Dollars2Donuts Intro

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  • Dollars2Donuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-07-13
    • 8803

    #1
    Dollars2Donuts Intro
    Thanks for checking out my post....

    I am relatively new to sports betting, although I have a long history with casinos, poker (online and live) and of course fantasy leagues and drafts. I cannot tell you why it has taken me so long to finally dive into this new world, but please be gentle...I am sure I will make mistakes in etiquette during my initial time here.

    My story:

    I am forty years old, single but in a committed relationship that will probably get to the next (intimidating) stage. I am a long time winning poker player in cardrooms throughout British Columbia (yes, now is the time to let Canadian jokes fly!) But have always had issues online with loss-chasing....it seems so much easier in person as I don't let myself lose my control, or leave to 5/5 table to head to 10/20, but online...that's exactly what I do. Maybe I have avoided online sports betting because it would allow me to do the same.

    So...six weeks ago I made a $200 deposit on Bodog, taking advantage of the extra $100 in bonuses. That first night I put almost all of it into play and had what I would consider to be a decent night (I would have to go back to find our the exact numbers).

    My first week was very good (betting almost exclusively the NBA, between $20 and $35 per game, mostly spread and totals) and I was able to head into the NFL weekend and make some bigger bets.

    What I found is that, for some reason, I do much better on the hard court than on the grid iron...which is exactly the opposite of what I would have assumed! Wild card weekend I went 0/4 ATS, but hit 3/4 totals to take some of the sting out of things.....then had another solid week in the NBA before going 0/2 in Divisional Weekend, and losing $1200 in those two games. Again I hit the totals for modest amounts. Sunday was a different story as I managed to hit both games and both totals...which really got me into the game.

    Now, 6 weeks in, I have played just about every game out there and made just about every mistake out there as well. I have bet soccer when I was bored and wanted actions, U20 and U19 stuff that I have no idea about, golf, tennis (Davis Cup, Aussie Open and even some little crappy tournaments where I recognized next to NO names).

    Through all of it I have survived, and in fact, have flourished. In the middle of the run I had a ridiculous 55-14 run, which included nights of 11-2 and 13-2. I know I am probably betting too many games without a specific plan, BUT I will say that I am keeping within my Bank now (something that I should have learned in online poker but didn't), and I have only found myself chasing a loss twice...once winning and once losing. I also managed to have a 10-1 night last night (8-1 NBA and 2-0 NHL)....which is probably why I am so jacked today.

    How did I find this site? I was Googling ' possible to win at sports betting'.

    I am still a little shocked at my initial success...and I am wondering if/when I should expect the walls to crumble down.

    As of now I am still not line shopping, still haven't focused in on exactly what I should be doing....and that's why I am here! I plan to read a lot more here....and am thinking that I may post certain picks, etc. As for now, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to ask.

    As far as my being 'honest' you will never have to worry about that. I have no issue with not being completely upfront. I plan to go back into my history (I am hoping Bodog will send this to me?), and post all of my results as percentages for the different sports.

    I look forward to being part of the board....and if you have any questions please feel free to message or PM me.

    B
  • James D
    SBR MVP
    • 01-03-13
    • 2040

    #2
    Dollar,

    Your insane win rate over that period (55-14) is of course an anomaly. No different then AA losing to KK four times in a row. It is rare, but happens. You may be long term better at NBA then NFL or vice versa, way too soon to tell. However your betting every single game on the board is the equivalent of playing ANY 2 cards EVERY hand until the flop regardless of action pre flop. I am using poker as an analogy because you understand poker not sports betting.
    There are a hundred things to learn when handicapping and in time you can acquire a skill set that keeps you from getting crushed. However if your bankroll management does not get DRAMATICALLY better you have absolutely no shot regardless of win rate.
    Comment
    • easyliving
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-25-12
      • 8876

      #3
      make sure your familiar with Bankroll management. If your gonna bet every game on the board your not always gonna go 55-14 and you will have losing streaks where you lose 8+ games and if your betting a large chunk of your BR these streaks will wipe you out. Determine a unit size and always bet the same amount per bet. 2-3% of your BR is what I would recommend.
      Comment
      • mcduggly
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-12
        • 2489

        #4
        Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
        Thanks for checking out my post....

        I am relatively new to sports betting, although I have a long history with casinos, poker (online and live) and of course fantasy leagues and drafts. I cannot tell you why it has taken me so long to finally dive into this new world, but please be gentle...I am sure I will make mistakes in etiquette during my initial time here.

        My story:

        I am forty years old, single but in a committed relationship that will probably get to the next (intimidating) stage. I am a long time winning poker player in cardrooms throughout British Columbia (yes, now is the time to let Canadian jokes fly!) But have always had issues online with loss-chasing....it seems so much easier in person as I don't let myself lose my control, or leave to 5/5 table to head to 10/20, but online...that's exactly what I do. Maybe I have avoided online sports betting because it would allow me to do the same.

        So...six weeks ago I made a $200 deposit on Bodog, taking advantage of the extra $100 in bonuses. That first night I put almost all of it into play and had what I would consider to be a decent night (I would have to go back to find our the exact numbers).

        My first week was very good (betting almost exclusively the NBA, between $20 and $35 per game, mostly spread and totals) and I was able to head into the NFL weekend and make some bigger bets.

        What I found is that, for some reason, I do much better on the hard court than on the grid iron...which is exactly the opposite of what I would have assumed! Wild card weekend I went 0/4 ATS, but hit 3/4 totals to take some of the sting out of things.....then had another solid week in the NBA before going 0/2 in Divisional Weekend, and losing $1200 in those two games. Again I hit the totals for modest amounts. Sunday was a different story as I managed to hit both games and both totals...which really got me into the game.

        Now, 6 weeks in, I have played just about every game out there and made just about every mistake out there as well. I have bet soccer when I was bored and wanted actions, U20 and U19 stuff that I have no idea about, golf, tennis (Davis Cup, Aussie Open and even some little crappy tournaments where I recognized next to NO names).

        Through all of it I have survived, and in fact, have flourished. In the middle of the run I had a ridiculous 55-14 run, which included nights of 11-2 and 13-2. I know I am probably betting too many games without a specific plan, BUT I will say that I am keeping within my Bank now (something that I should have learned in online poker but didn't), and I have only found myself chasing a loss twice...once winning and once losing. I also managed to have a 10-1 night last night (8-1 NBA and 2-0 NHL)....which is probably why I am so jacked today.

        How did I find this site? I was Googling ' possible to win at sports betting'.

        I am still a little shocked at my initial success...and I am wondering if/when I should expect the walls to crumble down.

        As of now I am still not line shopping, still haven't focused in on exactly what I should be doing....and that's why I am here! I plan to read a lot more here....and am thinking that I may post certain picks, etc. As for now, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to ask.

        As far as my being 'honest' you will never have to worry about that. I have no issue with not being completely upfront. I plan to go back into my history (I am hoping Bodog will send this to me?), and post all of my results as percentages for the different sports.

        I look forward to being part of the board....and if you have any questions please feel free to message or PM me.

        B
        Also, hopefully you are betting lines that are at/around -110 or -105, not huge moneyline favorites. You might not know him, but one of the main posters here supposedly bet a huge amount of money on the Hoosiers last night and lost it all. Perfect example of what not to do.
        Comment
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