Smart Betting Tips on NFL Games with +3 to +3.5

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  • DCobra20
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-04-12
    • 238

    #1
    Smart Betting Tips on NFL Games with +3 to +3.5
    Sorry if this is not a service play or if my post gets flagged for being posted in wrong section.

    Anytime there is a +3 to +3.5 dog it is almost certain to take these points in the NFL. I havent really compared it College FB. Just look back at this past weekends game. The only dog that didn't cover the +3 was KC vs the Bills. This weekends record for taking +3 to +3.5 dogs was 4-1.

    Favorite vs Dawg Win/Lose
    Bills vs Chiefs +3 LOSER
    Eagles vs Ravens +3 WINNER
    Saints vs Panthers +3 WINNER
    Cowboys vs Seattle +3 WINNER
    Redskins vs Rams +3.5 WINNER
    Falcons vs Broncos +3 TBD

    Let me know your thoughts
  • blankoblanco
    SBR MVP
    • 11-18-11
    • 3500

    #2
    I know 5 games is a huge sample but do you have any long-term data that supports this? I suspect there is none
    Comment
    • Deol
      SBR MVP
      • 09-01-11
      • 1340

      #3
      Taking almost any home dog at +3 or +3.5 will probably be profitable in the long run IMO. I here that all the time and never seem to follow it.
      Comment
      • dogs
        SBR Hustler
        • 05-25-12
        • 55

        #4
        + 3 or 4

        better when home dog @+ 3 or 4!
        Comment
        • pulledclear
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-19-12
          • 6684

          #5
          Taking them on the money line in spots CAN be profitable. Just to blindly bet a dog because its a 3 point spread will CRUSH you. Im sorry you did not discover the Holy Grail. GL
          Comment
          • dogs
            SBR Hustler
            • 05-25-12
            • 55

            #6
            Originally posted by DCobra20
            Sorry if this is not a service play or if my post gets flagged for being posted in wrong section.

            Anytime there is a +3 to +3.5 dog it is almost certain to take these points in the NFL. I havent really compared it College FB. Just look back at this past weekends game. The only dog that didn't cover the +3 was KC vs the Bills. This weekends record for taking +3 to +3.5 dogs was 4-1.

            Favorite vs Dawg Win/Lose
            Bills vs Chiefs +3 LOSER
            Eagles vs Ravens +3 WINNER
            Saints vs Panthers +3 WINNER
            Cowboys vs Seattle +3 WINNER
            Redskins vs Rams +3.5 WINNER
            Falcons vs Broncos +3 TBD

            Let me know your thoughts
            week three 8-2-1
            Comment
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