Roaddog Thursday

PAULYPOKER · 03-29-12, 04:31 PM

RJBucs · 03-29-12, 04:39 PM

I followed you yesterday with success. What is the reasoning for today's play?

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by RJBucs

I followed you yesterday with success. What is the reasoning for today's play?

Dont like either side. Can't find an edge. I keep capping the game as either team winning by 1. It's a huge coin flip game. Focused my attention on the total and have a good feel on the under.

These are the 44th and 24th best defenses in the country. I know Stanford has been lighting it up, but they will face a Big 10 team that plays sick defense. Big 10 defense is much better than Pac 12 competition. Being a championship game, I feel both teams come out tight. That's obviously just my opinion. The whole world's on the over. Books are raising the total to balance out the money. Just like yesterday when I said books were adding points to Mercer (the better team) to balance out the money, the are adding points to the opening under total (the better play here) to balance out the money. Again, that's just my opinion. BOL.

RJBucs · 03-29-12, 05:12 PM

Thanks. I was all over Mercer last night. I think I will be taking minny in a small play

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 05:17 PM

Yea, this game pretty much sucks. No big edge anywhere to be found.

BiffTFinancial · 03-29-12, 05:31 PM

like the under, but Gophers for me. i have it 66-61. BOL, Roaddog.

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 05:34 PM

66-61 works for me.

I have it 65-64 Minnesota.

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 06:17 PM

This bet looks dead already.

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

This bet looks dead already.

Or not.......

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 08:11 PM

Cash that under eaaaasy. Glad I avoided that Minnesota landmine.

SASH · 03-29-12, 08:24 PM

^^what happend to you?? You said you were all over stanford in my thread yesterday

SASH · 03-29-12, 08:28 PM

that youd been honed in on this play since it opened and couldnt wait to pounce on it, i was the same way...thought the line should have been like stanford -3.5

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 08:32 PM

I know Sash. Then I capped the game and liked Minnesota by a point. Scrapped betting the side altogether and went with the under. Who cares? We're both winners right!?

2-0 on the day +2u (including baseball)

SASH · 03-29-12, 08:50 PM

good man! Classic case of numbers getting in the way of your gut, it happens. Great unders for you

Shaka Smart · 03-29-12, 08:53 PM

Great plays RoadDog, keep it up.

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by SASH

good man! Classic case of numbers getting in the way of your gut, it happens. Great unders for you

Originally posted by Shaka Smart

Great plays RoadDog, keep it up.

Thanks guys. And SASH, I was just thinking about that. My gut feeling was Stanford but then after analyzing the stats, I had basically a pick em' on my hands. Looked into the under and liked it a lot. That's why I hate when people ask me for reasons why I like a play. Sometimes it's just as simple as my gut tells me this is right. We've been doing this for so long that we pick up on movements and things the books are doing. Sometimes stats just get in the way. Thankfully, we both came out ahead tonight. Let's get em tomorrow boys!

romoney · 03-29-12, 09:44 PM

Dude....Bass was on Minny...nuff said...

just sayin

RoadDog · 03-29-12, 09:49 PM

I try not to look lol. I know he's prime fade material right now but I cant fade anyone. The second I do that he'd go 8-0 lol. I'm ok making my own picks

romoney · 03-29-12, 10:12 PM

yep, ive made my own picks all year..but ...This has been too easy lately...fading him..only the picks i agree with...

19th Hole · 03-29-12, 11:39 PM

Kudos RoadDog
Your plays have been
exceptional...