should shorten the game!under 41.5!
                    Comment
                    • bigugly
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-04-08
                      • 1329

                      #11
                      Wait for this total to bottom out then hit the over IMO!
                      Comment
                      • BamaBill67
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-12-08
                        • 682

                        #12
                        There are a few real sharp guys on this site. Maybe one of them will throw up a final score module.
                        Comment
                        • Legend4Aday
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-14-08
                          • 270

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Robust
                          my exact feeling for two weeks prior to this one.. but i made a change in the way i pick.. even though my spreadsheet had many winners, i was betting alot of the losers..

                          i STILL bet my picks, but now i have further criteria to decide exactly what teams.. try the same bro.. see if it helps ya out..

                          Robust
                          Great advice, just find a better pattern that keeps a steady average for previous weeks including this one, and change your luck. Also you don't have to rely on your gut, but you can watch a game, and decide if the better team really won, and change your pattern based on that. Example New England outplayed the N.Y jets on Offence and Defence this week, but gave up too much on special teams which is a fixable mistake.
                          Comment
                          • nchi
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-09-08
                            • 291

                            #14
                            Originally posted by bigugly
                            Wait for this total to bottom out then hit the over IMO!
                            Comment
                            • PyreLight
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-15-08
                              • 173

                              #15
                              Not doing it on purpose but yes, I am on the other side again...I hope your rebound starts next week though, your one of the very few I believe to be a good capper on this forum (need all the help I can get )
                              Comment
                              • strictlywinners
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-17-07
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
                                Comment
                                • bluexselvedge
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 09-16-08
                                  • 37

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                  And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
                                  take a break then!
                                  Comment
                                  • MastaB
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-08-08
                                    • 2604

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                    And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
                                    Didn't you turn 500 into 100k?

                                    You got nothing to complain about my friend!
                                    Comment
                                    • L2Gunz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-23-08
                                      • 2199

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MastaB
                                      Didn't you turn 500 into 100k?

                                      You got nothing to complain about my friend!
                                      That was a spook story...just like Keyser Soze!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • strictlywinners
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-17-07
                                        • 3377

                                        #20
                                        Hahaha no it was true story, I do love Kayser SOZE though. I cashed out for 51k, but I lost 5k to local guy last week. Now I am down 3k this week.
                                        Comment
                                        • MastaB
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-08-08
                                          • 2604

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                          Hahaha no it was true story, I do love Kayser SOZE though. I cashed out for 51k, but I lost 5k to local guy last week. Now I am down 3k this week.
                                          Sounds like you need to start risking less of your bankroll.
                                          Until you get back on a streak at least.

                                          It would be a shame to give all that money back to the books.
                                          Comment
                                          • strictlywinners
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-17-07
                                            • 3377

                                            #22
                                            Yes yes it would, I am risking much less. When I was at 111k I was still putting 10k on alot of games, when I dropped down to 50k I reduced all bets to 500 and 1000 the problem with the smaller bets I start to take 2nd halfs and just tons of other stuff, which is definitely a losing strategy. Well it really doesn't matter cause my picks have just been terrible as of late, I'm hoping they turn around sooner then later.
                                            Comment
                                            • MastaB
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-08-08
                                              • 2604

                                              #23
                                              Good luck man.

                                              Wish i was around when you took 500 to 100k. I would have followed your picks all the way to the bank!
                                              Comment
                                              • MastaB
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-08-08
                                                • 2604

                                                #24
                                                We need to have a NJ SBR get together.

                                                Maybe AC!
                                                Comment
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