PAT MCCROTCH MONDAY NIGHT NFL PICK, Win Percentage 59.80%, 61-41-2,

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  • Pat McCrotch
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-11
    • 814

    #1
    PAT MCCROTCH MONDAY NIGHT NFL PICK, Win Percentage 59.80%, 61-41-2,
    Down $2500 over the weekend!!!!

    I went 7-4 in the NCAAF but fukked up by putting $5000 on Florida

    I went 3-4 in the NFL

    I have just placed a $5000 bet on:

    49ers/Cardinals OVER 34.5 -171 5dimes

    I think the over 38.5 will hit but Im taking this to be on the safe side.

    If this hits I will be a few $ up

    Not into big write ups just like to go with my gut feeling and I think the cards keep this close and it ends up being a 31-28 type game in favour of the 49ers.

    BOL
  • Dom177
    SBR MVP
    • 09-11-11
    • 1080

    #2
    I think you might have bought the points going the wrong way on this one. Both offenses have been struggling lately and good defenses. Consider this:

    over/under SF= 1-6-1 ARI= 1-6
    As a home team ARI=1-3 SF=1-2 as an away team
    As a favorite SF= 1-4-1 ARI=0-4 as the home team
    Comment
    • Pat McCrotch
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-08-11
      • 814

      #3
      both are due an over then arent they

      BOL if you play under but I am confident.

      Originally posted by Dom177
      I think you might have bought the points going the wrong way on this one. Both offenses have been struggling lately and good defenses. Consider this:

      over/under SF= 1-6-1 ARI= 1-6
      As a home team ARI=1-3 SF=1-2 as an away team
      As a favorite SF= 1-4-1 ARI=0-4 as the home team
      Comment
      • Paul Kemp
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-05-12
        • 278

        #4
        Originally posted by Dom177
        I think you might have bought the points going the wrong way on this one. Both offenses have been struggling lately and good defenses. Consider this:

        over/under SF= 1-6-1 ARI= 1-6
        As a home team ARI=1-3 SF=1-2 as an away team
        As a favorite SF= 1-4-1 ARI=0-4 as the home team
        Make sure you factor in the stats of teams getting ready to go into a BYE week - like SF. Might be something there..
        Comment
        • pokeraddict2012
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-25-12
          • 312

          #5
          How is betting under 34.5 laying the juice considered safe? -171?! Could go way under like a 13-10 score
          Comment
          • Paul Kemp
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-05-12
            • 278

            #6
            Originally posted by pokeraddict2012
            How is betting under 34.5 laying the juice considered safe? -171?! Could go way under like a 13-10 score
            I've also seen a pattern where Sunday night and Thursday night games tend to hit the Under more often than Monday night - who knows why - but I have seen it a good amount this season alone.
            Comment
            • Dom177
              SBR MVP
              • 09-11-11
              • 1080

              #7
              Made up a little teaser for tonight..Bought 6pts ARI +14/u44.5

              Don't expect any big changes in SF offense going into the bye week and defense averaging 9pts against the last 4 weeks or something, granted they did play Seattle , NY Jets, and Buffalo while giving up 26 to the Giants. I don't see any reason why they would give up more than 14-17 to the Cardinals who are averaging just over 14 during that same span. Good luck to everyone though. Should stay close IMO
              Comment
              • adila1401
                SBR MVP
                • 11-16-11
                • 2014

                #8
                both of these defenses are legit..I see a lot of field goals in this matchup..I hope u get there but I'm personally on the under..gl sir
                Comment
                • Pat McCrotch
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-08-11
                  • 814

                  #9
                  Laying juice is no big deal when i think the over hits easy

                  Just my opinion

                  Had 2 winning nfl seasons in a row

                  I dont ever look at stats they dont mean

                  i have already graded this as a winner.

                  My over bet hits no problem

                  Lets wait till after the game to see whos right and whos wrong.


                  Originally posted by pokeraddict2012
                  How is betting under 34.5 laying the juice considered safe? -171?! Could go way under like a 13-10 score
                  Comment
                  • vigster
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-18-12
                    • 1032

                    #10
                    Gl on the over as well
                    Comment
                    • Pat McCrotch
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-08-11
                      • 814

                      #11
                      cheers

                      I will take the abuse like a man if it did finish under 34.5

                      I dont run and hide, Im a serious gambler, not some mickey mouse punter like 95% on these forums

                      Originally posted by vigster
                      Gl on the over as well
                      Comment
                      • Eagles27
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-19-12
                        • 800

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Pat McCrotch

                        I dont ever look at stats they dont mean
                        Wait what? lol so how do you determine which side you are going for? by flipping a coin?
                        Comment
                        • Pat McCrotch
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-08-11
                          • 814

                          #13
                          I look at the teams and injuries and thats it

                          All this 1-6 ats 3-4 over/under shit means nothing

                          I make my choice based on the teams taking to the field

                          Have u had 2 winning nfl seasons in a row?

                          If yes fair play, if not get to fukk

                          Originally posted by Eagles27
                          Wait what? lol so how do you determine which side you are going for? by flipping a coin?
                          Comment
                          • PaullyWallnuts
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 10-29-12
                            • 5

                            #14
                            wrong way ...

                            If you can get out of it DO IT!

                            hate to see you lose 5,000....

                            Niners may blank em.
                            Comment
                            • Pat McCrotch
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-08-11
                              • 814

                              #15
                              this will hit boys

                              mark my words

                              Originally posted by PaullyWallnuts
                              If you can get out of it DO IT!

                              hate to see you lose 5,000....

                              Niners may blank em.
                              Comment
                              • shift_knob
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-15-11
                                • 426

                                #16
                                is under 44.5 safe?
                                Comment
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