Lucky1's NFL Week #4

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  • Lucky1g
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-10-10
    • 5973

    #1
    Lucky1's NFL Week #4
    overall football ytd: 10-8 56% $+1.6units
    nfl ytd 7-5 +5.7units
    ncaaf ytd 3-3 -4.1units

    Early Play:

    4*Kansas City Chiefs-1

  • Rous
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-19-10
    • 951

    #2
    Thanks.
    Comment
    • SavantWorldwide
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-25-12
      • 10

      #3
      Like that play a lot. My team evaluation formula likes KC to win that game by 4.5...I developed Savant over the past year, it uses 18 team stats adjusts for home/away and then uses the team rating differential in every match up to generate a predicted margin of victory. I tested it against every game from 2003-2011 and it went 73% SU and 66% ATS...went 10-5-1 ATS in wk 3, which was first real time testing I did. You can see my wk 4 picks here http://pureprofootballpicks.wordpress.com/

      Don't expect anyone to wager my picks at first...just track them. Savant will earn your trust without a doubt.

      Good luck to everyone and all their wagers.
      Comment
      • Lucky1g
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-10-10
        • 5973

        #4
        looks like i bet KC too early..sometimes betting before the line moves is a good thing, in this case it wasnt..not a problem, i still love the play. Adding:

        3*San Francisco 49ers-4
        2*Carolina Panthers+7
        2*Miami Dolphins+5.5
        BOL w/ ur action.
        Comment
        • Rous
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-19-10
          • 951

          #5
          Thanks Lucky, with yaaa today. BOL
          Comment
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