Record is (0-0) so far.
I will update every week. I always put my bets in before Wednesday, usually on Monday nights though.
I do this because I feel like I get the best numbers early in the week.
I usually bet 8-10 games a week, all for 1 unit.
50 dollars a unit, and I won't talk about any play that I "won" if I don't post it.
So far in baseball playoffs I'm up almost 2,000 dollars with just 100 dollar bets, my record is phenomenal, mostly because I love underdogs in baseball!
So this week I will have 9 bets.
First bet of 50.00 will be on Seattle +7 against Seattle.
Reasoning- I think San Fran does have something to prove, but against good defenses they have struggled. I really like the way Seattle's defense has played, they remind me a little bit of the Chicago Bears team that made the Super Bowl with Grossman. Granted Wilson isn't the best QB in the league, but he does make some tough throws. I watched the whole Patriots game on Sunday and I really think his arm is undervalued. His ability to come back in games is also very impressive. I like getting 7 points, especially on a short week Thursday night game. The underdogs seem to do very well, and I expect a low scoring game.
Second bet of 50.00 will be on Buffalo -3
Reasoning- Buffalo played an efficient game against the Cardinals on Sunday, although they really should have lost if not for a chip shot missed field goal by Feely as time expired. I think Tennessee is a team that Buffalo will match up well against. The run defense of Buffalo looked great against the Cardinals offense, and their secondary actually looked pretty good except for a couple of throws to Fitzgerald, who is great anyway. I don't see Tennessee keeping it close, and it's in Buffalo. I expect this line to climb to 4.5-5 by gametime.
Third bet of 50.00 will be on Arizona +6
This game I really like for Arizona, they are coming off a very tough loss, and Minnesota just got trampled by RG3. I think Arizona's defense is going to step up big time and Minnesota's offense just doesn't impress me enough to not take a team getting 6 points. I think Arizona is the better team, and for that reason I am taking them. I do see value in the moneyline when it gets posted, but I'm more of a spread better when it comes to underdogs in football.
Fourth bet of 50.00 will be on Cleveland +3 against Indy
At first this line screamed out to me as betting Indy, but after that performance against the Jets I'm not sold on Luck. I think Cleveland will run the ball tremendously well and find success like they did against Cinci in the air. Reggie Wayne and Luck are very scary duo, but I think Cleveland will react well after grabbing their first win. They were close in a lot of games, and I think this team just needed to show themselves that they could win. I like Cleveland to win straight up in this game behind a solid run game. They put up 30+ against the Giants and Cinci, I don't see anything different here. The public will be huge on Indy in this game.
Fifth bet of 50.00 will be on Houston -6.5
Grab this 6.5 while you still can!! Webb is out, and Lewis, that Baltimore D just gave up 240 yards rushing to the Cowboys!! The Texans with Foster are going to have a field day. I know Texans just got blown out by the Pack, but I don't see this game being close at all. I really think Houston is golden in this spot, with that offense I see it being a blow out.
Sixth bet of 50.00 will be on Rams +5
Well this game is screaming "square" if you play the Packers. No way will I bet the Pack -5 on the road this week. I know they just won against the Texans on the road and looked great, but this line is to low to bet on the Pack. I really have no explanation for betting on the Rams except for the fact that I have been buried to much with taking games like this on the other side.
Seventh bet of 50.00 will be on New England -10
Well New England just got beat on the road, and this a rivalry, but no way the Jets keep this game close with the defense playing the way they are, and they fact that Sanchez is QB. I don't trust Sanchez, and Brady will want to make a statement here. I think this is the Patriots season in this game, and at home they are known for running up the score to embarrass teams. This will be no different, these teams hate each other and Pats will want to prove something this week. I think New England puts up 40+ and rocks the Jets.
Eighth bet of 50.00 will be on Bears -5
This game I'm a little bit worried about, but the Bears defense has been unstoppable. I really think they will work the Lions and win this game pretty easily. After watching Philly pretty much dominate all game, I realized that the Lions offense isn't the same this year. I don't know what happened to them, last year they looked like a premier offense, not they look lost. I think in a game like this at home, they will look to control the game. The only thing is I see this being low scoring, so I usually take the team with the points. I'm a little skeptical, but I think the Bears defense will create points easily.
Ninth bet of 50.00 will be on Giants vs Redskins Under 50
Well at first you think high scoring, right? But in an NFC east battle, I see this game being low scoring. I think RG3 will struggle against the Giants D, and maybe get kept under 14 points. I swore to myself I'd never bet an under against that Redskins defense, but the Giants are going to try and control this game with Bradshaw. We saw how well the gameplan worked in San Fran, and they will stick to what works. I don't see this game really being that close, but I see a 24-10 type scenario..
Good luck, input is much wanted. If you like something let me know!
I'm open to criticism, and I appreciate when people tell me they found better numbers!
