MNF Pick

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  • ashulga
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-16-12
    • 247

    #1
    MNF Pick
    Easy pick Detroit and for large play! You can analyze this game all you want but this is NFL not NCAAF or NBA. So its most wagered sport. Chicago is 4-1 ATS and Detroit is 1-4. Just like houston didn't cover two weeks ago on MNF vs Jets after being 4-0 ATS, bears will not tonight. You never see nfl teams got 5-1 ats especially on popular picks/teams to wager on. Public is on Bears and thats why Vegas is only giving 6.5 most places vs 7 so far because they want it to stay that way. (prob till last minute and then it will go to 7 most places) Bears prob win but definately not cover. So don't over analyze the game itself as you can prove valid points for both teams. If anything its very likely bears lose this week ATS and next at +10 as they will still be over valued vs Car and vise versa for det. If you need more reasons, its been underdog year and vegas did bad on most of their major games sat and sunday. Thank me later.
    I never post here but I follow often and just wanted to give heads up.
    PS: I make more money sports betting than mine 9-5 at a pretty decent job...

    Good luck whatever side you are on
  • tokio
    SBR MVP
    • 03-30-10
    • 2150

    #2
    1 post wonder..........
    Comment
    • brigade125
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-03-11
      • 685

      #3
      Originally posted by ashulga
      Easy pick Detroit and for large play! You can analyze this game all you want but this is NFL not NCAAF or NBA. So its most wagered sport. Chicago is 4-1 ATS and Detroit is 1-4. Just like houston didn't cover two weeks ago on MNF vs Jets after being 4-0 ATS, bears will not tonight. You never see nfl teams got 5-1 ats especially on popular picks/teams to wager on. Public is on Bears and thats why Vegas is only giving 6.5 most places vs 7 so far because they want it to stay that way. (prob till last minute and then it will go to 7 most places) Bears prob win but definately not cover. So don't over analyze the game itself as you can prove valid points for both teams. If anything its very likely bears lose this week ATS and next at +10 as they will still be over valued vs Car and vise versa for det. If you need more reasons, its been underdog year and vegas did bad on most of their major games sat and sunday. Thank me later.
      I never post here but I follow often and just wanted to give heads up.
      PS: I make more money sports betting than mine 9-5 at a pretty decent job...

      Good luck whatever side you are on
      agreed.... there a reason why vegas and other popular gambling cities are in business... because the public just find it hard to bet on the underdog.. too much of the public watching to much espn... espn all over the bears highlights,,, throwing stats ..talking about the bears this ,,, the bears that.... just begging the public to bet on them...
      Comment
      • ashulga
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-16-12
        • 247

        #4
        Public sticks together and loses together. You have to be a fool to believe that vegas is happy with 50/50 split on most games and on winning juice (which lots of people do), if that was the case you would see much sharper movement in the lines to do so. They want much more than that.
        Comment
        • ashulga
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-16-12
          • 247

          #5
          tokio:
          I have nothing to prove to you. But when you can have a 50k a year 9-5, and be able to bet 1k-10k per game (ok 10k I only done 3 times past two years and I'm 1-2 and not ashamed to say it, I call it how it is I got nothing to hide) but I have 20k watch, 2 cars, boat, nice place, I travel all the time anywhere in the world (going to Rio in November and taking my sister as her graduation gift) from sports betting then show me what you made doing it and we will talk? You are probably in the hole like 98% of people. This has afforded me much better living than I imagined and def better than all my friends so I'm happy and confident in what I can do. But I don't post here bc most ppl here are just like you and these responses are not worth my time so I will just respond to you once. Time is money.
          Comment
          • brigade125
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-03-11
            • 685

            #6
            exactly... i been betting on every underdog with the points on these thursday night ..sunday night ...monday night games... and its been very profitable... the lines get blown up with these national televised game... with the public all over..the favorites..
            Comment
            • brigade125
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-03-11
              • 685

              #7
              Originally posted by ashulga
              tokio:
              I have nothing to prove to you. But when you can have a 50k a year 9-5, and be able to bet 1k-10k per game (ok 10k I only done 3 times past two years and I'm 1-2 and not ashamed to say it, I call it how it is I got nothing to hide) but I have 20k watch, 2 cars, boat, nice place, I travel all the time anywhere in the world (going to Rio in November and taking my sister as her graduation gift) from sports betting then show me what you made doing it and we will talk? You are probably in the hole like 98% of people. This has afforded me much better living than I imagined and def better than all my friends so I'm happy and confident in what I can do. But I don't post here bc most ppl here are just like you and these responses are not worth my time so I will just respond to you once. Time is money.
              good luck...
              Comment
              • ashulga
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-16-12
                • 247

                #8
                9/10 games you can analyze and find things you like about both teams and why they cover, and 8/10 times I will side with Vegas when making my decision as obviously their experts are much smarter at capping the game then any of us. Watching the line and line movements, and mostly staying away from public favs especially on prime time games will keep you in +$$$. I bet if 8 out of 10 people here if they looked back and picked all the opposite picks from the picks they actually made, they would be kicking themselves on how much they would be up.
                Comment
                • ashulga
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-16-12
                  • 247

                  #9
                  Originally posted by brigade125
                  good luck...
                  Thank you sir. I mean I will not reply to people like that, here I will post when I have time.
                  Good luck to you as well, and with your pick
                  Comment
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