Wednesday's leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Wednesday's leans
    Middle Tennessee State -2.5
    Butler -1


    I see value here in an MTSU team that's just plain better overall than the Gophers on their home court. Minnesota has been hot lately without question, but I've watched both of these squads play quite a bit and there's only the "big name" angle with Minnesota. Only concern I have is a hangover effect from beating the big, bad in-state rival on the road, then returning home to get the job done.

    Butler may not have the talent that Pitt has, but they're more well coached, disciplined, they know what it takes to win in the postseason and they're on their home court. Again, Pitt is the "name" and not much else. They're still an underachieving outfit.

    I'll probably go 2U each on these plays.

    Good luck to everyone today!

  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    May take Nevada late if these go OK.
    Comment
    • blackeyeshamus
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-19-11
      • 6632

      #3
      good luck, nocoin.
      best of luck tonight, sir.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
        good luck, nocoin.
        best of luck tonight, sir.
        Thanks. You too.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          A Fairfield/ODU tease or ML parlay might be worth considering as well.
          Comment
          • lite1up
            SBR MVP
            • 10-27-11
            • 2459

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            A Fairfield/ODU tease or ML parlay might be worth considering as well.

            Like seeing you on Fairfield...I've got a lot on them tonight ML....gives me confidence


            GL tonight
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by lite1up
              Like seeing you on Fairfield...I've got a lot on them tonight ML....gives me confidence


              GL tonight
              No guarantees with those two teams though -- they should both win and cover.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Just threw another unit on Butler -1.
                Comment
                • HOT WINGS
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8055

                  #9
                  I like Midd Tenn State but took em 1st half -2. Not sure about Butler, kind of like Pitt here to get revenge for that fluke loss last year when then they fouled on the rebound of a FT among other reasons as well. Like Nevada also. GL
                  Comment
                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-31-11
                    • 12722

                    #10
                    I am on the Old Dominion ML and Bazemore is there warming up and then just disappears?

                    I guess that is a good reason to not bet these god awful fake post season tournaments... teams' best players miss games to catch up on homework and they don't even bother telling us?
                    Comment
                    • PickWinnerAllDay
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-31-11
                      • 12722

                      #11
                      LOL... I check all of the injury reports, I make sure Bazemore is playing especially... then for no reason, after warming up, Bazemore doesn't play.

                      We are such degenerates for betting on this garbage. The best player on the court just randomly decides to go jerk it in the lockerroom instead of playing. Unreal.
                      Comment
                      • PickWinnerAllDay
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-31-11
                        • 12722

                        #12
                        I wish I knew what gambling god I pissed off to have the worst luck in the history of gambling. Been beat by 1000 back doors this year and maybe had one hit for me. My best team's players decide to not play seconds before tip off...

                        What else can go wrong?
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Trying to figure out which team gagged more.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            This is the problem with gambling. You get lucky one night with a bullshit cover by Oregon, then you get burned less than 24 hours later because some chump can't make his FT's late and the team you take loses in OT after leading the entire 2H.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Also had Butler +5 in a tease play.

                              Shit is just getting old.
                              Comment
                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 12722

                                #16
                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                Trying to figure out which team gagged more.
                                Old Dominion wins the gag award of the night. Had the lead the whole game and then lost it badly to Mercer?

                                FUKKING MERCER?!
                                Comment
                                • Owls
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-01-12
                                  • 240

                                  #17
                                  It seems like you just like to fade the public. I don't think that's a winning strategy. The public has done quite well this year in NCAA basketball, and with all the syndicate money out there, the lines are no longer shaded towards the public. It seems you do much better just ignoring this instinct and just trying to pick who you think is the better side.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Owls
                                    It seems like you just like to fade the public. I don't think that's a winning strategy. The public has done quite well this year in NCAA basketball, and with all the syndicate money out there, the lines are no longer shaded towards the public. It seems you do much better just ignoring this instinct and just trying to pick who you think is the better side.
                                    Actually, I didn't here. I really liked MTSU and Butler. Watched countless Minnesota and Pitt games this season; trying to figure out when these teams actually picked up heart and resilience. Had they done so earlier, maybe they wouldn't be stuck in these good-for-nothing tournaments.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ralphie1412
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-08
                                      • 13963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      Also had Butler +5 in a tease play.

                                      Shit is just getting old.
                                      "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                      Goat Milk
                                      Comment
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