Half Point Calculator for Parlays

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  • slope99
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-19-12
    • 23

    #1
    Half Point Calculator for Parlays
    Say I have 3 team parlay.

    I use Half Point Calculator separately for each game and it gives me:

    1st game edge = 3%
    2nd game edge = -1%
    3rd game edge = 2%

    so total edge (decimal) = 1.03 * 0.99 * 1.02 = 1.04?

    I feel like this is wrong.
  • Reload
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-23-08
    • 12244

    #2
    Going to slink this to the Handicapper Think Tank so the experts can review it with you, slope!
    Comment
    • slope99
      SBR Rookie
      • 01-19-12
      • 23

      #3
      Found my own answer. Each game treated like separate event (parlay odds converted to per game odds). So total Edge equals SUM of three games.
      Comment
      • slope99
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-19-12
        • 23

        #4
        i was right first time. i think lol.

        here is an example. 100$ on a parlay, first game 5%ev, 2nd game -2%ev and 3rd game -1%ev.

        5%ev means in the long run 100$ will win me 105$.
        -2%ev means in the long run 105$ will win me 105*0.98=102.90$
        -1%ev means in the long run 102.90$ will win me 102.90*.99 = 101.87$

        total edge or parlay %ev = 101.87$/100$ = 1.0187%ev = 1.05*0.98*0.99
        Comment
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