trap bet? what is the reason for the line moving down so drastically?
heywally
SBR High Roller
09-09-12
140
#2
Originally posted by ermzzy
they were -6 today and gone back to -4.5
trap bet? what is the reason for the line moving down so drastically?
Looks like the theory is that someone(s) came in and put bigger money on the Jags, for the usual value reasons - Bears on short week, on the road again, desperation game for Jags, Cutler factor, etc. The best I could see in this game is that it is a stay-away one but the Bears took a step up in the Dallas game to my eyes and there is no way I would put any money on a Jags team that has showed so badly so far and doesn't have a QB Vs. a Bears team that looked so good against Dallas. If I had to bet and the Universe would end if I lost, I would take the Bears -4.5 though I might try and pay to have the .5 taken off. There's 'value' but there are also good teams and bad ones and the Bears are under a TD here.
Comment
slacker00
SBR Posting Legend
10-06-05
12262
#3
Take the Bears, Jags are bad and home field doesn't help them nearly as much as other teams. Take the free point.