2012 NFL picks

[JayLA]

This week I like this 4 game teaser for sure.

Miami Dolphins +9
New Orleans Saints -3
New York Giants +9
Dallas Cowboys -2

[JayLA]

Added:

San Francisco -1/2
Atlanta +10
Baltimore +4

Between these two teasers, I win big enough to settle down for a while. The only game I'm sweating is Dallas and that's because it's Dallas and you never know what you're going to get.

I don't claim to be an expert, but I know my stuff. BEST OF LUCK!

[JayLA]

ADD: I'm psycho. Thankfully haven't wagered the farm..........yet.

Titans ML
Houston -3

A bit nervous about these two. I'm imagining a much needed win for TENN at home against a hyped up Lions team.

with houston, I'm looking at the 44ish OU, and I'm thinking, they think it won't be a shootout, distributing 44 points between these two teams means a more defensive game right? Well Manning hasn't seen a defense like Houston.

May the cards fall in your favor!

[JayLA]

okaaaaayyyy

Week 1: 0-1
Week 2: 1-1
Week 3: 4-2 So far

5-4 way down $

I can still win one wager if Houston covers the spread. I really liked my risk to win ratio on that one

Years at this, and I still haven't learned to limit my parlays and teasers to 2,3 games tops.

[JayLA]

Analyzing my play:

Won my TENN/Houston Parlay, had the best risk/win ratio. but would have lost on my under read...i really do suck at totals..need to get better

Could have just parlayed ATL+3.
49ers losing by that much was total upset. Mars thought the 9ers would keep it close and win.
Shouldn't have included BAL in this tease, see Baltimore winning straight up but NE could sneak in last minute field goal.
phuck it

my original teaser looked SO strong if the saints hold on to a 3 point victory.
I'm not playing long shot teasers for a while.

7-4 on the season
some of my local guys didn't parlay/tease my picks, won, and sent me some tips. oh well. crazy sunday

[JayLA]

For MNF I obviously trying to make up for a crazy sunday so i've made so many more prop bets than usual. I'm using this thread as a journal. feel free to die from the laughter of my stupid picks. shit, help me out with some advice if you can, i'll take any free information from you all.

(GB vs SEA) Total TD Passes – Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 2½
+130

(GB vs SEA) Total Rushing Yards – Cedric Benson (GB)
Over 57½
-125

(GB vs SEA) Will Cedric Benson (GB) score a TD in the game?
Yes
+135

(GB vs SEA) Will Jordy Nelson (GB) score a TD in the game?
Yes
+115

(GB vs SEA) Total Passing Yards – Russell Wilson (SEA)
Over 200½
-105

ADRENALINE PICK:
(GB vs SEA) - Player to score the first TD in the game?
Marshawn Lynch (BUF) RB
6/1

ADRENALINE PICK:
First to score, Seattle Seahawks
-105

Over 1st Half Points vs. Under 1st Half Points (SEA)
10
-105

Green Bay Packers, 7 to 10 Point differential
7:1

________________________________________ __________

Meat and potatoes:

GREEN BAY MONEY LINE

SEATTLE +11 OVER 39

________________________________________ _______________


I got buried this week cause of upsets, my trend of joining too many picks at once is still going strong, FML. My local guys give me enough shit about it. need to change strategies to a more conservative but steady scheme.

BEST OF LUCK

[JayLA]

I'm prediciting a 27 - 17 Packers score..

Seattle scores first, causing Packers to play more aggresively. The action dying down in the third, fourth quarter. Matthews gets 2 sacks.

[JayLA]

This Seattle defense, I SWEAR to god.
I'm off to work at a bar, can't check my phone. Really hope i hit these bets, so far so good if the action BREAKS OUT in the half.

Seattle might be for real

[JayLA]

I'm looking at these selections this week

Houston Texans -12
Baltimore Ravens -12.5
New York Jets +4.5

might tease 6 points

[JayLA]

Texans -6
Ravens -7
Jets +10

Tonight's play: CLE/BAL UNDER 44, CLE 1H +7
I dont think the Ravens will gain a 7 point lead until the second half.

I'm not as "sharp" as you all but I like them.

[JayLA]