Kenpom lines for Friday

losemyloot · 03-16-12, 08:48 AM

So how do people use the Kenpom lines. I know I would need to do further research but initially do you follow or fade Kenpom if his numbers are different then the spread? Thanks for any insight on this.

lite1up · 03-16-12, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by losemyloot

So how do people use the Kenpom lines. I know I would need to do further research but initially do you follow or fade Kenpom if his numbers are different then the spread? Thanks for any insight on this.

I found they were worth following in December & early January, before the books adjust. Honestly haven't tracked this well enough to give you a straight answer to that question. I don't think I'd fade though...I still like to use them as a tool to indicate when a line is potentially off. Problem is, kenpom's numbers don't account for injuries, roster changes and other intangible factors so if Kenpom's spread on a game differs from the Vegas line by more than 3 points, there's probably a very good reason for it.

camelbreath$ · 03-16-12, 09:43 AM

Thanks for posting. IN all honesty though, I wouldn't put too much weight in these KenPom lines. His statistical model doesn't come close to giving you the full picture of a teams strengths and weaknesses in a head-to-head match up.

hydrosmak · 03-16-12, 10:05 AM

Thanks for posting this!