Week 7 Picks

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  • 9fives
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-18-12
    • 90

    #1
    Week 7 Picks
    49ers PLB -7.5 vs Seahawks (1.5u to win 1.5u)

    Bills -3.5 + Colts -3 + Saints -3 (0.5u to win 2.98u)
  • 9fives
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-18-12
    • 90

    #2
    Originally posted by 9fives
    49ers PLB -7.5 vs Seahawks (LOSS of 1.5u)

    Bills -3.5 + Colts -3 + Saints -3 (0.5u to win 2.98u)
    So far I like:
    BILLS -3
    COLTS -3
    TEXANS -6.5
    PACKERS -5.5
    SAINTS -3
    PATRIOTS -10.5
    RAIDERS -4
    BEARS -6.5
    Comment
    • vaas187
      SBR MVP
      • 03-01-12
      • 2280

      #3
      change of thought.....
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        Lots of chalk ... U think public will cash
        for a change?
        Comment
        • vaas187
          SBR MVP
          • 03-01-12
          • 2280

          #5
          Originally posted by Big Bear
          Lots of chalk ... U think public will cash
          for a change?
          more favs look good this week, dogs went wild last week and have been for a bit.
          Comment
          • 9fives
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-18-12
            • 90

            #6
            BILLS -3 - The Bills looooove running at home and boy are they good at it. Titans' only weapon is by air, but I foresee some picks as Bills have a good enough home defense against passing games to take this game.

            COLTS -3 - Do I even need to explain? I think the line is only -3 because Luck is a rookie, but cmon.. the Browns are horrific as an away team and have one of the worst pass defenses in the league.

            TEXANS -6.5 - Ravens feed off the energy at home, but they are going against an angry Texans team in Houston. Though Ravens offense have been doing well, Houston has great defense to counter the Ravens. Take the Texans.

            PACKERS -5.5 - Wait on this one as Rodgers is probable and I am beginning to lean on the Rams ML +195 or their plus points...

            SAINTS -3 - Brees will have a party with passing yards as the Bucs are one of the worst pass-defense teams. Saints have bad defense, but the Bucs have no offense to be worried about. If the Bucs rushing game lights up, the OVER 49.5 for the game looks good.

            PATRIOTS -10.5 - This it the perfect meal for Tom Brady and Co. as they will be looking to tear up the Jets' weakened secondary and confused offense. Jets are thinking of using Tebow as RB? Well the Patriots have a strong rush defense to hold him off and to scare them enough to not go that route. Look for Ridley and Brady to have a good game against the soft Jets defense short and long.

            RAIDERS -4 - The Raiders are a good team at home feeding off the energy of their home crowd. Palmer will showoff his passing skills against a very bad Jaguars team. Jaguars will try to run the ball against a decent rush defense and a rowdy crowd.

            BEARS -6.5 - still loving this pick with the Bears at home coming off of a bye. Yes, Stafford is the better than Cutler, but QB's need someone to catch the ball. Bears will bring their home cooking defense by rushing Stafford and doubling Johnson.

            adding: VIKINGS -6 - they are a better football team all around. Vikings defense will be tougher at home and Cardinals will not have enough offensive firepower to cover their side of the plus points.
            Comment
            • ermzzy
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-22-12
              • 863

              #7
              where are saints -3? they are -1.

              i dont trust the patriot -10.5 line, i think jets can hang in there long enough to cover the spread. texan/ravens line is a fade, its hard to tell which texans will show up.

              i like the bears/saints/packers line
              Comment
              • 9fives
                SBR Hustler
                • 09-18-12
                • 90

                #8
                You're probably right. I was looking at an old spreadsheet for the Saints.I just don't think the books can give the pats @ home anything less than -10.5 against the Jets.Texans/Ravens line does scare me, but I am more confident in the Texans because Ravens are not a good away team.Packers are a tough one against a good Rams home team. Rams are much improved from last season and can keep the game close.
                Comment
                • 9fives
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 09-18-12
                  • 90

                  #9
                  Money in action!

                  COLTS -1 (1.1* to win 1*)
                  PATRIOTS -10.5 (1.1* to win 1*)
                  BILLS -3.5 (1.1* to win 1*)
                  VIKINGS -6.5 (1.1* to win 1*)
                  COLTS -1 (1.1* to win 1*)
                  RAIDERS -6 (1.15* to win 1*)

                  4-team parlay (0.5* to win 6*)
                  BILLS -3.5
                  VIKINGS -6.5
                  COLTS -1
                  RAIDERS -6

                  6-team parlay (1* to win 4.48*)
                  VIKINGS ML
                  TEXANS ML
                  PACKERS ML
                  PATRIOTS ML
                  RAIDERS ML
                  BEARS ML

                  4-team parlay (0.5* to win 7*)
                  RAMS +5.5
                  PANTHERS +1
                  BENGALS +1
                  RAVENS +7

