Value bet on Steelers to win Super Bowl

[JuniorAnalyst]

Super Bowl +2500
Conference +1000
Division +175

Now hang in there lets look at this from the bottom up

Division?
Steelers
Ravens
Bengals
Browns

The Ravens currently hold first place but there defense has taken a big step back from recent seasons. No matter how good flacco plays he wont do two things.

-He wont win either game against the Steelers
-He wont be able to score enough points without giving in to the pressure and throwing Interceptions

Bengals are still learning to work with Andy Dalton and wont win the division
Browns... Due to the start they had they cant come close to winning the division

Now even if the Ravens won the AFC has had a horrible season combined there are very few teams to break away from .500 and the only teams that have a chance at playoffs are as follows
Division Winners New England-Houston-Denver-Pittsburgh / Wild Card teams NY Jets San Diego Ravens
Of these teams Pittsburgh will beat any of these wild cards teams and can beat the Patriots.

The only challenge i see in post season is the Revamped Broncos and the Texans

If they play there hedging opportunities and at +1000 and +2500 there is tons of value

Im putting down $50 on each of these as there are tons of opportunities to hedge or if they can get healthy and Big Ben can get back to his Elite ways I can leave the 2012-13 season up a winner

[Bigh2001]

Only value is on the division. No chance on the other two. Half the team is already collecting Social Security.

Super Bowl +2500
Conference +1000
Division +175

Now hang in there lets look at this from the bottom up

Division?
Steelers
Ravens
Bengals
Browns

The Ravens currently hold first place but there defense has taken a big step back from recent seasons. No matter how good flacco plays he wont do two things.

-He wont win either game against the Steelers
-He wont be able to score enough points without giving in to the pressure and throwing Interceptions

Bengals are still learning to work with Andy Dalton and wont win the division
Browns... Due to the start they had they cant come close to winning the division

Now even if the Ravens won the AFC has had a horrible season combined there are very few teams to break away from .500 and the only teams that have a chance at playoffs are as follows
Division Winners New England-Houston-Denver-Pittsburgh / Wild Card teams NY Jets San Diego Ravens
Of these teams Pittsburgh will beat any of these wild cards teams and can beat the Patriots.

The only challenge i see in post season is the Revamped Broncos and the Texans

If they play there hedging opportunities and at +1000 and +2500 there is tons of value

Im putting down $50 on each of these as there are tons of opportunities to hedge or if they can get healthy and Big Ben can get back to his Elite ways I can leave the 2012-13 season up a winner

[JuniorAnalyst]

Ok if your confident in them winning the division then that means playoffs.

Bet $100 to win $1100

If they play game 1 against a weak team at home let it ride. if not then lets say
Pittsburgh @ Houston -4.5
(+180) (-220)
bet $220 to win $100 to win your money back

If houston wins you break even
If Pittsburgh wins now your bet is
$330 to win $1100

then the next game let say is against Denver -250
Now decide do you like Denver or Pitssburgh
If you like Denver you got a free bet of $770 you can put on them
If you like pittsburgh bet $500 to win $200 on Denver

If Denver wins you got out with $200 a $100 profit
If Steelers win then you bet $830 to win $1100 a $270 profit

Of course there is different situations and whatever but if you believe in Pittsburgh then obviously your more comfortable
If you bet the division at +175 then thats
$100 to win $175
in this very possible scenario you get
$100 to win $270
and your safe if pittsburgh loses the division cause they can still get the wildcard

Around playoff time the steelers could get a lot healthier and with some good games coming up can have a lot of momentum heading in to post season. I see value

[slacker00]

Im putting down $50 on each of these as there are tons of opportunities to hedge...

This is a red flag. You haven't even made the bet and you are already hedging? If you like the bet, don't bet against it!

SB +2500 is the only one I'd take and for the minimum. The rest just don't have enough value.

[JuniorAnalyst]

Thats how you bet futures dude you dont pick your fav week 1 and hope they win it all. you seek value and when playoffs come if you are uncertain you hedge. I have no plans to the only games i see pittsburgh losing in are road games vs Houston or Denver in AFC Finals that is when you hedge but leave room to make a profit

[pensfan1919]

I think 10-1 for AFC has value. AFC is wide open and if they get hot and healthy in December they can win the AFC.

[slacker00]

Thats how you bet futures dude you dont pick your fav week 1 and hope they win it all. you seek value and when playoffs come if you are uncertain you hedge. I have no plans to the only games i see pittsburgh losing in are road games vs Houston or Denver in AFC Finals that is when you hedge but leave room to make a profit

Ok, well that's not really hedging, if you like Pitts future bets but bet against them in specific non-future related spots.