Complicated Hedge?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Deol
    SBR MVP
    • 09-01-11
    • 1340

    #1
    Complicated Hedge?
    Week 9 has been a great week for me and judging by the forum, for a lot of us. Already up a pretty decent amount so thinking about hedging. Anyway I have 3 different tickets left on Bet365 with the MNF gm left on all 3:

    #1 8 game parlay, last leg New Orleans Moneyline, $25 returns $490
    #2 11 game 6pt teaser, last leg New Orleans +3, $15 returns $465
    #3 14 game 7pt teaser, last leg Philadelphia Eages +10, $10 returns $510

    Anyone wanna do the math and find out whats the best way to hedge this. Essentially if I do nothing, the least I'll be up is $460 on these 3 plays. Small chance of hitting all 3 if NO win by under 10 (up $1465). If NO wins by more than 10 ill be up $965. Pushes make this more complicated. Anyway, thoughts or ideas?
  • iwantcougars
    SBR MVP
    • 09-29-09
    • 2156

    #2
    let it ride
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #3
      It really depends on where you want your position to be. Are you just trying to guarantee the largest amount, risk free? You can lock up about $730 with zero risk by just adding $230 on the PHI ML @ +125.

      I'm assuming you like the Saints to win the game?
      Comment
      • Deol
        SBR MVP
        • 09-01-11
        • 1340

        #4
        I initially liked New Orleans because they coming home off a blowout loss but now feel like its a coin toss. Debating whether to take PHI ML (+130) or PHI -3.5 (+185). Leaning towards the latter. Even if PHI wins by 3, the push from 11gm to a 10gm will only cost me $75. I think my best bet is to throw $100 or so on PHI-3.5 or wait for a good live line.

        Last time I was in a situation like this was when I had SD+7.5 a few weeks back, they were up 24-0 and I still lost because I thought hedging would be a waste haha, fkn Broncos!!
        Comment
        • Deol
          SBR MVP
          • 09-01-11
          • 1340

          #5
          Any other ideas?
          Comment
          • Deol
            SBR MVP
            • 09-01-11
            • 1340

            #6
            Finally Bet365 went to PHI+10.5. Was stuck at +9.5 for a while. Put $130 on it for a hedge/middle. Today could work out epic if NWO wins by 10 or less!!!!!!
            Comment
            • Deol
              SBR MVP
              • 09-01-11
              • 1340

              #7
              TD here would be epic!!!! Not expecting it, just hoping!!!!!!! C'mon Desean!!
              Comment
              • Deol
                SBR MVP
                • 09-01-11
                • 1340

                #8
                Love bet365's parlay bonus ($140) extra. Really wish PHI scored at the end, woulda added another $750. Oh well, made $915 on these 3 tickets. Over $1100 this Sunday. I see no-one really cares, so I'll just let this thread disappear now.
                Comment
                • Deol
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-01-11
                  • 1340

                  #9
                  Not as complicated as a few weeks ago but I'm open to any advice, I have two plays left this week:

                  1) BAL +10, last game of a 6.5pt 8gm teaser ($40 returns $480)
                  2) Winning Margin play with BAL 1-12 ($16 returns $220)

                  Ideally I think I should bet PIT-10 but Bet365 doesnt have it, so I'm debating whether to pound PIT-3.5 or take winning margins:
                  7-12 (+600), 13 to 18 (+1000), and 19 to 24 (+2000). I don't think PIT gonna win by 25+ or else that would really suck. Ideas? wait for a good live bet?
                  Comment
                  • Deol
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-01-11
                    • 1340

                    #10
                    No suggestions as usual, cool, I took WM 13-18 and 19-24 for a tiny hedge. Really hoping BAL scores so I can get a good number on PIT, worst case if PIT scores, I'll wait till half and take them minus whatever at -110 for a 50-50 hedge.
                    Comment
                    Search
                    Collapse
                    SBR Contests
                    Collapse
                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                    Collapse
                    Working...