                  5-team parlay (0.5* to win 3.3*)
                  TEXANS ML
                  PATRIOTS ML
                  RAIDERS ML
                  COLTS -1
                  VIKINGS -6.5

                  forgot some parlays I bet earlier in the week:

                  3-team parlay card (1* to win 2.5*)
                  BILLS -3
                  COLTS/BROWNS OVER 45
                  PATRIOTS/JETS OVER 47

                  3-team parlay card (1* to win 2.5*)
                  VIKINGS -6
                  TEXANS -6.5
                  PACKERS -5.5

                  3-team parlay card (1* to win 3.15*)
                  BILLS -3.5
                  COLTS -3
                  SAINTS -3
                  Comment
                  • LOUGHREY
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 09-22-12
                    • 89

                    #10
                    tampa bay +1.5 is the play tomorrow against the saints.....on paper new orleans should win this but when i see 87 percent of the public betting new orleans and the line is dropping from 3 to 1.5 and even 1 thats a red light so i will be pounding the bucs tomorrow
                    Comment
                    • ewrestling4c
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-30-09
                      • 166

                      #11
                      That game was one that I really liked with Vitt coming back and giving them a boost along with Moore but now the line move and % of the public on it scares me.
                      Comment
                      • 9fives
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-18-12
                        • 90

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 9fives
                        Money in action!

                        COLTS -1 (WIN 1*)
                        PATRIOTS -10.5 (LOSE 1.1*)
                        BILLS -3.5 (LOSE 1.1*)
                        VIKINGS -6.5 (WIN 1*)
                        COLTS -1 (WIN 1*)
                        RAIDERS -6 (LOSE 1.15*)

                        4-team parlay (LOSE 0.5*)
                        BILLS -3.5
                        VIKINGS -6.5
                        COLTS -1
                        RAIDERS -6

                        6-team parlay (1* to win 4.48*) PENDING
                        VIKINGS ML
                        TEXANS ML
                        PACKERS ML
                        PATRIOTS ML
                        RAIDERS ML
                        BEARS ML

                        4-team parlay (LOSE 0.5*)
                        RAMS +5.5
                        PANTHERS +1
                        BENGALS +1
                        RAVENS +7


                        5-team parlay (WIN 3.3*)
                        TEXANS ML
                        PATRIOTS ML
                        RAIDERS ML
                        COLTS -1
                        VIKINGS -6.5

                        forgot some parlays I bet earlier in the week: posted the wrong wagers before

                        3-team parlay card (LOSE 0.5*)
                        BILLS -3
                        COLTS/BROWNS OVER 45

                        PATRIOTS/JETS OVER 47

                        3-team parlay card (WIN 2.5*)
                        VIKINGS -6
                        TEXANS -6.5
                        PACKERS -5.5

                        3-team parlay card (LOSE 0.5*)
                        BILLS -3.5
                        COLTS -3
                        SAINTS -3
                        added:
                        STEELERS -1 (WIN 0.46*)
                        LIONS ML (hedge 1* to win 2.3*) PENDING
                        Comment
                        • 9fives
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 09-18-12
                          • 90

                          #13
                          WEEK 7 = +5.89*

                          2012 NFL SEASON = 23.50 + 5.89 = 29.39*

                          Originally posted by 9fives
                          49ers PLB -7.5 (LOSE 1.5*)

                          COLTS -1 (WIN 1*)
                          PATRIOTS -10.5 (LOSE 1.1*)
                          BILLS -3.5 (LOSE 1.1*)
                          VIKINGS -6.5 (WIN 1*)
                          COLTS -1 (WIN 1*)
                          RAIDERS -6 (LOSE 1.15*)

                          4-team parlay (LOSE 0.5*)
                          BILLS -3.5
                          VIKINGS -6.5
                          COLTS -1
                          RAIDERS -6

                          6-team parlay (WIN 4.48*)
                          VIKINGS ML
                          TEXANS ML
                          PACKERS ML
                          PATRIOTS ML
                          RAIDERS ML
                          BEARS ML

                          4-team parlay (LOSE 0.5*)
                          RAMS +5.5
                          PANTHERS +1
                          BENGALS +1
                          RAVENS +7

                          5-team parlay (WIN 3.3*)
                          TEXANS ML
                          PATRIOTS ML
                          RAIDERS ML
                          COLTS -1
                          VIKINGS -6.5

                          forgot some parlays I bet earlier in the week: posted the wrong wagers before

                          3-team parlay card (LOSE 0.5*)
                          BILLS -3
                          COLTS/BROWNS OVER 45
                          PATRIOTS/JETS OVER 47

                          3-team parlay card (WIN 2.5*)
                          VIKINGS -6
                          TEXANS -6.5
                          PACKERS -5.5

                          3-team parlay card (LOSE 0.5*)
                          BILLS -3.5
                          COLTS -3
                          SAINTS -3

                          STEELERS -1 (WIN 0.46*)
                          LIONS ML (LOSE 1*)
                          Comment
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