Good Luck this week everyone!
I will update every week. I always put my bets in before Wednesday, usually on Monday nights though.
I do this because I feel like I get the best numbers early in the week.
I usually bet 8-10 games a week, all for 1 unit.
50 dollars a unit, and I won't talk about any play that I "won" if I don't post it.
So far in baseball playoffs I'm up almost 2,000 dollars with just 100 dollar bets, my record is phenomenal, mostly because I love underdogs in baseball!
So this week I will have 9 bets.
First bet of 50.00 will be on Seattle +7 against Seattle.
Reasoning- I think San Fran does have something to prove, but against good defenses they have struggled. I really like the way Seattle's defense has played, they remind me a little bit of the Chicago Bears team that made the Super Bowl with Grossman. Granted Wilson isn't the best QB in the league, but he does make some tough throws. I watched the whole Patriots game on Sunday and I really think his arm is undervalued. His ability to come back in games is also very impressive. I like getting 7 points, especially on a short week Thursday night game. The underdogs seem to do very well, and I expect a low scoring game.
Second bet of 50.00 will be on Buffalo -3
Reasoning- Buffalo played an efficient game against the Cardinals on Sunday, although they really should have lost if not for a chip shot missed field goal by Feely as time expired. I think Tennessee is a team that Buffalo will match up well against. The run defense of Buffalo looked great against the Cardinals offense, and their secondary actually looked pretty good except for a couple of throws to Fitzgerald, who is great anyway. I don't see Tennessee keeping it close, and it's in Buffalo. I expect this line to climb to 4.5-5 by gametime.
Third bet of 50.00 will be on Arizona +6
This game I really like for Arizona, they are coming off a very tough loss, and Minnesota just got trampled by RG3. I think Arizona's defense is going to step up big time and Minnesota's offense just doesn't impress me enough to not take a team getting 6 points. I think Arizona is the better team, and for that reason I am taking them. I do see value in the moneyline when it gets posted, but I'm more of a spread better when it comes to underdogs in football.
Fourth bet of 50.00 will be on Cleveland +3 against Indy
At first this line screamed out to me as betting Indy, but after that performance against the Jets I'm not sold on Luck. I think Cleveland will run the ball tremendously well and find success like they did against Cinci in the air. Reggie Wayne and Luck are very scary duo, but I think Cleveland will react well after grabbing their first win. They were close in a lot of games, and I think this team just needed to show themselves that they could win. I like Cleveland to win straight up in this game behind a solid run game. They put up 30+ against the Giants and Cinci, I don't see anything different here. The public will be huge on Indy in this game.
Fifth bet of 50.00 will be on Houston -6.5
Grab this 6.5 while you still can!! Webb is out, and Lewis, that Baltimore D just gave up 240 yards rushing to the Cowboys!! The Texans with Foster are going to have a field day. I know Texans just got blown out by the Pack, but I don't see this game being close at all. I really think Houston is golden in this spot, with that offense I see it being a blow out.
Sixth bet of 50.00 will be on Rams +5
Well this game is screaming "square" if you play the Packers. No way will I bet the Pack -5 on the road this week. I know they just won against the Texans on the road and looked great, but this line is to low to bet on the Pack. I really have no explanation for betting on the Rams except for the fact that I have been buried to much with taking games like this on the other side.
Seventh bet of 50.00 will be on New England -10
Well New England just got beat on the road, and this a rivalry, but no way the Jets keep this game close with the defense playing the way they are, and they fact that Sanchez is QB. I don't trust Sanchez, and Brady will want to make a statement here. I think this is the Patriots season in this game, and at home they are known for running up the score to embarrass teams. This will be no different, these teams hate each other and Pats will want to prove something this week. I think New England puts up 40+ and rocks the Jets.
Eighth bet of 50.00 will be on Bears -5
This game I'm a little bit worried about, but the Bears defense has been unstoppable. I really think they will work the Lions and win this game pretty easily. After watching Philly pretty much dominate all game, I realized that the Lions offense isn't the same this year. I don't know what happened to them, last year they looked like a premier offense, not they look lost. I think in a game like this at home, they will look to control the game. The only thing is I see this being low scoring, so I usually take the team with the points. I'm a little skeptical, but I think the Bears defense will create points easily.
Ninth bet of 50.00 will be on Giants vs Redskins Under 50
Well at first you think high scoring, right? But in an NFC east battle, I see this game being low scoring. I think RG3 will struggle against the Giants D, and maybe get kept under 14 points. I swore to myself I'd never bet an under against that Redskins defense, but the Giants are going to try and control this game with Bradshaw. We saw how well the gameplan worked in San Fran, and they will stick to what works. I don't see this game really being that close, but I see a 24-10 type scenario..
Good luck, input is much wanted. If you like something let me know!
I'm open to criticism, and I appreciate when people tell me they found better numbers!
Good Luck this week everyone!
