NFL Plays (Pick a winner, they cover the spread)

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  • mdfizzle
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-19-10
    • 392

    #1
    NFL Plays (Pick a winner, they cover the spread)
    That's my simple theory and I'm sticking with it

    Broncos -3.5
    Packers -10
    Ravens -3.5
    Texans -10
    Tampa Bay ML
    Falcons -4
  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #2
    don't like the idea of laying double digits no matter who the team is.
    Comment
    • Raffaele
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-01-12
      • 112

      #3
      Originally posted by mdfizzle
      That's my simple theory and I'm sticking with it

      Broncos -3.5
      Packers -10
      Ravens -3.5
      Texans -10
      Tampa Bay ML
      Falcons -4
      5 public favorites and the Bucs? Not the best theory. At best I think you'll go 3-3 but more likely 2-4. Try and handicap your own games and look for differences between your line and the book's line. It's a bit of work but if you know what you are doing it is well worth it. If you're just a casual better than it doesn't matter what you do, but if you're trying to make money forget any theories, systems or trends and analyze each game rigorously and objectively. BOL
      Comment
      • tripled83
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-07-11
        • 203

        #4
        I think only two of these games will win. Philly will come within 4, not sure packers can cover, I'd fade the broncos on the road. I like tbb on ml tho
        Comment
        • mdfizzle
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-19-10
          • 392

          #5
          Last week the only teams that won and didn't cover was the packers and the bears. We will see how it works this week.
          Comment
          • mdfizzle
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-19-10
            • 392

            #6
            Philly has the Saints, I'm not sure who wins that game - hence a no play.
            Comment
            • tripled83
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-07-11
              • 203

              #7
              My only rule of thumb this yr is to take the dog in every Philly game, hasn't let me down yet
              Comment
              • Parligod
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-28-09
                • 403

                #8
                Liking Tampa Bay.
                Comment
                • mdfizzle
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-19-10
                  • 392

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mdfizzle
                  That's my simple theory and I'm sticking with it

                  Broncos -3.5 W
                  Packers -10 W
                  Ravens -3.5 W
                  Texans -10 W
                  Tampa Bay ML
                  Falcons -4
                  Updated record, looking for the sweep.
                  Comment
                  • mdfizzle
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-19-10
                    • 392

                    #10
                    For the 1PM games, every team covered the spread and those that did not lost outright. So far the moral is - only play a dog if you think they win outright and play them on the ML.
                    Comment
                    • mdfizzle
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-19-10
                      • 392

                      #11
                      Well that is a perfect 6-0, did much better here than in college football.

                      No play for tonight (undecided who will win that game) although I would lean Brees.
                      Comment
                      • mdfizzle
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-19-10
                        • 392

                        #12
                        Week 10 plays

                        Indianapolis (3)
                        Denver (4)
                        Seattle (6.5)
                        San Francisco (11)
                        Pittsburgh (11.5)

                        Dog Winner
                        SD
                        Comment
                        • mdfizzle
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-19-10
                          • 392

                          #13
                          8/9 games so far and the spreads did not come into play. Unless Buffalo pulls off the late win. My dog play didn't pan out. 2-1 on the week so far. Keep choosing winners!
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